Tuesday, July 31, 2012

NASA’s Greenland ice complete meltdown claim: The scientific hoax of the year



On one hand NASA calls it ‘unprecedented’ and in the same breath they acknowledged that it happened last in 1889. It seems all what NASA was trying to say it is ‘unprecedented’ from the point of merely satellite data which was available only from 1979—for a period of 32 years

Read more: http://moneylife.in/article/nasas-greenland-ice-complete-meltdown-claim-the-scientific-hoax-of-the-year/27376.html

RT @qinnairen: Nice early morning drizzle in #Delhi @weatherofindia 6:23am

Monday, July 30, 2012

Drought Alert! Monsoon Failure !! ... http://ow.ly/i/Obxr

Here's the latest accumulated rainfall map from 1-Jun to 29-Jul .. Anomaly clearly shows the Monsoon rain so far.. http://ow.ly/i/ObzY 
RT @knowsnotmuch:  saw a halo around the sun this morning - doesn't it usually mean good chances of rain? http://t.co/K4NxzG4f #chennai

@knowsnotmuch >> "Sun Halo" usually mean moisture at upper levels (or) caused by tiny ice crystals contained in high cirrostratus clouds.

@knowsnotmuch >> "Sun Halo" .. for more visit .. http://ow.ly/cADYI 
@shanpati >> #Mumbai - Some sharp showers forecast for next 2 days and after that till 5/6-Aug.. very less rains (or) NO rain forecast.

#Delhi - only a 20% chance of rains for city till 5-Aug.. Bad again!

@akwaghmare >> #Pune - a good chance of rain in next 2 days (or) After that almost NO rains till 5/6-Aug
Showers will linger along Maharastra coast & Karnataka coast till 2-Aug and after that very little forecast till 5-Aug. http://ow.ly/i/ObgB

Bad!.. IMD GFS predicts almost NO rain for 90% of India after 4/5-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/Obhd

COLA models predicts Heavy rains along Madhyapradesh, Chatisgarh will persist for another 24hrs before going down.. http://ow.ly/i/ObhO

From 1-Aug, most of the rain will be along Foot hills of Himalayas, Nepal, N.UP and N.Bihar .. http://ow.ly/i/Obil

On 2/3-Aug.. Entire E.India may see a short Spike in showers, which may last for 2 days.. http://ow.ly/i/Obj8

Due to northward shift of the Western end of Monsoon axis .. Showers will push into Uttarakand, Himachal and into Punjab from 2/3-Aug.
Today a LOW can be seen over S.Bengal and adjoining N.Bay .. http://ow.ly/i/Ob5Q

The present weak Offshore trough along S-W coast is expected to weaken even more after 3-Aug !! .. http://ow.ly/i/Ob6C

Today's low level circulation can be seen extending from N-corner.Bay to E.Madhyapradesh .. along present monsoon axis. http://ow.ly/i/Ob7F

In next 36hrs, the present low level circulation will die over N.Chatisgarh & N-E.Madhyapradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/Ob8j

From 1/2-Aug, the western end of Monsoon axis will shift North towards Himalayan foot hills.. while East end is likely to reach N.Bay

Today, 2 UAC can be seen, 1 over N.Bay and another along S.Gujarat coast .. http://ow.ly/i/Obbi

Present N.Bay UAC will move West into Orissa & S.Chatisgarh and die along S.Orissa on 1-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/ObbW

Models suggest, After 2-Aug, NO UAC expected over both seas till 7-Aug..!! Bad for monsoon.

A low level circulation over N.corner.Bay & S.Bengal will persist from today till 5-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/ObeT 
#chennai - had a partly cloudy, Hot & Windy day so far.. 3:30pm. Records 34.0°C at 3:10pm.

Today, Vertical.V will be high along S.Karantaka, N.Tamilnadu, S.Andhra & #chennai after 5pm.. T.showers possible .. http://ow.ly/i/OaYN

Entire E-central & Central India will have High Vertical.V for next 24hrs.. more showers forecast .. http://ow.ly/i/OaZY 

#chennai - 3:30pm, NO sea breeze yet and Strong westerly winds in low levels have reduced in speed.

