Bangalore 7.45pm, After hot n humid day, sudden development of T.Clouds and it is pouring now. Heavy rain at the moment.
Sunday, May 19, 2013
Today, the S,S-E Arabian sea circulation has vanished and a circulation is seen over central Arabian sea ... http://ow.ly/i/29kOB
Today, the North-South trough from S.Bihar is seen up to N-W.Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/29kOB
By 22-May, the North-South is expected to be from Bihar to N,N-E Tamilnadu all along S-E coast of India ... http://ow.ly/i/29kRQ
Monsoon is expected to set into S.Srilanka on 24-May !
Monsoon rains are in active mode over S,central Andaman Islands.. here's the Northern limit of monsoon ... http://ow.ly/i/29kWn
Till tomorrow midnight, T.showers expected for most of N,central W.ghats of Kerala, N,N-W Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/29kYh
Till 22-May, T.showers expected for S,S-W,central Karnataka. On Tuesday, T.showers expected for N,N-central Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/29kZY
Today, the North-South trough from S.Bihar is seen up to N-W.Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/29kOB
By 22-May, the North-South is expected to be from Bihar to N,N-E Tamilnadu all along S-E coast of India ... http://ow.ly/i/29kRQ
Monsoon is expected to set into S.Srilanka on 24-May !
Monsoon rains are in active mode over S,central Andaman Islands.. here's the Northern limit of monsoon ... http://ow.ly/i/29kWn
Till tomorrow midnight, T.showers expected for most of N,central W.ghats of Kerala, N,N-W Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/29kYh
Till 22-May, T.showers expected for S,S-W,central Karnataka. On Tuesday, T.showers expected for N,N-central Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/29kZY
Saturday, May 18, 2013
5:30pm, T.showers seen over S.Odisha, S,S-W,central.Karnataka and central W.ghats of Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/2951k
5:30pm, Monsoon showers in full swing over S,central Andaman Islands ... http://ow.ly/i/2951k
A weak W.D system is expected to affect Kashmir on Tomorrow ... Isolated rain expected till Monday !
Today the Heat LOW from central Pakistan to East India is seen at around 1000 mb pressure.. http://ow.ly/i/2956I
The Heat LOW will expand in size and the pressure will reduce to 998 mb in next 7 days.
Widespread showers to continue for most of N-E states, Sikkim, N.Bengal and over N,E,central Bangladesh during next 2 days
Kerala coast can expect showers on Monday ! due to S,S-E Arabian sea circulation and weak cross equatorial winds !.. http://ow.ly/i/295nv
On Monday and Tuesday, monsoon style rain possible for S.tip Tamilnadu as well !
IMD GFS expects the present S,S-E Arabian sea circulation to intensify as depression and move to Oman / Yemen coast http://ow.ly/i/295q7
5:30pm, Monsoon showers in full swing over S,central Andaman Islands ... http://ow.ly/i/2951k
A weak W.D system is expected to affect Kashmir on Tomorrow ... Isolated rain expected till Monday !
Today the Heat LOW from central Pakistan to East India is seen at around 1000 mb pressure.. http://ow.ly/i/2956I
The Heat LOW will expand in size and the pressure will reduce to 998 mb in next 7 days.
Widespread showers to continue for most of N-E states, Sikkim, N.Bengal and over N,E,central Bangladesh during next 2 days
Kerala coast can expect showers on Monday ! due to S,S-E Arabian sea circulation and weak cross equatorial winds !.. http://ow.ly/i/295nv
On Monday and Tuesday, monsoon style rain possible for S.tip Tamilnadu as well !
