Friday, December 03, 2010

RT @msdcrazy: Right now we are gonna dash off to the town and grab some snacks.its freezing here in ooty ..brr... wonder that it didnt rain.
RT @thesvt: @weatherofindia some weather model predicting that 93A will move toward maharashtra coast. .. YES, even IMD-GFS predicts that !!

Tropical Cyclone Abele - South Indian Ocean

On November 30, 2010, the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season came to a close, but tropical cyclones are a global phenomenon, and it’s always cyclone season somewhere. On November 29, 2010, Tropical Cyclone Abele formed over the southern Indian Ocean. On December 1, 2010, the U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center reported that Abele had maximum sustained winds of 40 knots (75 kilometers per hour) with gusts up to 50 knots (95 kilometers per hour). The storm was located some 675 nautical miles (1,250 kilometers) west-southwest of Cocos Island, Australia.
The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite captured this natural-color image of Abele on December 1, 2010. Abele spans hundreds of kilometers over the open ocean. The storm lacks a distinct eye, but sports the apostrophe shape characteristic of tropical cyclones.
Over the past two centuries, tropical cyclones have killed nearly two million people, and forecasters worldwide continually strive to improve storm forecasts. In less developed parts of the globe, a dearth of data has historically hampered predictions. A new tool in forecasters’s arsenal, however, is the Pleiades supercomputer at NASA’s Ames Research Center. Relying on Pleiades’ computing muscle, researchers have been able to model storm formation by feeding the computer data about wind speed, temperature, and mositure. In the case of Cyclone Nargis, which struck in 2008, researchers were able to replicate the tropical cyclone’s formation five days in advance. The project offered hope for improving future predictions worldwide.
Coldest Winter in 100 Years, Europe Shivers ...
"94B" is expected to move in W-N-W direction crossing Srilanka and then into Gulf Mannar on 5/6-Dec..
5:30am, 2 LOW over S-W and S.Bay .. and another over S-W Arabian sea..
Due to "94B" and Easterlies very heavy showers forecast for Central and N. Tamilnadu coast from evening of 3,4,5,6-Dec..
RT @emkay456: @weatherofindia now 94B has cropped up in the Bay. so both West and East drumming up !!
2pm, Heavy rain along Central Tamilnadu coast and N,N-E Srilanka.. as "94B" slowly moves N-W and Easterlies taking over.
2 active LOWs on both sides of peninsula .. "93A" and "94B" ...
RT @inneram: மழை வெள்ளத்தில் மூழ்கும் கடலூர் மாவட்டம்!
RT @rameshsethu: Gone in rain: 10 lakh sq m of roads - via @TOI ~ DMK busy in covering up 2G SCAM and not potholes.
Indian Peninsula with Twin lows on both sides.

In the Arabian Sea, its 93A, with a pressure at 1006 mb and situated at 7N and 62.4E. Winds at 25 knots.
It has shifted slightly east of the previous location,more into warmer waters, and now is elongated and more dis-organised.
Likely track: Initially North.

And in the Bay, 94B, with pressure at 1006 mb, and winds at 15 knots, situated at 5.1N and 89.2 E. Embedded in the monsoon trough, likely to deepen and consolidate, as SST is around 28c in the area.
Likely Track: Will be towards the Sri Lanka and exterme South T.N. coast. And may re-emerge in the Arabian Sea in 2 days.
Both IMD and COLA GFS models agree on Very heavy showers for entire C and N. Tamilnadu coast from 3-Dec till 6-Dec..
Showers along Tamilnadu coast will reduce rapidly from 7-Dec.
COLA-GFS still expects a Cyclone/Depression nearing Gujarat coast on 10-Dec...
This is the strong westerlies expected over N,N-W and C.India on 6-Dec...
IMD-GFS expects that a S-W monsoon kind of moisture push into Kerala coast will start from 6-Dec when the westerlies affects C.India
A strong westerlies will start affecting the N, N-W and Central India from 6-Dec, this will steer the expected LOW near Orissa to move E-N-E
A circulation from E. Bay.. expected to move into N-N-W Bay around 6-Dec, this is expected to come close to Orissa coast.
8:30am, Very heavy cloud activity over S, S-E and S-W Bay...
The present easterlies will peak over Central Tamilnadu coast on 4-Dec and eventually will affect N.TN coast on 5-Dec..
This week's 2nd easterlies will start affecting C.coast Tamilnadu from Noon of 3-Dec...
8:30am, The S-W arabian sea LOW system persisted and not moved much ..
A new LOW circulation has formed over S-S-E Bay just above 5th parallel .. ... it'll move in a W-N-W direction.
RT @inneram: மழைக்கு பலியானவர்களுக்கு ரூ.1.31 கோடி இழப்பீடு
RT @inneram: கனமழை! தமிழக, புதுவைப் பள்ளிகளுக்கு தொடர் விடுமுறை