Sunday, August 31, 2014

Posted Sunday Night:
Come September ! 
(Only significant rain events elaborated).
Monday 1st September, the current UAC moves West/ North-Westwards and brings Heavy Rain to West MP, Eastern Gujarat region, South Gujarat Coast and parts of North Central Maharashtra (Aurangabad, Jalgaon, Akola, Nasik). 
Rains reduce in Konkan.

Monday Night into Tuesday 2nd, Showers increase in Coastal Saurashtra.

Monday and Tuesday due to moisture inflow, patches of rain are possible in North Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab, and Delhi NCR.

Tuesday Night/Wednesday 3rd, rains move into rest of Gujarat including Kutch. Increase in rains in NW India States. 

On 2nd September, from the pulse from the erstwhile UAC, AS-1 forms as a Low near the West Gujrat/Pakistan border. Kutch and adjoining Sindh may get heavy showers in patches.

2nd September, Rains also move into South and SE Sindh, Upper Sindh, adjoining Pak Punjab, almost covering roughly the Eastern half of Pakistan. ( Sukkur, Hydreabad, Nawabshah included).
Punjab cities ( Lahore, Gujrat, Multan ) can get thunder showers.

Thunder Showers in Karachi Tuesday Night through Wednesday. There is a possibility of heavy rains on Saturday next, but we wait before confirming.
Heavy Falls in MP on all days.

Delhi NCR: The odd shower on Monday in some patches. Rains increase on Wednesday and regions may get around 20-25 mms.

Mumbai: Reduced rain intensity on Monday, with some evening showers could be heavy. Rains around 35 mms.
Lessening intensity on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Pune: another Thunder shower on Monday, and some decrease in rains from Tuesday.

No significant rains developing around Hyderabad.
Seems that the axis shifting South has forced the Bay winds to push eastwards into North India plains. This may delay the earlier announced formation of BB-8.

Badlapur Overall August 2014 Weather.

Overall August month had good normal to above normal Rain.

Weather stats in above pic.

Rainfall analysis in above chart.(Click on image for better view)

Weather Instagram at August 31, 2014 at 04:30PM

#chennai - 4:27pm, low, medium cloud formations seen but nothing threatening. Photo facing SW. #weather

from Instagram

RT @pvvn4u: Unstoppable rain in #Mumbai from last night. Thank god its Sunday. Just be at your home and tweet. #Twitter 12:42pm.

RT @WeAreTrivandrum: Itz a sunny sunday today! No showers till now! #Thiruvananthapuram #trivandrum @weatherofindia 1:54pm

Come September ..... Second summer rainfall

சூரியன் செப்டம்பர் மாதத்தில் இந்தியாவின் தெற்கு பகுதியான தமிழகம் உள்ளிட்ட தென் பகுதிக்கு வந்துவிடும். இந்திய பெருங்கடலின் தென் பகுதியில் வெப்பம் பரவ ஆரம்பிக்கும் நேரம் இது.  எனினும் மோரிஷியஷுக்கு அருகில் 'உயர் காற்று மண்டலம்" வலுபெற்று உள்ளது. 
இதனை படங்கள் உறுதி செய்கின்றன. இதன் காரணமாக இந்தியாவின் மேற்கு கரை ஓரம் மீண்டும் மழை வலுப்பெறும்.  

 This precipitable water  indicated atleast 50mm rainfall over TamilNadu and above 60mm above Mangalore coast to Gujarat coast.

According to midnight GFS model...
Chennai, NE Tamilnadu - today is expected to get showers around noon and into evening.
Almost 60% chance of rain today.