Thursday, September 18, 2014

Posted Thursday Night ( 18th September):

South West Monsoon is in the withdrawal process, and has withdrawn from West Rajasthan. A ridge formation, an anticyclone in the 200 hpa level, and surface winds from the NW bringing a sharp reduction in humidity ensures speedy withdrawal from Rajasthan, Kutch, Punjab, HP and Kashmir by  Saturday 20th September.
Full article with Long term Forecast on www.vagaries.in

இந்திய பெருங்கடல்

 The Sun is approaching close to Equator.  Still south Indian Ocean temperature is NOT disturbed. .

Will the restrengthening of SWM power house [1032hPa] lead for another J&K like FLOODING in India [soon?]
ஆழ்கடல் மீன்பிடியில், இந்திய மீனவர்களை ஒப்பிடுகையில், தமிழக மீனவர்களுக்குதான் வாய்ப்புகள் அதிகம். காரணம், குமரி முனையினை அடுத்து நேர் தெற்கே இந்திய பெருங்கடல் சுமார் 10450 கி.மீ தூரம் அன்டர்டிக வரையில் பரவி உள்ளது. ஆழ்கடல் மீன்பிடிப்பினை ஊக்கபடுத்தும் வகையில் மீனவர்களுக்கு பெரும் மீன்பிடி கப்பல் வாங்க முயற்சி மேற்கொள்ள வேண்டும். மீனவரும் அரசும் இணைந்து -
கூட்டாய் மீன்பிடி தொழிலை செய்ய முன்வர வேண்டும். அரசும் மீனவர்களும் இணையும் போது லாபமோ நட்டமோ அது இருவரையும் சார்ந்து அமையும். அரசுகள் சிந்திக்க வேண்டும்.
Today, the low,mid-level circulation of 98B is seen over W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6VBd6 
Latest analysis show, the upper-level circulation of 98B is over W Bay near to #Chennai ... http://ow.ly/i/6VBh4 

In next 48hrs, the low,mid-level circulation of 98B is expected to push N-N-W and reach N Odisha coast .. http://ow.ly/i/6VDjp 
The upper-level circulation of 98B is expected to push into N-E,N-central Andhra coast on tomorrow night.. http://ow.ly/i/6VDDB 

Before morning of 19-Sep...
Light/moderate rain for S,central Andhra, N,N-E Tamilnadu, #Chennai.

Noon, evening of 19-Sep...
Heavy, scattered T showers over S,central,E Karnataka, W,S,central Andhra, N,N-E Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/6VDV0 
19-Sep...
Many T showers expected to pop over Odisha, S,central Chatisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and S,central Bengal.
Evening, midnight of 19-Sep... HEAVY T showers expected over N,N-central,N-E Tamilnadu and Chennai.
AND
More rain into S,central,N-E Andhra.

Weather Instagram at September 18, 2014 at 05:16PM

#chennai at 3:30pm, mild drizzle all thru the day. #weather


from Instagram


3:30pm, Due to 98B, Heavy T showers again over central,N-E, coast Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/6Vvty 
3:30pm, T showers also over N Chatisgarh, central Jharkhand ... http://ow.ly/i/6Vvty

#Chennai - Drizzles till 8:30am today...
Nungambakkam = 2.5mm
Airport = 4.5mm
IWM Polichalur = 3.3mm
#Chennai - 3:45pm, More long drizzles ahead for city and suburbs during next 3 hrs... http://ow.ly/i/6VvDC 

Today, Bay LOW "98B" persists over N-W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6VsdF  ...  http://ow.ly/i/6Vse0 

Past 12hrs satellite IR loop shows convective activity over S,S-W,W,S-E quadrants of 98B, Andhra, N Tamilnadu coast.. http://ow.ly/i/6VslT 

#Chennai - 2pm, More scattered drizzles ahead during next 2 hrs.

#Chennai - 5:57am, Polichalur zone, heavy drizzle for the past 30 min. Expected to persist till 7am. Rainfall 2.7mm so far.

Wednesday, September 17, 2014


W-central Bay LOW "98B" persists today ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJ3t 
Low,mid-level circulation of "98B" can be seen over N-W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJ5Z 

Here's a 700hpa analysis plot of "98B" and remnant of Typhoon " kalmaegi " ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJjE 

3pm, T showers popping again over central,N-E Andhra, N Jharkhand, central Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/6UJqC 

GFS not expects the LOW "98B" to intensify, instead it'll slowly drift N-N-W upto Odisha, S Bengal coast and weaken http://ow.ly/i/6UJSW 
Meanwhile, the 500hpa circulation of 98B near S Andhra coast, Chennai is expected to persist till 19-Sep ... http://ow.ly/i/6UK6X 

Low-level trough from central Pakistan to S Gujarat coast persists and will till 19-Sep ... http://ow.ly/i/6UKMy 

Before morning of 18-Sep...
Scattered moderate T showers for N,N-E,N-central-coast Tamilnadu, #Chennai, S,central Andhra, S-E,E Karnataka.
Early hrs of 18-Sep...
S,central Kerala coast can get scattered showers.