IMD GFS expects the present S,S-E Arabian sea circulation to intensify as depression and move to Oman / Yemen coast http://ow.ly/i/295q7
HOT, temperature above 45 C over India on 17-May-2013, Bikaner 47.0 C, Nagpur 46.5, Jaisalmer 46.3, Ganganagar 46.1, Chandrapur 45.5, Bramhapuri 45.8, Khajuraho 45.4, Barmer 45.4, Kota 45.3, Banda 45.2 and Guna 45.1 C --> Source IMD
#HOT at 2pm, Nagpur= 46 C, Ahmedabad, Amristar, Delhi, Jaipur= 43 C, Thiruchirapalli = 41 C, Hyderabad= 40 C, Bangalore = 36C, Kolkata = 35C
#HOT at 2pm, Nagpur= 46 C, Ahmedabad, Amristar, Delhi, Jaipur= 43 C, Thiruchirapalli = 41 C, Hyderabad= 40 C, Bangalore = 36C, Kolkata = 35C
Heavy T.showers forecast for N,central Kerala, S,S-W Karnataka and N-W Tamilnadu.
Today, the North-South trough seen from S.Bihar to S.Karnataka,N.Tamilnadu thru Jharkand, Chatisgarh and N,N-E Andhra http://ow.ly/i/290X7
Today, the North-South trough seen from S.Bihar to S.Karnataka,N.Tamilnadu thru Jharkand, Chatisgarh and N,N-E Andhra http://ow.ly/i/290X7
A anticyclone has formed over North Arabian sea ...expected to persist another 2 days.. http://ow.ly/i/290X7
Today & Tomorrow, Heavy T.showers expected for N,central W.Ghats of kerala, N,N-W Tamilnadu, S,S-W,central Karnataka http://ow.ly/i/29112
T.showers possible for #Bangalore from today till Wednesday. Heavy T.showers expected on 20,21-May.
Today, the North-South trough seen from S.Bihar to S.Karnataka,N.Tamilnadu thru Jharkand, Chatisgarh and N,N-E Andhra http://ow.ly/i/290X7
A anticyclone has formed over North Arabian sea ...expected to persist another 2 days.. http://ow.ly/i/290X7
Today & Tomorrow, Heavy T.showers expected for N,central W.Ghats of kerala, N,N-W Tamilnadu, S,S-W,central Karnataka http://ow.ly/i/29112
T.showers possible for #Bangalore from today till Wednesday. Heavy T.showers expected on 20,21-May.
Friday, May 17, 2013
Monsoon advance Analysis, as per vagaries..
SWM has feebly moved into the Andaman Region.
SWM will start covering the complete Bay Islands to reach the NE states by the 1st of June.
SWM could be expected over the Maldives by the 20th of May.(Normal date 20th). Over Sri Lanka around the 27th of May.
I would estimate the SWM to advance into Kerala around June 1st/2nd could be the date for Kerala, but remain weakish till the middle of June in coastal Karnataka and Kerala.
Initially, as a result of a weak MJO wave, the SWM would be weak in Kerala in June. The further current into Kerala would be "reluctant" to move ahead in a weak MJO, as International forecasters predict the MJO phase in our seas to become weak up to the 10th of June.
Nevertheless, the SWM could progressively advance into Goa/coastal Karnataka from 5th June, and Mumbai by the 9th/10th. of June. .
SWM could delay advance into interior Karnataka and interior Maharashtra by a week from the 10th.
Around 18th of June, I would include entire Mah and South Gujarat as covered by the SWM. I would put the SWM in a weakish phase till the 15th.
.see details in vagaries
SWM has feebly moved into the Andaman Region.
SWM will start covering the complete Bay Islands to reach the NE states by the 1st of June.
SWM could be expected over the Maldives by the 20th of May.(Normal date 20th). Over Sri Lanka around the 27th of May.
I would estimate the SWM to advance into Kerala around June 1st/2nd could be the date for Kerala, but remain weakish till the middle of June in coastal Karnataka and Kerala.
Initially, as a result of a weak MJO wave, the SWM would be weak in Kerala in June. The further current into Kerala would be "reluctant" to move ahead in a weak MJO, as International forecasters predict the MJO phase in our seas to become weak up to the 10th of June.
