Monday, November 24, 2008

More to come...

From friday evening... we are experiencing FULLY cloudy conditions with shower bursts inbetween.
Saturday full day we had drizzles. Almost non-stop.
And saturday night and thru to sunday morning we had short showers.
On Sunday morning there was a lull, but with lots of cloud formations around.
At around 12pm we had a super shower with lightning.
After that a lull then at around 9:30 PM we had another super shower this time with squally winds.

THe north-east monsoon is in full swing over tamilnadu.
The rains are widespread.

Rameshwaram (Ramanathapuram dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 7 centimetres (till sunday 8:30 AM)
And Chennai recorded 3cm.

Going by latest satellite pic and LONG range numeric model...

More rain to come.
Lot's of moisture in south-bay.
More cloud activity can be seen.

And importantly a long range model shows a SUPER cyclone near tamilnadu or south-central bay.
2 models from 2 different website state the same thing.. take a look.
Soon we can see a swirl in BAY.

Saturday, November 22, 2008

After a long wait...

Going by previous MJO forecast, from 22-Nov-08 we'll move into a WET phase.
It's perfect it seems.
Chennai and almost all parts of Tamilnadu are receiving heavy rainfall from yesterday afternoon.
Chennai got it's first burst after a long wait... at around 5 PM..It was heavy.
Thru the night it rained as short bursts and in early morning of 22-Nov-08, we had another heavy rain.
Now it's cloudy and drizzling heavy.
Going by latest satellite pic and numeric forecast.


We can see lots of cloud cover, going to be a wet weekend and upto mid of next week.
And the GFS suggests a depression forming near north-east of srilanka in next 36 hrs.
Expect more from it..

Chennai received 59.2 mm in last 24 hrs.
Here are some rainfall details
Muthupet (Tiruvarur dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 8 centimetres
Adiramapattinam, Rameswaram (Ramanathapuram dt), Ambasamudram (Tirunelveli dt), and Aruppukottai (Virudhunagar dt) 6 each, Tondi, Tiruvadanai (Ramanathapuram dt), Manimutharu (Tirunelveli dt), Palayamkottai, Maniyatchi (Tuticorin dt), Tiruchuzhi (Virudhunagar dt), Mancompu (Alapuzha dt) and Kottayam 5 each, Nanguneri, Tirunelveli, Sivagiri (Tirunelveli dt) and Minicoy 4 each, Pamban, Peravurani (Thanjavur dt), Karambakudi (Pudukottai dt), Pudukottai, Mudukulathur and R. S. Mangalam (both Ramanathapuram dt), Papanasam (Tirunelveli dt), Ottapidaram, Srivaikundam and Tiruchendur (all Tuticorin dt) , Tirupathur (Sivaganga dt) and Kozhikode Airport 3 each, Orathanadu, Pattukottai and Tiruvaiyaru (all Thanjavur dt), Thanjavur, Mannargudi and Thiruthuraipoondi (both Tiruvarur dt), Arantangi, Illupur and Tirumayam (all Pudukottai dt), Ramanathapuram, Sankarankoil (Tirunelveli dt), Sathankulam (Tuticorin dt), Tuticorin, Ilayankudi, Karaikudi and Manamadurai (all Sivagangai dt), Sattur, Sivakasi and Watrap (all Virudhunagar dt) 2 each and Kanyakumari, Coimbatore Airport, Sankarapuram (Villupuram dt), Kumbakonam (Thanjavur dt), Kodavasal, Nannilam and Valangaiman (all Tiruvarur dt), Tiruvarur, Alangudi (Pudukottai dt), Kadaladi, Kamudhi and Paramakudi (all Ramanathapuram dt), Tenkasi (Tirunelveli dt), Surangudi and Vilathikulam (both Tuticorin dt), Thovalai, Mylaudy and Pechiparai (all Kanyakumari dt), Kanyakumari, Tiruppur(Coimbatore dt), Mayanur (Karur dt), Vembavur (Perambalur dt), Marungapuri, Thathaiyangarpet and Thuraiyur (all Tiruchirapalli dt), Melur and Mettupatti (both Madurai dt), Sivagangai and Tirupuvanam (both Sivagangai dt), Natham (Dindigul dt), Alapuzha, Agathi and Thiruvananthapuram city 1cm each.

