Friday, July 27, 2012

Synoptic Situation as on Thursday,26th, Night:


The Monsoon Trough runs through from Pakistan Punjab in the west thru Rajasthan (Jaipur) ,North MP and Jharkhand.
As a result, precipitation was fairly active from North Pakistan and the region North of the axis. In HP, Kangra recieved a heavy downpour of 115 mms. Utteranchal recieved very good rains and Jharkhand too had good rains last 2 days.
This was a result of an embedded UAC in the axis over Jharkhand.


Weekend Estimate: Friday, 27th, Saturday 28th and Sunday 29th July:


Friday: The Monsoon trough remains roughly in the same position. The off shore trough off the west coast remains weak.
Rainfall will be heavy in Western MP. Rainfall will also be concentrated in West UP, and the Delhi-Kanpur corridor could recieve some heavy showers. North AP coast, around Srikakulam and Vizag regions get precipitation.
Precipitation along the west coast will be medium, stations getting between 20-40 mms.


SaturdayRainfall will be concentrated in Western Rajasthan and Central UP regions. Jaipur gets a good thundershower.


Sunday: In all probibility, an embedded UAC in the axis could bring very heavy downpours to Western and Southern Rajasthan regions. The Eastern end of the trough may host an UAC b Sunday.
Parts of UP could get good rains.
West coast rains decrease, as trough weakens.


More and city wise weekend forecast on vagaries...

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