From 29-Oct... very heavy rain forecast for S. Tamilnadu and heavy rain for entire Tamilnadu coast.. http://ow.ly/i/k0LB

Due to another circulation over Gulf Mannar.. heavy widespread showers for entire Tamilnadu coast will start from 29-Oct.

In another 24hrs a circulation will enter into Gulf Mannar again and it'll move West brushing S.Tip of Tamilnadu.. http://ow.ly/i/k0L1

The present circulation over Gulf Mannar will be dead in another 12hrs and another weak circulation popped over S.Bay. http://ow.ly/i/k0Kp

Arabian sea LOW has moved W-N-W and now over S-W-central Arabian sea ... and now models suggest a N-W movement.. http://ow.ly/i/k0HE

chennai - Heavy showers will start again for city around midnight .. now 8:52pm showers has started washing coasts North (25km) of city

7:30am, sat.shot shows the heavy cloud formation over LOW in S. Arabian sea .. .. http://ow.ly/i/jYGr

7:30am, Sat. shot shows Heavy monsoon rains from S.Andhra coast to S.Tip tamilnadu .. http://ow.ly/i/jYGr

GFS predicts Two Cyclones in the next two weeks in North Indian basin... http://ow.ly/7agJA

NO let up in heavy rains seen along entire Tamilnadu coast till 31-Oct... WOW .. great start to N-E Monsoon for Tamilnadu chennai

As long as there's an active LOW over Arabian sea... N-E monsoon will be very active ALL along Tamilnadu coast .. chennai

COLA GFS predicts that the present S.Arabian sea low to become a depression and move North into N.Arab sea on 1-Nov.. http://ow.ly/i/jYFa

COLA GFS predicts that the present S.Arabian sea low to become a depression and move North into N.Arab sea on 1-Nov.. http://ow.ly/i/jYFa

After today heavy rain for S.Tamilnadu will start again from Saturday.. http://ow.ly/i/jYEE

In another 24hrs.. South Bay will pop a weak circulation and it'll move W-N-W towards S.Tamilnadu.

In another 24hrs.. South Bay will pop a weak circulation and it'll move W-N-W towards S.Tamilnadu.

S.Arabian sea LOW is moving W-N-W ... COLA model expects it to stay there for 2 days and then move North.. http://ow.ly/i/jYDF

RT @srini21: Sun tv now says that holiday declared to all schools and colleges even in chennai. .. 8am

GFS predicts Two Cyclones in the next two weeks in North Indian basin

The most important South West Monsoon (SWM) has withdrawn with less number of cylones in 2011. However, the North East Monsoon (NEM) has simultaneously set in. A near cyclone has already crossed the coast of Bangladesh/Myanmar last week. Most models predict above normal rains for this year's NEM.

Renowned model - GFS is predicting two cyclone in either seas surrounding Indian peninsula. One each in Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.

The First storm is taking the same route which Cyclone Phet 2010 took. It kisses the Arabian peninsula and travels west crossing Pakistan / Indian (Gujarat) coast. The Pakistan/Indian areas of Gujarat and Rajasthan which have already got more than their normal rains, can rejoice with this un-expected cyclone with the rains it brings. The wind speed are expected to be at 100 km/hr. This system is already in the process of forming, a Low pressure Area (LPA) has already formed. JTWC, NRL Navy & FNMOC have already started to track this system. The sea surface temperature (SST) is also ripe for a cyclone. The system is presently located at 7.6N 64.5E and the Minimum Sea Level Pressure (MSLP) is 1010 mb. The maximum sustained surface winds are 15 knots.

Arabian Sea Cyclone expected near Pakistan coast on 3rd November

















A Very Severe cyclone is expected near Tamil Nadu coast on 10th November.

This is very early to comment at this future cyclone. However the storm looks scary. If the storm forms in the same intensity the GFS model predicts, it will be one of the strongest cyclone to cross Tamil Nadu coast. Winds are expected over 150 km/hr. Hope the Government takes necessary precautions at that time. As of now not much information is available. So lets see how accurate GFS model is.