18-Sep, noon, evening...
Scattered rain over S,central Odisha, central Bengal, N,N-E Karnataka, central Andhra.
18-Sep, evening...
Heavy, scattered T showers over Odisha, Jharkhand, W,S-W,N-W Maharastra, N,N-W,central,S Karnataka http://ow.ly/i/6UL3u 
18-Sep, again, T showers expected over N,N-E,N-central Tamilnadu, #Chennai, S,central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/6UL6q 

Weather Instagram at September 17, 2014 at 04:13PM

#chennai - 3:30pm, partly cloudy and warm so far. Today again after 7pm rain activity will start due to circulation near city. #weather


from Instagram

#Chennai - Less rainfall yesterday...
Nungambakkam = 0.7mm
Airport = 1.3mm
IWM Polichalur = 0.9mm

4pm, T showers seen over N-central,N-central-coast Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/6UIYn 

Tuesday, September 16, 2014

#Chennai - 10:45pm, lots of mini fast moving showers seen over W,SW,S from city. Light rain will continue to push into city till early hrs.

RT @sanjeevnaique: It's heavily raining here in Margao in south Goa at 9.20 pm @weatherofindia @weatherchannel @weatherofpak @naikap


5:30pm, HEAVY T showers over N,central,N-E Andhra, scattered over N,central Chatisgarh... http://ow.ly/i/6U23D 

Before morning of 17-Sep...
Heavy, scattered T showers expected over S,central Maharastra, N,N-E,E karnataka, N,central,S, Andhra.

17-Sep, noon, evening...
Heavy T showers for W,N-W,S-W Maharastra ... http://ow.ly/i/6U5k8 
17-Sep...
Heavy, scattered rain again over N,N-E Andhra, S,central Chatisgarh, Odisha, Jharkhand and into S Bihar.
17-Sep, evening, late-evening...
T showers for S-E,E,N-E Karnataka, central Andhra, N,N-E,N-central-coast Tamilnadu and Chennai.
Less rain again along W,S-W coast (Maharastra, Karnataka and Kerala) of India.

#Chennai - Rainfall accumulation RADAR plot shows... HEAVY rain over W,S-W,S,N-W from city and over North chennai.. http://ow.ly/i/6TTZ9 
#Chennai - Rainfall till 8:30am today...
Nungambakkam = 21.4mm
Airport = 24.8mm
IWM Polichalur = 25.2mm

Before early morning of 17-Sep, scattered moderate rain expected for N,N-E Tamilnadu and Chennai.
Heavy for S,central Andhra.

Bay LOW - 98B


Today, a LOW has formed over N-W-central Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/6TTsV 
The Bay LOW is marked and tracked as "98B".
Presently it's just a Low Pressure Area.
Less intensification forecast by GFS model !

GFS suggests that "98B" is expected to persist weakly over N-central Bay and may push into Odisha coast on 19-Sep. http://ow.ly/i/6TTG3 
On 18/19-Sep, the mid-level circulation of LOW is expected to be near to N-E,central Andhra coast ... http://ow.ly/i/6TTJ7 
While the upper-level (500hpa) circulation is expected to be along #Chennai, S Andhra coast on 18/19-Sep ... http://ow.ly/i/6TTL8 

1:30pm, T showers popping over N,central Odisha, N-E Madhyapradesh, N-E Andhra, S,N-E Bihar, S Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/6TTQV 

#Chennai - 6:58am, a wet morning. Drizzled All night and even now in Polichalur zone. Rainfall 23.7mm and temperature is 24.5 C.

Monday, September 15, 2014

Vagaries of the Weather now on Twitter...Please follow @VagariesWeather

#chennai - 10:40pm, strong drizzle continue over polichalur zone. Rainfall so far 18mm and temperature is 23.2C. Long drizzle ahead.

Badlapur Weather moods. (15-09-2014)

It feels awesome to enjoy all weather patterns on single day.





         Badlapur gets seasons first dense fog today with visibility was just 300 meters.                                           Above pics clicked at 7am in morning.


As day started with dense fog and cool morning giving feel of winter then got turned into clear sky with bright sunshine which gave feel of an summer day.










And finally evening got turned into dark clouds with heavy rain spell.






#chennai - 7:45pm, heavy rain seen All around the city over NW,W,SW and S .. From 40 to 100km.
Rain expected to push into city before 11pm.

Chennai - 8:50pm, high winds and super heavy rain now over Polichalur zone... Wow


5pm, scattered T showers over many zones of Andhra, E Maharastra, S,central,N Chatisgarh, Bihar, Odisha ... http://ow.ly/i/6TaPs