Nevertheless, the SWM could progressively advance into Goa/coastal Karnataka from 5th June, and Mumbai by the 9th/10th. of June. .
SWM could delay advance into interior Karnataka and interior Maharashtra by a week from the 10th.
Around 18th of June, I would include entire Mah and South Gujarat as covered by the SWM. I would put the SWM in a weakish phase till the 15th.
.see details in vagaries
Circulation over S,S-E Arabian sea and Rain for Kerala
South West Monsoon is likely to advance over Kerala on June 3: IMD >> http://ow.ly/l8cZ6
The cross equatorial winds are expected to become strong along S,S-E Arabian sea in next 2 days ... http://ow.ly/i/28DWz
The present weak circulation over S,S-E Arabian sea is expected become marked in next 2 days ... http://ow.ly/i/28DZ9
Due to circulation and good cross equatorial winds, a weak monsoon current is expected to affect S.Kerala on 20,21-May http://ow.ly/i/28E4e
Due to this, S,central.Kerala to get Monsoon style rain from Sunday night to Tuesday evening ... http://ow.ly/i/28Eef
On Tuesday evening, the S-E Arabian sea circulation is expected to intensify and move N-W ... http://ow.ly/i/28EnI
The cross equatorial winds are expected to become strong along S,S-E Arabian sea in next 2 days ... http://ow.ly/i/28DWz
The present weak circulation over S,S-E Arabian sea is expected become marked in next 2 days ... http://ow.ly/i/28DZ9
Due to circulation and good cross equatorial winds, a weak monsoon current is expected to affect S.Kerala on 20,21-May http://ow.ly/i/28E4e
Due to this, S,central.Kerala to get Monsoon style rain from Sunday night to Tuesday evening ... http://ow.ly/i/28Eef
On Tuesday evening, the S-E Arabian sea circulation is expected to intensify and move N-W ... http://ow.ly/i/28EnI
RT @rajugana: Bangalore 3.10pm, After a hot n humid day, formation of T.Clouds in the eastern skies..a pic http://t.co/5qESa1cDVl
#HOT at 3:30pm, Ahmedabad, Thiruchirapalli = 43 C, Delhi, Jaipur, Nagpur = 42 C, Amristar, Varanasi = 41 C, Patna = 36 C, Kolkata = 35 C.
#Chennai - After a HOT day till 2pm (crossed 40 C), now 4pm, a good sea breeze has set in from E-S-E. Temperature at 3:40pm is 37 C.
3:30pm, T.showers seen over central W.ghats of Kerala, S,N-W,N.Tamilnadu, S,S-E Karnataka and Odisha ... http://ow.ly/i/28x8Z
3:30pm, South West Monsoon in active mode over S,central Andaman Islands ... http://ow.ly/i/28x8Z
#HOT at 3:30pm, Ahmedabad, Thiruchirapalli = 43 C, Delhi, Jaipur, Nagpur = 42 C, Amristar, Varanasi = 41 C, Patna = 36 C, Kolkata = 35 C.
#Chennai - After a HOT day till 2pm (crossed 40 C), now 4pm, a good sea breeze has set in from E-S-E. Temperature at 3:40pm is 37 C.
3:30pm, T.showers seen over central W.ghats of Kerala, S,N-W,N.Tamilnadu, S,S-E Karnataka and Odisha ... http://ow.ly/i/28x8Z
3:30pm, South West Monsoon in active mode over S,central Andaman Islands ... http://ow.ly/i/28x8Z
Very HOT India on 16-May-2013
Heat wave conditions were prevailing over some parts of Vidarbha and at isolated pockets of southwest Rajasthan and north interior Andhra Pradesh.
Maximum temperatures 45.0°C and above were recorded at : Jaisalmer 46.0, Chandrapur 45.5, Nagpur 45.4, Rentachintala 45.1, Amraoti, Jaisalmer and Ramagundam 45.0°C each. The highest maximum temperature 46.0°C was recorded at Barmer (Rajasthan).
