Tuesday, June 11, 2013

Synoptic Situation as on Tuesday Night (11th June)

1. The 200 hpa jet streams have become westerlies in the absolute North of  the sub continent.This indicates an easier movement of systems from the Bay to move inland without any sort of "resistance."

2. The UAC in Northern most regions of India and Pakistan are attracting SE winds interaction with SW winds. Along with the heated lands, it has brought about massive clouds and thunderstorms. Rawalpindi had a severe dust storm with rain on Tuesday evening.

3.The trough at the 700 hpa level will strengthen in the NWI and Northern India regions in the next few days. Due to resistance from 850 hpa level in Central India (the UAC), the upper air trough (700 hpa) will precipitate thunder showers  some severe, along the plains of UP, Haryana and the foothills of Himalayas till Saturday 15th June.  (SWM advance could be announced)

4.Today's newly formed UAC in the Bay will now, in all probability track W/NW and move along the Central Indian regions.From Thursday 13th June, precipitation will move westwards thru Orissa and Chattisgarh.

By Sunday 16th June, we may see precipitation in Gujarat and west coast of India (details later as we approach the dates), and move into Coastal Sindh and Karachi early next week.
Southern and interior peninsula may see a relatively "less rainfall" period till Monday.

We will monitor this daily, and On Thursday, vagaries will put up another detailed forecast schedule...from vagaries
RT @arvindjshah: Cochin has seen some very heavy rains tdy btwn 1:30 pm, now (8 45 pm) intense water logging in the city, seasons heaviest
8pm, Heavy rain seen along S,N.Odisha, S.Chatisgarh, N,N-E,central Andhra, E.Maharastra, N,N-E.Madhyapradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/2kGQt 

#Delhi can expect rain from tomorrow till 17-Jun.

RT @ambaarsaria: @weatherofindia its already raining in here #Amritsar (8:19pm)

Amristar - can expect rain on 13,14,15-Jun.

Jaipur - have a chance of rain tomorrow as well.

Bhopal - can expect showers from tomorrow and Heavy on 13,14-Jun.
In next 36hrs, Heavy rain expected for Odisha, Chatisgarh, N,N-E.Andhra and into N,E.Maharastra... http://ow.ly/i/2kFKp 

During next 24hrs, T.showers expected for W,N.Uttarpradesh, #Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal and Uttarakand... http://ow.ly/i/2kFKp

In next 24hrs, Rain also expected for N,W,S.Madhyapradesh, S,S-E,E,N-E.Rajasthan... http://ow.ly/i/2kFKp

For next 2 days, very LESS rain forecast for Bihar, Jharkand (except south), Bengal (except south) and even for N-E states (except N,S)

As N.Bay LOW moves inland, HEAVY rain is expected to follow into Chatisgarh, E,N.Maharastra, S.Madhyapradesh, E.Gujarat on 12,13,14,15-Jun

Kerala to get more #Monsoon rain for next 48hrs and more ..!

Maharastra coast, #Mumbai is expected to get scattered , medium showers till 13-Jun.

Karnataka coast to get more Heavy rain during next 5 days !!

Rain will persist over S,W.Gujarat during next 2 days.. until the Bay LOW reaches E.Gujarat. VERY heavy rain expected from 14-Jun.
The 2 propellers of #Monsoon, a circulation near and over W.Gujarat coast, another over N.Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/2kCGK

Both the circulations extend from low to upper levels in height !

The W.Gujarat coast circulation is expected to persist for another 3 days almost in that same zone... http://ow.ly/i/2kCZc

Meanwhile the N.Bay circulation is expected to push inland thru Odisha, N-E.Andhra coast in next 24 to 36hrs... http://ow.ly/i/2kD4v

The Bay circulation is expected to travel thru Odisha, Chatisgarh, N,N-E.Maharastra, S.Madhyapradesh and reach E.Gujarat on 14-Jun.

The Bay circulation is expected to merge with Arabian sea circulation over Gujarat on 15-Jun ... http://ow.ly/i/2kDfD

During this process, Bay is expected to pop another circulation along Odisha coast on 15-Jun .!

Today, the Offshore trough is very well established from S-W.Gujarat coast to central Kerala coast ... http://ow.ly/i/2kDR0

In next 3 days, offshore trough is expected to deepen and D.Depression strength pressure 990mb is expected along S-W.Gujarat coast on 13-Jun 
RT @thisismmk: @weatherofindia Slight drizzle started in Madipakkam, #Chennai. Any chance of it getting heavier? (7:42pm)

@thisismmk >> #Chennai - 7:50pm, Another quick moving sharp shower is moving towards S,S-W suburbs of city.
#Chennai - More sharp showers now 7:19pm over Pallavaram.

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia #Bangalore 7.10pm: Dark passing clouds, heavy wind, slight rain @ some parts of the city. 
RT @madrasmanoj: @weatherofindia rains now lashing in Tambaram, #Chennai (6:25pm) 

#Chennai - Heavy drizzle now 6:45pm over Pallavaram zone.
Mumbai heavy rain on 10-Jun-2013... video posted in Facebook.
#Chennai - 5:05pm, Drizzling now over Pallavaram zone.

RT @akwaghmare: @weatherofindia >> 4:59pm, #Pune dry. Only cloud cover but no rain. Typical #June in Pune. 
RT @archvivekh: Rains lashing my area! Am stranded! #ambattur @weatherofindia http://t.co/1zz5XlHoeP 

RT @kaymenon: @weatherofindia Very heavy rains and strong winds lashing #Trivandrum at 4:24 pm

RT @yamiskr6l: @weatherofindia 3:30 pm and its drizzling in ambattur (chennai) 

#Chennai - 3:50pm, Showers seen scattered over N,N-W zones of City. More showers is expected to sweep into city from W-N-W in another 1 hr.

RT @achaldeoda: Lovely Rains in #Chennai http://t.co/EiYmD0ZR6z (4:12pm)

Mallout - Punjab - 2:40pm, "bad weather conditions here ,but no rain, only dust storm"

Mallout- 2:58pm, "now heavy rainfall some hails"

RT @vishnu306: Heavy rain in alleppey with strong wind #monsoon #kerala (2:50pm)
#Chennai - 2:10pm, Temperature around 36 C. Now 2:38pm, it is showing signs of early showers. Sea breeze expected soon!.

At 2:15pm, lots of mini showers have popped all along N-E.Tamilnadu and into S.Andhra, All within 80km W,S-W,N-W from #Chennai.

Today, Scattered rain expected for S.Andhra coast, N-E,central Tamilnadu and #Chennai... http://ow.ly/i/2kwKM 

During next 48hrs, Heavy scattered rain expected for N,N-E.Andhra... http://ow.ly/i/2kwKM

During next 3 days, HEAVY and widespread #Monsoon rain for Karnataka coast, ALL over Kerala and S.tip Tamilnadu .. http://ow.ly/i/2kwQj 
RT @shaan4me: Rain is back after 48hrs in #kochi. Love it. Mom said it rained from night. @weatherofindia (8am)

RT @stillmgame: @weatherofindia its raining very heavily in jaipur.... (2pm) http://t.co/KsVdXkyYfL

1:30pm, Rain seen over E.Rajasthan, N.Odisha, Jharkand & Chatisgarh border, E.Uttarpradesh, S.Kashmir, Himachal.. http://ow.ly/i/2kwsM 

1:30pm, T.showers popping over W,S.Gujarat, E.Maharastra and N.Andhra. Cloudy over most of N.India.. http://ow.ly/i/2kwsM

1:30pm, Today, Monsoon is active along Karnataka coast, N,central Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/2kwsM