Sunday, July 29, 2012


Outlook For next 3 days, Monday, 30th July, Tuesday, 31st July and Wednesday 1st August:
Not a very august begining for the month...I do not know if I have got my basics right, but i see a break monsoon condition for Central, Western, Southern and peninsula India from Wednesday, 1st August.

Monday: Axis remains in the current position, along Northern Rajasthan/North MP/UP and W.Bengal....with the UAC weakening over N.Rajasthan. Embedded UAC over Up keeps the region active. Eastern off shore trough remains intact.
Heavy rainfall in the region where the 3 states of AP/Maharashtra/Chattisgarh merge. Some locations can get upto 100 mms in 24 hrs.The region around this area gets heavy rains, with Nagpur seeing some convective and heavy showers Monday and more in the night.
Konkan sees it usual medium rains, with precipitation measuring between 20-40 mms at some stations along the coastal belt.

Tuesday and Wednesday: MJO in our seas enters into a weak phase.
The axis shifts Northwards towards UP and Utteranchal. touching foothills of Himalayas by Wednesday.
Delhi NCR could see precipitation on Wednesday evening as the rains approach the adjoining Utteranchal regions. Increase in rainfall over Central Nepal as rainfall rushes to Utteranchal and adjoining UP.
We see rains decreasing from Chattisgarh/Vidharbha and Northern AP areas.
Further decrease in Konkan from Monday levels by Wednesday.
South,(Interior Karnataka and TN) the usual sporadic showers (some convective) and in very isolated pockets.
No meaningfull increase in intensity in Gujarat and rest interior Maharashtra.

citywise forecast on vagaries.
Heavy rains to continue for W,N-W,N.Madhyapradesh, E.Rajasthan for another 24hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/O5aX

Showers along Maharastra coast will increase slightly from tomorrow till 1-Aug and then reduce again.. http://ow.ly/i/O5bk

Rains over central, E.India will go down drastically from 31-Jul.. and continue till 3/4-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/O5bW

Some rains may linger over N,N-W.Uttarpradesh, Uttarakand and into Himachal untill 3/4-Aug... http://ow.ly/i/O5cy 
RT @kavismusings: Blinding rain.  Mumbai-Pune Highway. (5:14pm)
Offshore trough along S-W coast persists but weak.. and will continue till 1-Aug.. http://ow.ly/i/O52t

Today, the low level circulation can be seen over N-N-E.Madhyapradesh and it's extension can be seen upto Jharkand.. http://ow.ly/i/O54R

Today, the upper level circulation is over central.Chatisgarh .. http://ow.ly/i/O55C

The UAC is expected to move slightly to West and vanish over S.Madhyapradesh & N.Maharastra in another 48hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/O567

A fresh UAC over S.Gujarat may pop on 31-Jul and vanish in 24hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/O56y

The low level circulation is also expected to vanish in more or less the same zone, N,N-E.Madhyapradesh in 24 to 48hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/O57m 
After 6pm, High Vertical.V seen over N,N-E.Tamilnadu, S.Andhra and #chennai.. T.showers possible before 2am in this zone http://ow.ly/i/O4ZK

Till tomorrow noon, Vertical.V is high over Central,E-central India, and over N-E.Rajasthan.. more showers expected.. http://ow.ly/i/O516 
5:30pm, Heavy rains over E,N-E.Rajasthan, N,E.Madhyapradesh, N.Chatisgarh, and into Jharkand .. http://ow.ly/i/O4XL

6:30pm, N.Bay is very active .. http://ow.ly/i/O4XL 
RT @samrat_indian: @weatherofindia pouring heavily from last 30 mins at barrackpore, 23 km from kolkata (12:22pm)

#chennai - 6:15pm, a sharp shower passed thru Tambaram and Tambaram W-S-W zone. Now it has moved into sea.

London Olympics bracing for rain & hail just as Piers Corbyn, Weather Action predicted



This is part of our continuous coverage of the on-going duel between the UK Met Office and Piers Corbyn on the accuracy of their weather forecasts during the Olympics.
London has seen its warmest week of the year leading up to the start of the Olympics, but is the warm weather here to stay or will the Olympics be a complete washout?