GFS forecast from weatherzone.com.au

please visit
Next 48 hrs
Next 72 hrs

Friday, November 21, 2008

Another disapointing day (20-Nov-08)

A humid morning (20-Nov-08) with lot's of cloud formations.
Even some clouds dissipated after crossing main land chennai... and towards west-north-west.
A low pressure trough near srilanka has brought more rains to south & south-south tamilnadu. Even nilgiris is receiving more rain.
Look at this rainfall readings..(8:30 AM, 20-Nov-08)
Vedaranyam recorded a heavy rainfall of 7 centimetres, Vanur (Villupuram dt) and Sirkali (Nagapattinam dt) 6 each, Villupuram, Lower Anaicut (Thanjavur dt), Tirupoondi, Tarangambadi, Manalmedu and Kollidam (all Nagapattinam dt), Karaikal 5 each, Kattumannarkoil (Cuddalore dt), Parangipettai, Nannilam, Thiruthuraipoondi and Valangaiman (all Tiruvarur dt), Talaignayar and Mayiladuthurai (both Nagapattinam dt), Kattumavadi and Karambakudi (both Pudukottai dt), Thangachimadam (Ramanathapuram dt) and Polur (Thiruvannamalai dt) 4 each, Cuddalore, Thozhudur, Panruti, Kothavacherry, Lalpet, Annamalainagar and Bhuvanagiri (all Cuddalore dt), Tirukoilur (Villupuram dt), Puducherry Airport, Manjalaru and Pattukottai (both Thanjavur dt). Kodavasal and Muthupet (both Tiruvarur dt), Tiruvarur, Nagapattinam, Mimisal, Illupur and Perungalur (all Pudukottai dt), Barur (Krishnagiri dt), Sendurai, Taluthalai and Jayamkondam (all Perambalur dt), Devimangalam, Navalur Kottapattu and Marungapuri (all Tiruchirapalli dt) 3 each

Even Maduranthagam has got 2 cm of rain.
Unfortunately we did not get anything.
This bad run of "NO rains" will bring drought like conditions very early into coming summer.

Today (21-Nov-08) going by satellite pic...

WE can see NO traces of yesterday's Low pressure trough.
Here the cloud formations has gone down.
And worst part is we had a cold morning with DEW drops on leaves.
Now (9:31 AM) it's partly cloudy and no sign of rain..
Going to be a dry day.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Some advice from Jim's blog in Accuweather.com

Maybe it is not where one might have thought as of Monday: however, there may be a tropical cyclone gathering south of the Equator. The JTWC have advised that such may happen over open seas southwest of Sumatra. There is another "whirl" opposite the Equator from southern India and Sri Lanka. It is not as near to tropical depression status as the tropical low to its east.

As for any "ghost" of Tropical Storm Noul, now dissipated over southern Thailand, I see no indication, based upon numerical forecast scenarios, of its regeneration into a tropical depression (let alone tropical cyclone) westward over the Andaman Sea and southern Bay of Bengal.

Tropical moisture wafted over the southern half of India has fostered a few widely-separated thunderstorms on Tuesday. This moisture will bring hit-or-miss thunderstorms over southern and eastern India for another two days or so, bolstered in part by a "Western Disturbance" sweeping eastward over Pakistan and northern India within a well-marked sub-tropical jet stream.

At the weekend and the start of next week, showers and thunderstorms having the "earmarks" of the North East Monsoon are indicated once again by the latest GFS scenarios.

Small shower and what more...

Yesterday (18-Nov-08) evening around 5:45PM we had a sharp shower. In some places of Chennai (South-south-east) had experienced even electric shower.
After that the night was mild with moist winds from east-north-east.
Going by latest satellite pic...

A good cloud formation can be seen over North srilanka sea.
This might evolve into a LOW pressure trough along the north-tamilnadu coast.
And it'll prevail there for another 3 days.
This will bring us more rains in coming 48 hrs.

More rains over south-south-tamilnadu..and scattered rain over north tamilnadu.
Thriuvanathapuram 5, Kavali 4, Tirukoilur (Villupuram dt) and Kuzithurai (Kanyakumari dt) 3 each, Ambur (Vellore dt).

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Great morning

Great warm, humid and bright morning.
Deep blue skies. It means we can expect a NEW weather front to move in OR the OLD weather front has cleared.
Mostly Deep blue skies mean more rain on the way..!!
Good eastern air current.
Lot's of heavy cloud movement from east.
Lot's of Electric cloud formation can be seen over the Sea to the east. This means there's something out there.
We can expect the showers to break out after today evening.

South-south tamilnadu (kanyamumari district) is still experiencing Afternoon rains almost daily.
Update regarding the Depression "Noul" over vietnam..:
The system has almost dissipated completely.
JTWC has also given up tracking the system.

Going by the latest satellite pic..
We can see lots of activities over the MARKED area on the satellite image. We'll keep an eye on that area.

Sunday, November 16, 2008

SUGGESTION

Thanks for all the visits & comments.
In fact each comment by itself is an article in nature.
One suggestion from me:
Shall WE start a common HOSTED website (blog kind) for "India weather, climate, environment...".
In that WE can allow each APPROVED & REGISTERED members to post articles.
If YOU are interested in joining ME with this venture pls mail me at
freedownloadshop@gmail.com

Regional IMD weather report

Checkout latest IMD regional weather report ...
http://education.vsnl.com/imdchennai/rdwr.htm

Another depression soon...

According to latest JWTC tracking of another depression near Vietnam.
See for urself...