Weekend Outlook for 27th and 28th July:
The short lived BB-7 , now over Northern Bay, will move W/NW into MP. Short lived, as it is expected to fizzle out by Sunday over MP. Weak because it is likely to contain its precipitation over a smaller region.
It may not even activate the west coast trough.
This sytem, BB-7, (dont know whether I should number it at all), will keep the axis a bit South of its normal position.
But, as mentioned, if it fizzles out, and only an UAC survives as a remnant, then the axis moves North again from Monday.
West coast shore trough may tend to weaken from next week, and in absence of any system in Bay, East Coast trough would not exist.
A chance of A Low forming in Bay on 1st August.
27th Saturday, as the system moves inland, : Heavy rains expected over Northern Chattisgarh and adjoining East MP. Districts of Itarsi will be affected. The Itarsi-Amravati line will recieve the maximum rains.
Due to upper air vortex, Udaipur district or nearby regions can get heavy rains on saturday evening.
Moderate rains over North Konkan and Coastal Karnataka (40-60 mms) in many places.
28th Sunday, heavy rains shifts West into MP, with heavy falls in MP. Districts ofIndore, Bhopal and Ujjain face heavy showers.
Nagpur gets showers increasing on Sunday. Some heavy and with thunder. 25-30 mms possible.
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The short lived BB-7 , now over Northern Bay, will move W/NW into MP. Short lived, as it is expected to fizzle out by Sunday over MP. Weak because it is likely to contain its precipitation over a smaller region.
It may not even activate the west coast trough.
This sytem, BB-7, (dont know whether I should number it at all), will keep the axis a bit South of its normal position.
But, as mentioned, if it fizzles out, and only an UAC survives as a remnant, then the axis moves North again from Monday.
West coast shore trough may tend to weaken from next week, and in absence of any system in Bay, East Coast trough would not exist.
A chance of A Low forming in Bay on 1st August.
27th Saturday, as the system moves inland, : Heavy rains expected over Northern Chattisgarh and adjoining East MP. Districts of Itarsi will be affected. The Itarsi-Amravati line will recieve the maximum rains.
Due to upper air vortex, Udaipur district or nearby regions can get heavy rains on saturday evening.
Moderate rains over North Konkan and Coastal Karnataka (40-60 mms) in many places.
28th Sunday, heavy rains shifts West into MP, with heavy falls in MP. Districts ofIndore, Bhopal and Ujjain face heavy showers.
Nagpur gets showers increasing on Sunday. Some heavy and with thunder. 25-30 mms possible.
More cities on Vagaries