The UK Met Office promises dry and shiny weather all through the Olympics while we have Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and owner of Weather Action who predicts a damp and rainy.
Read more:
http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2012/07/london-olympics-bracing-for-rain-hail.html   
Also read our related posts: Click the Title to Read

London Olympics Weather Forecasting Duel: UK Met office and Piers Corbyn ties 1-1


Will rain washout the London Olympic Opening Ceremony? UK Met Office pits itself against Piers Corbyn




Saturday, July 28, 2012

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 3.00pm, Dark passing clouds with slight drizzles at times. Widespread rain yesterday.

London Olympics Weather Forecasting Duel: UK Met office leads Piers Corbyn 1-0


This is part of our continuous coverage of the on-going duel between the UK Met Office and Piers Corbyn on the accuracy of their weather forecasts during the Olympics.
The UK Met Office promises dry and shiny weather all through the Olympics while we have Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and owner of Weather Action who predicts a damp and rainy.  

The UK Met Office took a 1-0 lead but only just. The organizers of the London Olympics also got very fortunate with the weather for the opening ceremony. A rainstorm passed overhead before the ceremony began, but it left as quickly as it came, and that was it. Talk about lucky breaks, especially when you build an open-air stadium in London in the summertime.
By 8:45 p.m. in London, 15 minutes before the Ceremony was set to begin, the rain had stopped. At 8:55 p.m., it started again. On and off and on and off.
Considering that Piers Corbyn made his forecasts more than 40 days in advance, this was forecasting at its really best and he could be considered a trifle unlucky for missing the mark by a whisker the very first day of the Olympics.
But the race is not over. In fact, it has just begun with 15 days left for the Olympics. And Piers Corbyn apparently holds the edge in the rounds ahead.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2012/07/london-olympics-weather-forecasting.html

Cholera !

Cholera spreads in Dasuya of Punjab‎ .. http://ow.ly/cyOqt

Cholera fear strikes Chennai‎ ... http://ow.ly/cyOs3

Chennai Mayor says no cholera deaths in city this year.. http://ow.ly/cyOuM

Chennai - Cholera sets off protest outside Ripon.. http://ow.ly/cyOwz 

Friday, July 27, 2012

Chennai - a sharp shower for 15min just lashed Polichalur zone. 10:29pm

#chennai - a strong Shower is over N-W suburbs of city.. now 7:06pm at 20km N-W from city.
#chennai - 6:30pm, a massive T.shower is crossing into Sea along Mahabalipuram , at around 45km South of City.

#chennai - Another super Shower is approaching city from N-W.. now 6:30pm is nearing Thiruvallur, at 40km N-W from City

Today, again high Vertical.V possible over N.Tamilnadu, #chennai , S.Andhra from 6pm till 3am. Heavy rains possible.. http://ow.ly/i/NNVk

RT @am17s: Still no rains in #Mumbai :| “@ndtv: Rain in Delhi brings down temperature by a few notches http://t.co/KiXoIgsD”  
RT @rajugana: Bangalore 8.45am, Cloudy sky, windy and cool. Slight rain in some parts of the city yestday eve.Sky pic http://t.co/jcuwzVvR

Huge circulation over tibet


kadapa 4:30 pm

The place and its surroundings are receiving several showers  for every hour or two. Till now 5 showers occurred at my place since 11 am. The cumulo nimbus clouds are not so big, wide, but they are many.

Global Warming in the London Olympics



This is what global warming looks like.

The last time London hosted the Olympics was in 1948. King George VI opened the games at the end of July in 35C weather.

After 74 years of unprecedented global warming, the forecast high in London for Sunday is 19C – a cool down of only 16 degrees coming on the heels of the worst first half of summer on record.
Read also: London Olympics Opening: Rain or Shine? UK Met Office pits itself against Piers Corbyn, legendary weatherman
Synoptic Situation as on Thursday,26th, Night:


The Monsoon Trough runs through from Pakistan Punjab in the west thru Rajasthan (Jaipur) ,North MP and Jharkhand.
As a result, precipitation was fairly active from North Pakistan and the region North of the axis. In HP, Kangra recieved a heavy downpour of 115 mms. Utteranchal recieved very good rains and Jharkhand too had good rains last 2 days.
This was a result of an embedded UAC in the axis over Jharkhand.


