Monday, October 31, 2016
So far NE Monsoon is weak along Tamilnadu coast, N Tamilnadu and #Chennai.
Expected to be so during next 3 days !
Today till mid-morning, #Chennai suburbs, city experiences "scattered moderate / light rain".
Dry 2/3 days ahead !
5:30pm, Heavy scattered T showers again over S,SW Tamilnadu and into S Kerala .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ouZc0.jpg
Till 8:30am today..
HEAVY rain over W,SW,S Tamilnadu.
Udumalpet, Vadipatti = 12cm
Pollachi = 11cm
Pechiparai = 10cm .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ouZuk.jpg
Analysis show a strong easterlies has pushed into SE Bay and a weak low-level circulation seen over Andaman sea ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ouZTI.jpg
GFS expects a WML or even a Depression from this present circulation over S-central Bay on 2-Nov ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ov0wI.jpg
Towards Friday, GFS expects this upcoming circulation to become a Cyclone/Deep depression and track towards N Andhra / Odisha !
If "that" happens, most of Tamilnadu & Chennai will have DRY spell from 2-Nov to 7/8-Nov !
Meanwhile, scattered HEAVY T showers ahead for SW Karnataka, many zones of Kerala, W,SW,S-central,S Tamilnadu during next 36hrs... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ov1lq.jpg
For N,central,coastal Tamilnadu, Chennai and S,central Andhra .. morning / mid-morning / noon "moderate, scattered rain" expected on 1-Nov.