Cyclone HUDHUD , intensifying rapidly , closing on landfall

JTWC latest Bulletin : -warning - 16th 

TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B (HUDHUD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 102 NM
SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY SHOWS THE EYE FEATURE HAS BECOME CLOUD FILLED WHILE THE 
OVERALL STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED UNCHANGED WITH A 
SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND DEFINED BANDING. RADAR IMAGERY 
FROM VISAKHAPATNAM SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED TIGHTLY WRAPPED AND 
REVEALS A DEFINED EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED UPON 
THE RADAR ANIMATION ALONG WITH THE EIR LOOP WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. 
THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS ASSESSED AT 110 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK 
INTENSITY ESTIMATES THAT RANGE FROM 102 TO 115 KNOTS AND THE 
UNCHANGED STRUCTURE. TC 03B IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN 
PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE 
LANDFALL SHORTLY AFTER TAU 12 AND THEN BEGIN RE-CURVING POLEWARD 
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR, WHICH IS FORECAST TO RE-
ORIENT AS A DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER NORTHERN INDIA.TC 
03B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING PRIOR TO LANDFALL UNDER 
GOOD ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS AND SHOULD PEAK NEAR 115 KNOTS. 
THEREAFTER, THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER LAND AND DISSIPATE 
NEAR TAU 36. THE DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 
THE FORECAST SCENARIO, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE 
JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 

Cyclone HudHud intensifying Rapidly , reaches wind speed of 200 km/h , 941 hpa pressure

Cyclone "HudHud" now a "Severe Cyclonic Storm

as per JTWC latest warning no.8 

TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B (HUDHUD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 516 NM SOUTH
OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A DEEP CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND
TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE ON A
091005Z SSMIS PASS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS BASED ON AN OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A GENERALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE (20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT PROVIDING GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TC 03B IS
CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) ANCHORED TO THE NORTH. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRAJECTORY UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE STR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FAVORABLE
UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE, ALLOWING THE
CYCLONE TO STEADILY INTENSIFY PRIOR TO LANDFALL JUST NORTH OF
VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, PRIOR TO TAU 72. IT WILL THEN RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS
IT TRACKS INLAND AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 96. AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE IS
OVERALL IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 18 FEET.

Deep Depression intensifies into "Cyclone HUDHUD"

The Cyclonic Storm 'HUDHUD' over southeast Bay of Bengal moved west­northwestwards and lay centered at
1730 hours IST of 8th October, 2014 near lat.12.8°N  and long 91.0° E about 970 km southeast of Gopalpur and
1000 km east­southeast of Vishakhapatnam. The system would continue to move west­northwestwards, intensify
further into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hours and into a very severe cyclonic storm during  subsequent
36 hours. The system would cross north Andhra Pradesh & south Odisha coasts between Visakhapatnam &
Gopalpur around noon of 12th October 2014.

Breaking: Cyclone Jal to Hit Tamil Nadu, Andhra and Sri Lanka

Jal  is expected to hit southeast Chennai and Nellore, Thiruvallur, Puducherry and Kancheepuram. Tropical Cyclone Jal will approach the southeastern coast of India  as a Category 1 cyclone. An inundating storm surge will also pose a serious danger. It will make landfall north of Sri Lanka Sunday afternoon, creating widespread heavy rain along with strong winds that may cause significant damage. The higher terrain of this region will cause the cyclone to weaken in terms of its damaging winds.Cyclone “Jal” which is currently 600 Km away from Jaffna is expected to make landfall in Chennai tomorrow reducing its effects on Sri Lanka.

Read More: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/11/breaking-cyclone-jal-to-hit-tamil-nadu.html