Weekend Estimate: Friday, 27th, Saturday 28th and Sunday 29th July:


Friday: The Monsoon trough remains roughly in the same position. The off shore trough off the west coast remains weak.
Rainfall will be heavy in Western MP. Rainfall will also be concentrated in West UP, and the Delhi-Kanpur corridor could recieve some heavy showers. North AP coast, around Srikakulam and Vizag regions get precipitation.
Precipitation along the west coast will be medium, stations getting between 20-40 mms.


SaturdayRainfall will be concentrated in Western Rajasthan and Central UP regions. Jaipur gets a good thundershower.


Sunday: In all probibility, an embedded UAC in the axis could bring very heavy downpours to Western and Southern Rajasthan regions. The Eastern end of the trough may host an UAC b Sunday.
Parts of UP could get good rains.
West coast rains decrease, as trough weakens.


More and city wise weekend forecast on vagaries...

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Chennai - intermittent sharp showers witnessed for the past 3hrs over most parts of city. Now also 11:28pm over Polichalur zone.

#chennai - 9:15pm, Heavy & fast moving showers seen over S.Andhra coast north of city, Rain also seen over North (Ponneri) at 45km & at 80km

#chennai - Fast moving showers possible over chennai city as well before 2am. Conditions are good !
From tonight most of the Heavy rains will be over ENTIRE Madhyapradesh till 31-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/NAR7

Due to upcoming UAC over W.MP & Low circulation over N-E.MP & S.Uttarpradesh.. Showers may push into #Delhi on 28/29-Jul http://ow.ly/i/NASI

Showers may push into E,S-E.Rajasthan on 28,29,30-Jul.

Heavy rains for most of Madhyapradesh from tonight till 30-Jul.
Offshore trough is strong along Karnataka coast and it'll persist till 28-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/NALp

Today, an UAC can be seen along Orissa coast and expected to vanish there in another 24hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/NALY

Tomorrow an UAC is expected over W.Madhyapradesh and its associated low level circulation will be over N-N-E.M.pradesh. http://ow.ly/i/NAML

The upcoming UAC over W.MP will slightly move West and vanish along E.Gujarat in 48hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/NANn

Fresh UAC along Orissa coast, N-W.Bay is expected on 30/31-Jul

Today there's a weak low level circulation N-E.MP & Adjoining S.Uttarpradesh .. expected to become strong in 12hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/NAOn

The low level circulation is expected to persist over S.Uttarpradesh & N-E.MP & N.Chatisgarh from 27 to 31-Jul .. http://ow.ly/i/NAQo 
#chennai - around midnight got a mini sharp shower, same as yesterday. now 3:11pm it's Partly cloudy, HOT & Humid. Records 35.0°C at 2:40pm

#chennai - 3:12pm, Strong low level winds from West is almost coming to a stop.. meaning Sea breeze is about to set in.

Today again, Vertical.V will be Very high over S,central.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu, #chennai ,Karnataka coast from 5pm.. http://ow.ly/i/NAIF

Heavy T.showers possible for S.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu & even for #chennai before 3am of 27-Jul.
RT @arunpillai666: Beautiful pleasant morning here in palakkad, #kerala.. looks like might rain later in the day..:)  7:24am

RT @onlineobelix: Dark clouds atop the Sahyadri range in Palakkad... hot and sultry but with the constant promise of rain #Kerala 
RT @mohit21mankani: Oyes its 26th July official rainy day !!! #mumbai #rain 

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

RT @vasudevan_k: . @ranganaathan @weatherofindia heavy rains in perambur. 11:40pm, Chennai

Chennai - sharp shower started at 11:25pm over Polichalur zone

RT @aghorii: @weatherofindia heavy rain since last 30 minutes ... Hyderabad 9pm

RT @satishalavandar: @weatherofindia light drizzle at Koyembedu , chennai 11:24pm

#chennai - 9pm, good low level sea breeze seen. T.showers seen over West at around 100km from city. T.showers expected towards 12am / 1am.

IWM - Indian Weather Man




Our LOGO meaning "Orange circle = SUN", "Green triangle = LAND", "Blue triangle = Water", IWM = "Indian Weather Man"


We are in process of converting this service into a Private Limited Company, that's why we have changed the LOGO.


