Cyclone "Murjan" previously "95B" .. Very close to Somalia

12pm, Latest on Cyclone "Murjan".
Now it's very close to Somalia.
Already heavy rain has started over N,E coast of Somalia.

Position ::  10.3N , 52.2E
Pressure ::  996mb
Winds ::   65 km/hr

JTWC warning at 8:30am IST
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TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01A (MURJAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE GUARDAFUI, SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED (IR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION WITH 
FORMATIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 242151Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
REVEALS A DEFINED SYSTEM WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEP CENTRAL 
CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. THE CURRENT 
POSITION IS BASED ON THE IR ANIMATION AND THE AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGE. 
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE AVERAGE OF DVORAK ESTIMATES 
FROM PGTW AND KNES AND IS CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT STORM STRUCTURE. 
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS JUST SOUTH OF THE 
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AXIS IN AN AREA OF LOW (05-10 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WHICH IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE STRONG WESTERLIES 
TO THE NORTH. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY 
OF A DEEP-LAYERED STR TO THE NORTH. TC 01A IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-
LIVED, TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD INTO THE HORN OF AFRICA, MAKING 
LANDFALL SHORTLY BEFORE TAU 24 WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED 
BEFORE BEING DISSIPATED BY LAND INTERACTION. NUMERICAL MODEL 
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND DUE TO THE SOLID STEERING 
MECHANISM AND THE PERSISTENCE IN STORM MOTION; FORECAST CONFIDENCE 
REMAINS HIGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 12 FEET