Thursday, December 22, 2011

5pm, Entire S,S-W,S-E Bay is active ..

Tropical Storm Washi devastated the Philippines on December 16 and 17, 2011

Tropical Storm Washi devastated the Philippines on December 16 and 17, 2011. Though not powerful in the traditional sense—the storm’s winds never reached higher than 55 knots (100 kilometers per hour or 63 miles per hour) and it lacked the organization of an intense typhoon or hurricane—Washi unleashed extremely heavy rain on northwest Mindanao. The resulting floods left hundreds dead or missing.
This image shows rainfall between December 15 and noon on December 19. Dark blue spots indicate areas of extremely heavy rain, and the largest area of intense rain is in northwest Mindanao. The image was made with data from the Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis, which combines measurements from many satellites and calibrates them with rainfall data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite.
Most of the rain fell on Friday, December 16. The rain rushed down mountain slopes and converged on coastal communities overnight while people were sleeping. The ensuing flash floods left 957 dead and 1,582 injured as of December 20 (local time), reported the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council. Most of the fatalities are in two cities: Cagayan De Oro and Iligan City. Nearly 340,000 people have been affected by the disaster.
Most of the models indicate LESS share of showers for N. Tamilnadu, chennai from the upcoming LOW and Strong easterlies.
IMD GFS model predicting a 27-Dec, LOW over S-W Bay ..
COLA model predicting a 26-Dec, LOW over S-W Bay ..
NOGAPS model predicting a 26-Dec, LOW over S-W Bay ..
Today, Almost ALL models predict a LOW / Depression to form over S-W Bay on 26/27-Dec.
More fall in min. temperatures forecast for N,N-W, Central India for next 2 days !!
On 21-Dec, lowest minimum temperature of 1.2 C has been recorded at Bhatinda (Punjab)
FOG continues and will continue over parts of W, E U.P, Bihar, Punjab, Haryana and even into Assam.
IMD GFS predicts that the easterlies to reach entire Tamilnadu coast on 25-Dec, Christmas day !! ..
Today, S-E Bay is witnessing the start of another strong easterlies ...
IMD :: country as a whole has received 48 per cent less rain than normal thus far during this season (Oct to Dec-2011).
chennai - Today morning 20.7 C (6:56am) and temp. now 2:15pm is 28.4 C .. going to be another mild evening and Cold night !