Soon we'll be having a re-designed website & Android APP for posting weather reports. Totally going to be community driven.
RT @shanpati: Monsoon has been having brakes all the time! Its not raining in #Mumbai inspite of heavy clouds #whatshappening (4:53pm)

Will rain washout the London Olympic Opening Ceremony? UK Met Office pits itself against Piers Corbyn




Come 27th July, the London Olympics kick off with its Opening Ceremony. Weather can play a spoiler. The Chinese last time demonstrated during the last Olympics that they had the technology to even chase away the rain successfully. This time it is different since here it is the British we are talking of!
So what’s the weather like for the opening ceremony? Weather forecasts are divided. On one hand we have the UK Met Office who promises of dry and shiny weather. On the other hand we have Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and owner of Weather Action who predicts a damp and rainy day.
During next 2 days, showers may push into Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakand, #Delhi , there after very less rains forecast till 31-Jul

Almost ZERO chance of rains for most of Rajasthan and Gujarat till 30-Jul.. NOT good signs !
Active monsoon along entire S-W coast of India will persist for another 2 days and very LESS rain forecast after http://ow.ly/i/NpNG

Heavy & Widespread rains for most of E,E-central India for next 2 days.. break expected on 28,29-Jul and rains again.. http://ow.ly/i/NpOJ

Towards 31-Jul, more heavy rains coming up for E,E-central India .. as fresh UAC coming up over N.Bay.
Next circulation over N.Bay is expected on 29/30-Jul .. http://ow.ly/i/NpLU 
Weak offshore trough persists S.Maharastra coast to N.Kerala coast .. it'll stay that way for another 48hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/Npvo

Entire S-W coast is getting active again, but it may last till 28-Jul and after that a Break is expected along S-W coast http://ow.ly/i/NpxD

Today, 2 low level circulations can be seen, one over N.Chatisgarh & another along S.Bengal coast .. http://ow.ly/i/NpEZ

The present low level circulation is expected to move towards #Delhi and die over N.Madhyapradesh on 27-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/NpGN

Today, the upper level circulation (UAC) is over N.Chatisgarh & E.Madhyapradesh .. http://ow.ly/i/NpIz

Tomorrow, a fresh UAC expected over Orissa coast & N-W.Bay.. and expected to move West .. http://ow.ly/i/NpJv

Remnant of previous UAC can be seen along S,S-E.Gujarat today.. expected to persist for another 36/48hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/NpL4 
#chennai - S,S-W suburbs got a mild shower yesterday midnight and into early hrs of today.

#chennai - So far 3:19pm, having a partly cloudy day, HOT & HUMID .. records 35.0°C at 2:40pm. No sea breeze yet, but showing signs of it!

Today as well after 5pm the Vertical.V will be HIGH along S.Andhra, N,N-E.Tamilnadu, #chennai. T.showers possible again. http://ow.ly/i/NpsC 
RT @zenrainman: Rainfall deficient by 39 % over Kerala http://t.co/e1RJD5iR  Reservoirs and electricty gen. in trouble #monsoon2012 #kerala

RT @saifarash: Heavy rain here #Malappuram #Kerala #Weather http://t.co/QKmCbd7G (2:46pm)

RT @saifarash: Heavy rain here #Malappuram #Kerala #Weather http://t.co/saPurKCL (1:53pm)
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 9.00am, Dry, Clear sky & Sunny. No rain for the past two days.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Chennai - another strong t.shower is approaching Thiruvallur from n-w ..now it's at 65km n-w from Chennai city.

RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia south #delhi had light drizzle. Now its humid. (9.30 pm)

Chennai - expected t.shower has formed, now 11:20pm it's over 40km w-s-w from city

#chennai - had clear skies, HOT & Humid till 1pm, after that good early sea breeze has set in.

#chennai - 5:10pm, having good Sea breeze upto a height of 0.6km above sea. Good T.cell formations seen.

