GFS - Cyclonec Keila to skid along the coast of India, Pakistan, Iran and Oman

NCEP GFS
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Keila track - Cyclone shown near oman on 15th June. First target is Gujarat




















NCEP GFS 925mb wind swath
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GFS showing cyclone near Pakistan on June 13




















NOGAPS Model
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Shows more of a Bay of Bengal Activity





















CDAC model
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Model shows cyclone near Gujarat coast on 11th June 2011






















ECMWF Model
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This shows an active bay activity while remnants of cyclone Keila are near oman.


















CMC Model
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Shows more of a bay of bengal activity.



















IMD GFS (T382 model)
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It shows dissipating after coming near to Indian coast
























Thailand Unified Model
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Taken from http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.com/

RT @Shrenit10: Thats wrong Rakesh, its raining in mumbai since 2 pm & extremely heavy rains r expected till sunday @Aditya_UG

RT @jayaramk1983: @weatherofindia (3.38PM) Raining in Pune since 1.30PM. No pic though.

S. Maharastra coast will get Heavy showers for another 24 hrs and then it'll go down till 15-Jun .. All this due to Cyclone formation !

"98A" - Still lingering over N-E. Arabian sea will intensify in 48 hrs ... http://bit.ly/k6QzM1

Chennai - Having a moderate temp. at 35 deg C ... Chance of a T.shower after 4pm

Today, Vertical velocity along S. Andhra coast and Maharastra coast are on higher side... expect some heavy afternoon showers .

"98A" - Still lingering over N-E. Arabian sea will intensify in 48 hrs

98A is now a LOW pressure system and lingering over N-E Arabian sea and showing signs of intensifying in another 48 hrs and expected to move in N-N-W direction.

Latest position ::  18.1N , 69.3E
Pressure :: 1000 mb
wind speed :: 55 KmpH

JTWC has issued a Cyclone formation Alert 

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 19.1N 
69.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 69.8E, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF 
MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT 
DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 082028Z TRMM 85 GHZ MICROWAVE SATELLITE 
IMAGE ALSO INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION CURVING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN 
PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS GOOD 
OUTFLOW TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM, AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW HAS 
INCREASED SLIGHTLY. UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS PLACES THE 
SYSTEM JUST TO THE SOUTH OF A RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF WEAK 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE. MEAN SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE (MSLP) AT MUMBAI, INDIA IS 1000 MB, A 2 MB DROP IN THE PAST 
24 HOURS. A NEARBY SHIP REPORT MEASURED 1000 MB MSLP AS WELL. THE 
LLCC IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY, AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 28-33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 999 MB. DUE TO DECREASING PRESSURES, PERSISTENT DEEP 
CONVECTION, AND INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.

COLA model suggests a Cyclone on 11-Jun and making landfall over Pakistan on 14-Jun

While the IMD model suggests a landfall over Oman on 14-Jun

Kerala and Karnataka to start getting more heavy showers from 14-Jun and will peak on 16,17-Jun ... http://ping.fm/gQUH7

RT @Aditya_UG: @weatherofindia Bandra/Khar today! Too hot. http://ping.fm/fdzTC

@JenDelgadoCNN >> UAC = Upper Air Circulation

@Aditya_UG >> Mumbai and Maharastra coast will be dry for next 3 days till the Low "98A" system intensifies and moves N-N-W

Monsoon has advanced over some more parts of Bay of Bengal and N-E states thanks to the UAC over N. Bay. http://ping.fm/DBm70

RT @rajugana: Baroda 10.30am, Yestday 37-26C, Now it's clear sky, sunny, hot & humid. No clouds and no indications of rains???