Latest tracking of cyclone "sidr"

Take a look at the latest tracking and forecast of path for the Giant "sidr".
Current position is NEAR 15.0N 89.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT(222.24 KM/hr), GUSTS 145 KT(268.54 KM/hr) ... oh....oh this is massive if this giant makes landfall.

The current forecast of path is towards...South-east West-bengal & South-west of Bangladesh.

Local cricket highlights

Take a look at our local cricket. We usually play every Sunday morning at a public Ground in T.nagar,Chennai, India.
It'll be interesting to watch, How crowded the ground is??? I think u'll enjoy it.
More videos and snaps to come later.

"sidr" a Category 4 hurricane

This morning, I spoke about an apparent weakening of TC Sidr, which the JTWC had earlier reckoned to be a Category 4 hurricane with 115-knot (210-kmh) highest sustained winds. This latest infrared shot

...suggests to me a strengthened (or strengthening) storm with concentric outflow and a well-marked eye. It is a powerful and dangerous tropical cyclone.

The JTWC have not updated since 0600 hours, GMT, Tuesday. The IMD forecast path is here. They have adjusted eastward since I looked at this early in my shift.

Latest numerical forecasts still have disagreement. Actually, I have seen a new NOGAPS, which drives SIdr towards western Bangladesh (Thursday landfall is indicated), and the GFS, which weakens it northwestward to eastern India (landfall is unclear, but seems to be Saturday).

A sub-tropical jet stream is over the northern Subcontinent and so its behavior will bear upon Sidr`s path. A meaningful dip in this stream was shown by the earlier ECMWF to `pick up` Sidr`and send it towards the Bangladesh-Myanmar borderlands. A weaker stream seems to be the cause of the sluggishness seen on the GFS. I am leaning towards the more northerly path, but its no more than a hunch.

Cyclone Advisory - IMD

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
RSMC-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI

TROPICAL STORM “SIDR” ADVISORY NO. SIXTEEN ISSUED AT 0200 UTC OF 14TH NOVEMBER, 2007. THE VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM “SIDR” OVER SOUTHEAST AND ADJOINING CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL MOVED FURTHER NORTHWARD AND LAY CENTRED AT 0000 UTC OF 14TH NOVEMBER 2007 OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND ADJOINING WEST-CENTRAL & SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LAT. 14.50 N AND LONG 89.50 E, ABOUT 480 KM NORTHWEST OF PORT BLAIR (43333 ).

ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE: 964hPa.
THE SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW SOLID INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE.
CURRENT INTENSITY: T5.0 RPT T5.0.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS 90-100 KTS AROUND THE STORM CENTRE.
SEA: PHENOMENAL.
FORECAST: THE STORM IS LIKELY TO MOVE IN A NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AT ABOUT 08 KT.
INTENSITY T5.5 RPT T5.5 WITH WINDS OF 105 KTS GUSTING TO 125 KTS NEAR THE CENTRE OF THE STORM AT 0000 UTC OF 15TH NOVEMBER 2007.

cyclone "sidr" weakening??

Here i've some numeric forecast for the next 24hrs from WXMAPS suggest "sidr" is going to weaken.
Is this going to happen??? If yes then it's going to be a good news for the people of Orissa, Bengal & Bangladesh.


Another scenario here, the latest satellite pic indicates NO SIGN of letting down.