#chennai - T.shower possibility is very high now 5:17pm. Vertical.V will be high from now till midnight.. http://ow.ly/i/Nf9B 
RT @aash_tvm: Drizzling frm morning, but no heavy rain at nedumangad #trivandrum @weatherofindia(11:45am)

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 2.10pm, Cloudy sky, rain eludes as dark clouds carried away by wind. http://t.co/RYkchrt5 

RT @shanpati: @weatherofindia what's the real update for rain in #Mumbai? .... No rains even today? Is it really a monsoon season? 9:30pm

Monday, July 23, 2012

As a result of the UAC over N-W.Maharastra & S-E.Gujarat .. heavy rains possible for next 36hrs.. http://ow.ly/i/N6pJ

From 25-Jul, showers will shift into N,N-E.Madhyapradesh, S,central Uttarpradesh due to upcoming circulation.. http://ow.ly/i/N6rr

Heavy & widespread rains forecast for S,E,central Uttarpradesh from evening of 24-Jul till 26-Jul .. http://ow.ly/i/N6sj

Showers will pickup along S,central.Maharastra coast, Karnataka coast, N. Kerala coast from 25-Jul .. till then very Less rains forecast.
A fresh low level circulation expected over S-central Uttarpradesh on 25-Jul .. and move towards #Delhi.. http://ow.ly/i/N6hi

Upcoming circulation over S.Uttarpradesh is expected to extend upto medium level heights .. http://ow.ly/i/N6ju >> expected to move West

Today's UAC over N-W.Maharastra is expected to die there in another 36hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/N6lb

N-N-W.Bay will pop another circulation on 27-Jul ... http://ow.ly/i/N6mL 
High vertical.V seen over S.Madhyapradesh, N.Maharastra and along S.Andhra coast .. Showers forecast tonight.. http://ow.ly/i/N666

Light rain or drizzles also possible for N-E.Tamilnadu coast & #chennai before morning .. http://ow.ly/i/N666

7:30pm, Heavy rains seen over W,S-W.Madhyapradesh, N,N-W Maharastra, W,S.Bihar and W,S-E.Uttarpradesh .. http://ow.ly/i/N6bA 

Sunday, July 22, 2012

Flash Floods Swamp Chinese Capital, Killing 37... http://ow.ly/cpAgQ 
For next 24hrs, Heavy rains expected over N.Maharastra, S,S-W-Madhyapradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/MYXM

9:30pm, Already we have strong showers over N.Maharastra, central,S,W.Madhyapradesh.. rain also seen over S.Rajasthan.. http://ow.ly/i/MYYB

For next 2/3 days.. Less rains forecast for S-W coast and most of the rains will be over Madhyapradesh, S.Uttarpradesh. http://ow.ly/i/MYYY 
BB2 has now weakened, and is positioned over Central MP. Likely to merge with the monsoon axis by tomorrow.
Associated UAC S/SW of it will move west, and also dissolve...
See Forecast and details in Vagaries...
IMD GFS expects, UAC over E.Maharastra is expected to move over central and N-W Maharastra on 23-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MYSJ

IMD model expects the UAC to cross into Arabian sea along #Mumbai coast on 24-Jul... http://ow.ly/i/MYUJ

Other models suggest the UAC will die along Maharastra coast on 24-Jul, a fresh UAC expected over Chatisgarh on 25-Jul. http://ow.ly/i/MYWA

All models suggest that another circulation will pop over N-N-W Bay on 27/28-Jul... http://ow.ly/i/MYXa 

RT @rajugana:  Bangalore 3.50pm, Dark clouds lingering around with few drops of rain in between. It is drizzling now ! http://t.co/dbgimFn0

RT @ranganaathan: @weatherofindia Sudden outburst of rain in T-Nagar , Chennai, now 20.50 hrs...Hope it rains well, sultry day today.

Offshore trough along S-W coast persists and it'll till 25-Jul and beyond ... http://ow.ly/i/MX98

Today, the N-W bay low level circulation has moved west and now over Chatisgarh .. http://ow.ly/i/MX9U

The present circulation over Chatisgarh will move into E.Madhyapradesh and die there on 25/26-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MXb3

As the Low & medium level circulation is over Chatisgarh the UAC is over N-N-E.Andhra & adjoining E.Maharastra.. http://ow.ly/i/MXbu

RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia #delhi is hot and humid. Nor rain 10:47am

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Chennai - light rain or strong drizzle moving into s-w suburbs 11.20pm

#chennai - 1:42pm, scattered Thin high cloud persists, Sun is out now with a Hazy sky. Ground level winds from W-S-W continues.

