Saturday, May 27, 2017

May 27, 2017 at 12:28PM


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94B to develop into Cyclone and "delay" in Monsoon for Kerala !!



10:30am, 94B WML over central Bay is slowly consolidating and drifted NNW.


The northern limit of SW #monsoon can be seen here in this chart ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vehMZ.gif 
94B is expected to become Depression in next 36hrs and continue to move North.
GFS expects it to develop into Cyclone on 30-May ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vehTU.jpg 


The timing of Bay Low 94B is perfect as far as #monsoon is concerned, Natural process is that the Bay LOW moving north will drag monsoon into S coast Kerala ! but, GFS is skeptical about this happening !! 
94B is expected to make landafall as a Cyclone over S Bangladesh on 30/31-May ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vei4L.jpg 
By this time 31-May, #monsoon current at low-levels "can" make a pseudo entry/presence into S Kerala.
There'll not be good winds at 700hpa ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/veibR.gif 

On 31-May, the 200hpa Jet stream is expected to turn easterlies upto 12N latitude...  sign of #Monsoon ! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/veiir.jpg 
Both ECMWF and GFS model expects a SE / central Arabian sea circulation on 2-Jun, this will make #monsoon to push into #Kerala on 2 or 3-Jun ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/veiwv.jpg 

Friday, May 26, 2017

May 26, 2017 at 03:42PM


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Thursday, May 25, 2017

May 25, 2017 at 05:00PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:52PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:42PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:36PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:34PM


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May 25, 2017 at 10:01AM


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Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Bay has popped a circulation, now all eyes on Monsoon reaching Kerala coast

RT @ChocolateLavaC1: 
Delhi: At 29.4°C, city sees lowest maximum temperature in May in seven years  https://t.co/hCdCSv2D5D 

Yesterday, Bilaspur touches #omg 49.3 C .. and here are some above 45s ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v4YSl.jpg 

#Chennai - moderate heat Yesterday, Nungambakkam 36.2 C, Airport 38.3 C.
Today it's bit high so far .. Nungambakkam 37.6 C, Airport 40 C


During next 3 days, there's NO change expected in #heatwave conditions across central,E-central India, S,central,SE Peninsula ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v4ZO5.jpg 

#Chennai - During next 3 days, city will record temps around 38 C, while the W,SW,NW suburbs can have 1 or 2 C above it... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v50Ca.jpg

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Today again, LWD seen from NW Karantaka to NW Tamilnadu all along W-ghats and another from S Tamilnadu to SW Bengal along SE-coast India.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v51oU.jpg 

#Monsoon has not propagated North during past 4 days.
Now, SSE Bay has popped an all important circulation ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v51Yv.jpg 
This Bay circulation is expected to slowly drift North into Bay and pulling Monsoon into Srilanka and then into S Kerala in coming days !! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v58cE.jpg 

Both ECMWF and GFS does not expect a SE Arabian sea circulation till 30th, while the present Bay circulation is expected to move North ! GFS expects the Monsoon for S Kerala on 31-May.
ECMWF expects on 30-May for S Kerala... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v59js.jpg 

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Present trend of scattered T showers over N,N-central,NW,W,SW #Tamilnadu and all over #Kerala to continue for next 2 days ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v5abP.jpg 
Next 2 days, Scattered T showers also expected over W-ghats,S,SW Karnataka, #Bengaluru , NE Andhra, Odisha and into SW,W,central Bengal.

Friday, May 19, 2017

Lightning Storm 17th May 2017 - KOLKATA , INDIA




A Strong Supercell Brushed Kolkata From the Western Side and Generated Squall and Massive Lightning Across the Night. 
CB clouds Height Exceeded 18 kms height . 

May 19, 2017 at 03:52PM


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May 19, 2017 at 03:48PM


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May 19, 2017 at 08:26AM


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May 19, 2017 at 08:01AM


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May 19, 2017 at 07:59AM


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Thursday, May 18, 2017

SWM 2017 promising for TN

It is high time one must start watching the "POWER HOUSE of SWM i.e MASCARENE HIGH.

The current position (180517/16LT) is promising.

Expert meteorologist are of the opinion that SWM 2017 will be NORMAL especially to Tamil Nadu  during JUNE & JULY 2017.

The farmers in delta regions must act accordingly and should ready to switch over to other crops which require lesser irrigation supply of water during AUG.{perhaps pulses, they can consider}
 Down South, TN will be getting fair share of rainfall.   Farmers can envisage paddy raising and plantain, in Tirunelveli district.

May 18, 2017 at 04:26PM


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May 18, 2017 at 01:27PM


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May 18, 2017 at 01:24PM


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May 18, 2017 at 12:53PM


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May 18, 2017 at 12:45PM


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May 18, 2017 at 12:42PM


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Wednesday, May 17, 2017

May 17, 2017 at 04:20PM


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May 17, 2017 at 04:05PM


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May 17, 2017 at 02:09PM


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May 17, 2017 at 07:31AM

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Monsoon now over South Andaman. 29-May for South Kerala !


#Chennai - 12:20pm, Nungambakkam 39.2 C (Touched 40.9 C around 45 min back).
Airport 42 C.
Yesterday, Nungambakkam 41.1 C

#Summer
Pre-monsoon HEAT is on over many zones of #India .. Here's a list of cities that recorded above 44 C .

