Thursday, October 09, 2014
Weather Instagram at October 09, 2014 at 11:56AM
#chennai - 11:44am, heavy rain now over Greams road, Nungambakkam. Slowly moving south. #weather
HudHud - Intensifies further and moved W-N-W
Analysis indicate that Cyclone HudHud has moved W-N-W during past 12hrs and intensified further.
Present position is 13.48 N , 88.54 E.
Pressure around 980 mb.
Wind gust upto 135 kmph around centre.
Wind analysis suggest a wide centre with more than 60 kmph.
8:30am, Satellite IR suggests heavy convective activity along centre, S, S-W,S-E quadrants and over N-W outer bands.
Forecast
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Most of the models suggest a further intensification into Severe Cyclone and continue to track W-N-W and make landfall along N-E Andhra coast and S Odisha coast on 12-Oct.
Present upper-level W.D trough is expected to cross N,N-W kashmir in next 36hrs and its trough can be seen upto 31 / 32 N so less affect on the Cyclone HudHud.
Meanwhile, another upper-level W.D circulation and trough is expected to reach N,N-W India on 13-Oct, this system can interact with the remnant of Cyclone over land !!
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Deep Depression intensifies into "Cyclone HUDHUD"
The Cyclonic Storm 'HUDHUD' over southeast Bay of Bengal moved westnorthwestwards and lay centered at
1730 hours IST of 8th October, 2014 near lat.12.8°N and long 91.0° E about 970 km southeast of Gopalpur and
1000 km eastsoutheast of Vishakhapatnam. The system would continue to move westnorthwestwards, intensify
further into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hours and into a very severe cyclonic storm during subsequent
36 hours. The system would cross north Andhra Pradesh & south Odisha coasts between Visakhapatnam &
Gopalpur around noon of 12th October 2014.
"HUD HUD"
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| 081014 1113z WINDSAT |
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| 081014 HUD HUD at 1430Z |
The outer periphery clouds coming from NORTH, NW direction and passing through [or] skirting Cauvery delta districts in TamilNadu. is going to give widespread rainfall. This may be useful to delta districts farmers.
HUD HUD will further intensify into severe storm.
5:30pm, HEAVY T showers over S,S-E,N-W,E Maharastra, S,S-W,N,N-E Karnataka, N,S-central Kerala, N-W,central Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/79oMu
99B is now Cyclone HudHud
Latest analysis show that Depression 99B has intensified into a named Cyclone "HudHud".
During past 24hrs the system has crossed the Andamans.
A fast moving system so far!
Present location of HudHud is 12.89 N , 91.35 E.
Pressure around 992.8 mb.
Wind analysis show a good concentration of high winds around centre.
4:30pm, visible shows good convective activity along its W,centre,N,N-W Quadrants.
Here's latest JTWC warning, suggesting that HudHud will intensify into Severe Cyclone and expected to make landfall along N-E Andhra coast on 11/12-Oct.
GFS model suggests a S Odisha coast landfall on 12-Oct.
Super Typhoon Vongfong explodes, becomes most intense storm on Earth in 2014
Super Typhoon Vongfong has rapidly intensified over the past 24 hours, from the equivalent of a category two hurricane to a monster typhoon with 155 mph wind speeds, and an estimated central pressure of 908 millibars.
Based on satellite estimates of central pressure, Vongfong is now the most intense storm on Earth so far in 2014, and forecast models suggest it could rival the intensity of deadly Typhoon Haiyan of 2013 over the next 24 hours.
During the 24 hours between Monday and Tuesday mornings, Vongfong ballooned from wind speeds of 89 mph to 168 mph, based on satellite estimates. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center estimates that Typhoon Vongfong has maximum winds of 155 mph on Tuesday morning, though this is likely a conservative estimate.
Vongfong is now the sixth super typhoon of 2014, with winds speeds over 150 mph.
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