Thursday, October 03, 2013

Chennai - Polichalur zone got second round of heavy rain from 10:40pm to 11pm

NE Monsoon Watch - 2 (Advance Parameters)...3rd October 2013..Das report is long, please read detailed report with Part 1 also on Vagaries

Heavy rain ahead for S,E Uttarpradesh in 36hrs.

Before tomorrow evening, more HEAVY rain for E,N-E Madhyapradesh, S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh and for E,N Maharastra.
From Tomorrow noon, more HEAVY rain expected for S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh. And HEAVY rain for W,S Bihar and N,N-W Jharkhand from Friday evening.

Anti-cyclone is expected to take shape over N-W India from Saturday, expected N-E re-curve of Madhyapradesh circulation to happen in 24hrs

The present off-shore trough along S,central-coast maharastra and Goa to persist during next 48hrs.. HEAVY showers for these zones expected!


Madhyapradesh and central-coast Maharastra circulation persists !

Latest analysis show that circulation is seen over central Madhyapradesh and another along central Maharastra coast over Sea.

9pm, #Chennai - HEAVY rain seen over W,W-S-W and S-W from city at around 45 to 100km. Now near  Poonamalle, Tiruvallur zones.

#Bangalore - 7pm, "mostly no rain for the day."

#Belgaum - 9pm, "received rain at around 3pm for half an hour.Today whole day cloudy."

Indore - mostly cloudy weather but no rain

Shahdol (E Madhyapradesh) - Today, Intermittent sharp spells of rain. Once it was very heavy in afternoon.

Malout - Today it was mostly clear skies !

8:30pm, HEAVY rain continue over central,E,N, S-coast Maharastra, N,N-W Andhra, S,central,E Madhyapradesh and into S Uttarpradesh.
8:30pm, T showers also seen over S,S-E Karnataka, N,N-E,central Tamilnadu... http://ow.ly/i/3jYXD 

Heavy rain over E,S-E Madhyapradesh today and Depression over Bay expected on 8-Oct

3pm, HEAVY rain over E,central,S Madhyapradesh, E,N Maharastra, S Chatisgarh, S Odisha, N,N-E Andhra, S Bengal .. http://ow.ly/i/3jMIZ

Latest analysis show that the low,mid level circulation is over E,central Madhyapradesh ... http://ow.ly/i/3jN4b 
The low level circulation near central Maharastra coast persists ... and the offshore trough is seen upto N Kerala http://ow.ly/i/3jNb1 

This offshore trough from central Maharastra coast to Karnataka coast is expected to persist till Saturday !
GFS model suggests a N-E re-curve for the present Madhyapradesh circulation in next 36hrs ... http://ow.ly/i/3jNg4 
But WRF models suggest a stagnant low level circulation over W Madhyapradesh during next 2 days !

A remnant circulation from Pacific is expected to pop into E-S-E Bay on 6/7-Oct... and this is expected to become LOW / Depression on 8-Oct 
E Bay may host a Depression or even a Cyclone by 9-Oct.. and track towards N-E Andhra and Odisha coast ! http://ow.ly/i/3jNpG 

#Chennai rain 3:20pm

#Chennai - 3:20pm, Showers seen over S-W zones of city. And more showers seen over W-N-W,N-W from city at around 60 to 100km.

#Chennai - 3:30pm, HEAVY rain now over Polichalur zone.


#Chennai - 4pm, HEAVY rain continue even now over Polichalur zone. Mild drizzle now over Pallavaram zone.. http://ow.ly/i/3jMXQ