The positive point of todays blog is the fixation and firm position of the monsoon axis,along the Punjab,North M.P.and Jharkhand route.The mere refusal of the axis to shift North is a very encouraging sign, and could allow the formation of a low in the Bay, and allow it to travel along its "line".
Thankfully, we can forget about the "break Monsoon" in that case.
IMD predicts that "an upper air cyclonic circulation may form over west-central and adjoining coastal areas of north Andhra Pradesh and south Orissa".
The system could transform into a low-pressure area over central Bay by as early as Thursday. The system would head westward along the axis line, over land and might inter act with a prevailing W.D. coming Eastwards from Thursday. The actual interaction region would definitely see good precipitations and advancement of the Monsoon,and go on to set up clouds over further northwest,
The low, on crossing land (could be by Friday), will, in all probibilities, form a North-south trough from the centre of the low thru maharashtra Southwards upto the interiors of Karnataka.Northern peninsula could possibly experaiance widespread rainfall till Monday.
But,the CPC sees the revival of the monsoon covering the entire peninsula,during the week ending June 28.
The existing trough off the west coast is precipitating rains,in its limited capacity.All this due to the stubborn mosoon axis in the North not allowing yesterday's UAC to cross the land.
As discussed in yesterday's blog, the rainfall amounts along the West coast, were much less than originally estimated, save and except the Mumbai coastal regions,which recieved heavy rains.In the Konkan region, only the the Mumbai coast region,has recorded the highest rains.Thane Belapur 17cms,Thane 13cms,Mumbai Colaba 12cms,Dharavi 11cms and Uran 9cms.Even the ghats did not recieve much rains, just between 2-4cms.
Mumbai: Yesterday's revised rain estimates of reduced rains in the Konkan proved correct, but Mumbai turned out to an exceptional "iso;lated wet spot".
As an exception for Mumbai, Vagaries of the Weather original forecast for Wednesday, the forecast published on 20th.June blog,was accurate, with the rain intensity increasing from Tuesday night. Wednesday was a rainy day, with 60 mms at Colaba and 44 mms at Santa Cruz of rain in the day.On revision, the estimate was scaled down to 30mms yesterday.
Overnight Tuesday rain was 123mms in Colaba and 87 mms in Santa Cruz.
Heavy showers, some prolonged, will continue into thursday morning, with rains decreasing in frequency later after friday.Thursday thru Friday should total upto 100 mms of rain for the 2 days.
Seems as of now, weekend rains will reduce to 25-30mms per day, with sunny patches.
Hot Night: Gwalior recorded a minimum temperature of 36.4c yesterday night(22nd. June). One of the hottest on record anywhere, I suppose.The nearest i know is the 38c recorded as the minimum at Sibi(pakistan) a few years back. The hottest night, in my record books, was at Khandwa. the lowest the mercury could go down to was 40c !!
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Chennai - Thunder; Lightning; Torrential Rain - its all hpng at Kelambakkam :-) .. 4:53pm
RT @krishnas: @weatherofindia Nungambakkam reported rain; saw some drizzling in porur
RT @sanmugam: @weatherofindia Raining in Arumbakkam Chennai. Just started (4:11pm)
@vijayy2002 >> Where its raining? pls update ur location.
Chennai - Rain drops coming down now 3:56pm in Saidapet.
@prasanth_1985 >> Where in chennai its raining?? pls update ur location. In Saidapet zone NO rain yet !!
RT @prasanth_1985: chennai s getng drenched wid rain again (3:41pm)
@krishnas >> Where in Chennai its raining?? Here in Saidapet No RAIN yet !
RT @krishnas: starting to rain in Chennai - remember the days when we'd welcome the rain with pots & pons to catch what we can for later use
RT @arjuncho: Monsoon brings Monsoon showers. Summers bring Summer Showers. Bangalore, is officially God's own bathroom.
@iManiRatnam >> Where its raining in Chennai? pls update the location.
RT @iManiRatnam: hey guys i'm in home. just now had a small sleep here and now its rainin here in chennai... luv tis rain so much.. (2:58pm)
Chennai - Showers expected for central, West and S-W chennai.
RT @bijumly: @weatherofindia Good Climate at Bangalore now, expecting some rain at evening!
Chennai - Good sea breeze has set in and now 2:34pm we can see a thunder cell precipitating over S. suburbs of Chennai
Bihar, Jharkand, Bengal, ... will get widespread monsoon showers from the N.Bay LOW from 25-Jun to 27-Jun.
RT @piyush_veere: @weatherofindia You said that bihar'll get monsoon by 20th june..but we're still thirsty. When'll bihar get monsoon ??
RT @rajugana: RT @weatherofindia: Baroda-9.55 AM- Sunny, hot and humid, partly cloudy, as passing clouds SW.Agonising wait for sky to open!
Chennai - Still a stiff breeze from WEST continues.
Chennai - Touched 37.4Â°C (1:32pm) and rising !! Good low cloud formation continues. Increased possibility of thunder shower towards evening
RT @snehalpotey: @weatherofindia raining hard in mumbai. dark clouds hanging. looks pretty good prospect whole day. pakoda chai time maaaan!
RT @dxndavis: @weatherofindia hei she is back...its rainy days again at trivandrum from today morning ..coool... (8:12am)
Chennai - Evening of 22-Jun.. South and South-West Chennai got its first evening thunder shower.