Super #HOT days ahead for entire #India during next 5 days.
As usual no respite for N,NW,central India and for Telengana and Andhra.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/uQW1l.jpg 
Super Hot days (above 40 C) to continue till Sunday for #Chennai, N,NE,N-central,central #Tamilnadu .
Vellore zone may touch 1 or 2 45 C.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SW #Monsoon is now over South Islands of Andaman ... aided by a low,mid-level circulation seen over North Andaman sea near S Myanmar .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/uQXch.jpg 


Meanwhile, LWD seen from S Bengal to S Tamilnadu all along SE coast of India.. this'll pop more T showers in these zones today ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/uQXtj.jpg 
The seasonal N-S low-level trough from Bihar is seen along SE coast up to NE Andhra .. in next 3/4 days it'll drop further South to TN coast .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/uQXRh.jpg
... this'll make the DRY, HOT winds from NW,N to prevail ALL over peninsular India.
So NO let-up in heat expected #Chennai !

Today, scattered T showers will pop over kerala, S,SW Karnataka, N,NW,N-central Tamilnadu... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/uQYcy.jpg
Today, T showers also possible along LWD from NE Andhra to S,S-central Bengal, Jharkhand.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SW #Monsoon 2017 is expected to enter into South #Kerala on 28/29-May ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/uQZ8s.jpg 

Friday, May 12, 2017

May 12, 2017 at 01:18PM

Thunderstorm

Thunderstorms: Today Noon to night Tstorms and Rains on cards over West SW interior Tamilnadu, Westernghats region an foot hills will see moderate to 1 or 2 heavy spells.North NW interior Tamilnadu will be less active compared to South, SW interior Tamilnadu. 
Isolated showers expected over coastal tamilnadu, puducherry and Delta region.
Chennai to be cloudy and possibly light rains/passing showers could happen today. More over temperature going to be normal. yesterday chennai city recorded 32.9'C which is 3'C below normal temperature.
Image 1: GFS Temperature Layout
Image 2: GFS 24hr Precipitation layout
Image 3: Yesterday's Temperature observation



















Thursday, May 11, 2017

May 11, 2017 at 04:04PM

May 11, 2017 at 10:29AM

Thunderstorms set to continue today also....

Thunderstorms set to continue today also...Yesterday intensiveThunderstorms occured over SW tamilnadu ..Tirunelveli, Virudhunagar and Kanyakumari districts recieved more than 6cm rainfall.

Today Evening to night especially over South Southwest tamilnadu and westernghats region will see better rains Places likely Tirunelveli, kanyakumari, Didndugal, Madurai, Trichy, Kodaikanal, Coimbatore Tiruppur, Erode. Coimbatore city has chances to see rains today

Delta too inline for some isolated thunderstorms/Rain today Evening to Night.

Northwest tamilnadu places like Salem, Harur, Dharmapuri, Hosur, Krishnagiri,Jolarpet will see isolated Heavy spells.

Coastal: Puduchery, Cuddalore, Karaikal Nagapattinam and Ramanathapuram expected to see light rains. Chennai to see light rains today evening. Dont expect much possibly max we can see Drizzle to light rains especially over south Chennai.

is this Kathiri veyil??
Hopefully tamilnadu having better kathiri veyil this year. Yesterday no places hit 40'C. Madurai tops the table 39.6'C. Chennai city 34.7'C, Chennai Airport 35.5'C, Coimbatore 36.4'C, Trichy 37.1'C.
Today max temperature expected for interiors 37 to 40'C.Coastal and chennai 34 to 37'C.

Image 1: Yesterday's Temperature table
Image 2: GFS Today's max temperature Layout
Image 3: GFS 24hr Precipitation Layout
Image 4: The wind Confluence over West interior which will cause convergence and makes storms to build up. Westernghats and foothills will see intense storms

Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Another thunderstorm day ahead especially over South, West, Southwest interior tamilnadu

Another thunderstorm day ahead especially over South, West, Southwest interior tamilnadu. North,Northwest tamilnadu will be bit quiet compared to yesterday places like jolarpert, Tirupathur, krishangiri, Hosur Dharmapuri, Salem has chances to see some rains today.
Madurai, Tirunelveli, Dindigul, Virudhunagar, Theni districts ,Kodaikanal & Westerghtas region to see some good spells 1 or 2 heavy spells on cards around this area. Western TN like Erode, Coimbatore, Tiruppur, Nilgiris & Pollachi in and around have decent chances of Thunderstorms / Rains today evening to night. More the heat better the fuel to build storms.
Pondicherry, Cuddalore and Delta region had good spell around late night.. Virdachalam (Cuddalore District) 27mm, Kumbakonam (Thanjavur dist) 19mm. Today too isolated spell expected around north coastal from pondicherry to Ramanathapuram and delta region.
Parts of #kerala and SW, W #Karnataka to see moderate to 1 or 2 heavy spells
Will rain in chennai today?
Mostly we will be like watcher like yesterday, where storms occurred around chennai and gave much need rains to pondi lake and western suburbs, while North and South suburbs just witnessed mild Drizzle from high clouds for while. Max Temperature expected today 35-38'C.
Temperature over interior and coastal will turn down one or two degrees then yesterday, max temperature expected 37-40'C
Image 1 : GFS next 24hr Precipitation layout
Image 2: GFS temperature layout
Image 3: Temperature observation of yesterday 9/5/2017