Taken from IMD
RT @rajugana: Bangalore 10.00am, Clear skies, bright sunshine, hot & windy. Dry, no rain for the past five days. Where the moisture gone?
Today, the remnant of Cyclone Mahasen is seen as a circulation over Northern N-E states of India ... http://ow.ly/i/28s1m
Today, the north south trough is seen from E.Uttarpradesh to S.Tamilnadu running along S-E peninsula ... http://ow.ly/i/28s3M
Now it's the turn of Arabian sea to host a circulation, a weak low level circulation seen over S-S-E Arabian sea today http://ow.ly/i/28s3M
Today, T.showers are expected to be back over W.Ghats of Kerala, N,N-W Tamilnadu, S,S-W, central Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/28seF
There is a 30 % chance of Rain for #Bangalore today !
Today, the remnant of Cyclone Mahasen is seen as a circulation over Northern N-E states of India ... http://ow.ly/i/28s1m
Today, the north south trough is seen from E.Uttarpradesh to S.Tamilnadu running along S-E peninsula ... http://ow.ly/i/28s3M
Now it's the turn of Arabian sea to host a circulation, a weak low level circulation seen over S-S-E Arabian sea today http://ow.ly/i/28s3M
Today, T.showers are expected to be back over W.Ghats of Kerala, N,N-W Tamilnadu, S,S-W, central Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/28seF
There is a 30 % chance of Rain for #Bangalore today !
Thursday, May 16, 2013
Heat Wave to Grip NW India ans Pakistan Regions:
Hottest in Pakistan on Thursday, 16th May: Larkana 48c., Jacobabad 47c.
Hottest in India on Thursday: Barmer and Jaisalmer at 46.0c, Nagpur 45.6c Ramagundam 45.0c.
Weather for the weekend, 17th,18th and 19th May.
North India remains dry and hot.
We see the day temperatures rising in Balochistan and Sindh in Pakistan thru Rajasthan , Punjab, Haryana and Delhi into India.
Hot conditions likely in Gujarat, UP and Northern MP.
Day temperatures likely to reach 49/50c in Balochistan/Sindh regions of Pakistan.
Rajasthan, adjoining MP and Haryana will see 45/46c, with the odd 47c.
Depression BB-1, erstwhile Cyclone Mahasen will move away, and precipitate rains in Meghalaya and NE states as a depression .
The Line of Wind discontinuity, runs perfectly in the peninsula, from North Mah down South till Kerala.
Weekend will see moderate thundershowers in N.I.Karnataka.
S.I. Kanataka will get heavy thunder showers on all the forecasted days.
Particularly heavy rains are possible in the districts of Dakshin Karnataka, Hasan, Kodagu, Mandya, Tumkur and Bangalore.
Bangalore can expect heavy thunder showers and squall on the weekend.
On Sunday, a vortex may form in the trough, around S.I. Karnataka, hence I would expect heavy showers for Bangalore on Saturday, Sunday and Monday.
City Forecasts on vagaries
8:30pm, Cyclone "Mahasen" has almost vanished, T.showers seen over Odisha ... http://ow.ly/i/2882n
8:30pm, Cloudy with light rain over S,central,S-W Maharastra, N-E Karnataka and N-W,N-central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/2882n
8:30pm, Cloudy with light rain over S,central,S-W Maharastra, N-E Karnataka and N-W,N-central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/2882n
As Mahasen is weakening now its turn for the S,S-E Arabian sea to pop a circulation !.. already there's a weak one over S-E.
