Wednesday, November 23, 2011
"98B" - Not to become as Cyclone !
Position :: 3.0 N and 82.2 E
Pressure :: 1008mb
JTWC warning
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Latest Satellite IR shot of system
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Latest GFS model predicts that the system will travel WEST towards S. Srilanka on evening of 24-Nov. Then it'll move W-N-W into mouth of Gulf Mannar on 25-Nov and touch S.Tip of Tamilnadu and move into Arabian sea on evening of 26-Nov.
Heavy rain forecast for central, N.coastal Tamilnadu, Chennai and Kanyakumari district of Tamilnadu from 25-Nov to 28-Nov.
Pressure :: 1008mb
JTWC warning
------------------------------
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.2N 89.5E, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED A DISTURBED AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. THIS AREA IS ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN EQUATORIAL BUFFER CELL IN SURFACE ANALYSIS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA IS LOCATED UNDER A SMALL POCKET OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, APPROXIMATELY 10 DEGREES SOUTH OF A RIDGE AXIS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA ARE 29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN AGGRESSIVELY BUILDING THIS CIRCULATION INTO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 48-60 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
Latest Satellite IR shot of system
--------------------------------------------------
Latest GFS model predicts that the system will travel WEST towards S. Srilanka on evening of 24-Nov. Then it'll move W-N-W into mouth of Gulf Mannar on 25-Nov and touch S.Tip of Tamilnadu and move into Arabian sea on evening of 26-Nov.
Heavy rain forecast for central, N.coastal Tamilnadu, Chennai and Kanyakumari district of Tamilnadu from 25-Nov to 28-Nov.
Category:
Cyclones,
IMD Report,
JTWC,
North East Monsoon
@nravs >> chennai - will have good cloud formations from tomorrow, and showers expected to start from early hours of Friday
Category:
chennai
Very heavy rainfall warning for central, N. Tamilnadu coast and S. tip Tamilnadu (Kanyakumari) on 26,27-Nov.. http://ow.ly/i/lUOY
Heavy/ sharp showers will start over N. Tamilnadu coast , chennai from early hrs of Friday... http://ow.ly/i/lUOm
Category:
chennai
Showers along S, central Tamilnadu coast will start from noon/evening of tomorrow... http://ow.ly/i/lUNL
Under the influence of "98B" and Easterlies.. Heavy rain for S. Tamilnadu, S. Kerala from 25-Nov till 29-Nov.. http://ow.ly/i/lUNl
"98B" will become as a LOW and touch S. Srilanka on 25-Nov and touch S.tip of Tamilnadu on 26-Nov and move N-W... http://ow.ly/i/lUMI
Today, "98B" has formed just along 5th parallel and it's expected movement is West towards S. Srilanka.. http://ow.ly/i/lUM5
Hacked Emails reveal Global Warming a Scam!
A fresh tranche of private emails exchanged between leading climate scientists throughout the last decade was released online on Tuesday. The unauthorised publication is an apparent attempt to repeat the impact of a similar release of emails on the eve of the Copenhagen climate summit in late 2009.The initial email dump was apparently timed to disrupt the Copenhagen climate talks. It prompted three official inquiries in the UK and two in the US into the working practices of climate scientists. Although these were critical of the scientists' handling of Freedom of Information Act requests and lack of openness they did not find fault with the climate change science they had produced.
Norfolk police have said the new set of emails is "of interest" to their investigation to find the perpetrator of the initial email release who has not yet been identified.The emails appear to be genuine, but the University of East Anglia said the "sheer volume of material" meant it was not yet able to confirm that they were. One of the emailers, the climate scientist Prof Michael Mann, has confirmed that he believes they are his messages. The lack of any emails post-dating the 2009 release suggests that they were obtained at the same time, but held back. Their release now suggests they are intended to cause maximum impact before the upcoming climate summit in Durban which starts on Monday.
Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/11/breaking-on-eve-of-durban-climategate.html
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