Today morning, the Somali jet and the cross equatorial winds are strong over most of S,S-S-E, S-W Arabian sea ... http://ow.ly/i/27Z3J
The S,S-E Arabian sea is expected to pop a good low level circulation before tomorrow evening ... http://ow.ly/i/27Z7i
COLA model expects the S-S-E Arabian sea system to develop as a depression and move N-N-W on 20 / 21-May... http://ow.ly/i/27Zcc
Tomorrow, T.showers are expected for W.Ghats Kerala, S,S-W-coastal Karnataka and N,N-W Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/27ZgI
Today morning, the Somali jet and the cross equatorial winds are strong over most of S,S-S-E, S-W Arabian sea ... http://ow.ly/i/27Z3J
The S,S-E Arabian sea is expected to pop a good low level circulation before tomorrow evening ... http://ow.ly/i/27Z7i
COLA model expects the S-S-E Arabian sea system to develop as a depression and move N-N-W on 20 / 21-May... http://ow.ly/i/27Zcc
Tomorrow, T.showers are expected for W.Ghats Kerala, S,S-W-coastal Karnataka and N,N-W Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/27ZgI
Cyclone "Mahasen" - Moved into Bangladesh !
Mahasen has made into land and has started to dissipate very rapidly.
JTWC warning at 2:30pm IST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Cyclone Mahasen strikes Bangladeshi coast ... http://goo.gl/OtczK
Cyclone Mahasen buffets Bangladesh coast, five dead ... http://goo.gl/9q4JC
Cyclonic storm 'Mahasen' hits Bangladesh coastline... http://goo.gl/cQm6b
2:30pm, Visible shot shows convective activity over East,S-E Bangladesh and into W,S-W zones of N-E states in India.
JTWC warning at 2:30pm IST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
POSITION NEAR 23.7N 91.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (MAHASEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM
SOUTHEASTWARD OF DHAKA, BANGLADESH, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS TC MAHASEN HAS MADE LANDFALL
NORTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH AND IS RAPIDLY FALLING APART AS
THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. RADAR IMAGERY FROM KOLKATA,
INDIA ADDITIONALLY SHOWS THE RAPID WEAKENING AS CONVECTION HAS
SHALLOWED. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE
WESTERLIES AND TRACK ACROSS NORTHEASTERN INDIA WHILE CONTINUALLY
WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS RUGGED TERRAIN AND HIGH (30 TO 40 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 01B WILL DISSIPATE BELOW 35 KNOTS IN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS DUE TO THESE UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS.
On 15-May, highest maximum temperature of 45.5°C was recorded at Barmer (Rajasthan).
#HOT at 2pm, Nagpur back to top position at 45 C, Ahmedabad= 43 C, Jaipur= 42 C, Varanasi= 41 C, #Delhi, Thiruchirapalli= 40 C, Patna= 38 C
#Chennai - 2:10pm, Thin High cloud cover was in effect till 1pm, now temperature has soared to 39 C. Humidity now around 28%, No sea breeze!
#HOT at 2pm, Nagpur back to top position at 45 C, Ahmedabad= 43 C, Jaipur= 42 C, Varanasi= 41 C, #Delhi, Thiruchirapalli= 40 C, Patna= 38 C
#Chennai - 2:10pm, Thin High cloud cover was in effect till 1pm, now temperature has soared to 39 C. Humidity now around 28%, No sea breeze!
Due to Cyclone "Mahasen" N-E movement, some moisture is pushed into entire S-W India .. http://ow.ly/i/27TAC
Today, Entire S-W coast along W.Ghats from N-W Maharastra to S.Kerala will remain cloudy with some rain around... http://ow.ly/i/27TBY
RT @siddhray: Cloudy Mumbai @weatherofindia http://t.co/2WT7hsgfyu (9:53am)
Today, the North-South trough from S.Bihar is slightly along S-E peninsula India due to Mahasen... http://ow.ly/i/27TFi
Today, Entire S-W coast along W.Ghats from N-W Maharastra to S.Kerala will remain cloudy with some rain around... http://ow.ly/i/27TBY
RT @siddhray: Cloudy Mumbai @weatherofindia http://t.co/2WT7hsgfyu (9:53am)
Today, the North-South trough from S.Bihar is slightly along S-E peninsula India due to Mahasen... http://ow.ly/i/27TFi
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