#chennai - strong winds from W-S-W continues from a height of 0.3km above Sea and upto 1.8km above sea level.

By today evening Vertical.V will be high over S,central,N-E.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu, #chennai .. T.showers possible .. http://ow.ly/i/MRp2

Strong winds from West is prevailing over S.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu coast .. this may hinder the cloud formations towards evening.

Here's the wind analysis showing the strong winds along S,central.Andhra coast, N.Tamilnadu coast & S.tip Tamilnadu.. http://ow.ly/i/MRqM 
RT @rajugana:  Bangalore 2.20pm, Dark clouds rolling in, but carried over by Heavy wind, Clouds comes & goes, no rain http://t.co/YsB8O97Y 
RT @aghorii: Hyderabad- himayatnagar 185 mm, chandrayangutta 180mm, hyderabad airport 115mm, shamshabad 145mm, asifnagar 140mm rain

RT @saifarash: 7.20am- Heavy rain here- nr #Calicut Airport #Kondotty #Kerala http://t.co/ICeQX8Y9

RT @renjith_b: http://t.co/Q27ioT46 - Woke up in morning hearing the sound of rain. . Somethin really unique :-) #kerala #palakkad (8:28am)

RT @aash_tvm: Gud morning! Cloudy #trivandrum. Hope it rains today. @weatherofindia 9am

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 9.40am, Cool and pleasant morning, Cloudy sky, windy. Awaiting for the rains!!

RT @aghorii: @weatherofindia 115 mm heavy rainfall recorded since last night, 9 people killed due to rain related incidents. Hyderabad

Friday, July 20, 2012

#chennai - 11pm, strong T.showers seen over Bay around 65km N-E from city.

#chennai - 11pm, a mild sea breeze from East over low levels.. but strong winds from WEST continue over upper levels.

#chennai - may get a T.shower after 1am or strong drizzles towards morning.
Heavy rains coming up for S.Chatisgarh, E.Maharastra, N.Andhra for next 2 days.. http://ow.ly/i/MLjF

Heavy rains will move into N,central Maharastra and into N-W Maharastra on 23,24-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MLkJ 
Today, circulation at low levels seen over S.Bengal and N.corner Bay.. http://ow.ly/i/MKZw

The N.Bay low & medium level circulation will move West and it'll reach E.Madhyapradesh on 22-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/ML5K

On 23-Jul, Low level circulation from E.MP is expected to move N-N-E.. into Uttarpradesh.. http://ow.ly/i/ML7d

On 22-Jul, the present circulation over N-W.Bay is expected to drop a LOW along Orissa coast.. http://ow.ly/i/ML9A

N-W.Bay is expected to drop another LOW on 26/27-Jul... http://ow.ly/i/MLbv

Today, the UAC is near N-E.Andhra coast & Orissa coast ... http://ow.ly/i/MLdG

In next 2 days, the UAC along N-E.Andhra coast will track West into N.Andhra & E.Maharastra on 22-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MLfx

After 23-Jul, the UAC will move from E,central Maharastra to N-W.Maharastra and into S-E.Gujarat on 24,25-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/MLhJ 
RT @aghorii: @weatherofindia Raining in Hyderabad since 3 hours... (8:57pm)

9pm, Heavy rains seen over N,central,N-E.Andhra.. http://ow.ly/i/MKQt 

Thursday, July 19, 2012

#chennai - 7:31pm, cloud cover continues & very little low cloud formations seen. Very strong winds from West seen over upper reaches.

6:30pm, Heavy rains seen over N.Uttarpradesh, E.Madhyapradesh, N.Chatisgarh & Jharkand.. http://ow.ly/i/MwKG 
The weak UAC along Maharastra coast will persist for another 12hrs ... http://ow.ly/i/MvsG

Offshore trough along S-W coast now drops upto central Kerala coast... It's expected to persist & deepen till 23-Jul. http://ow.ly/i/Mvtz

On 21-Jul, N.Karnataka 7 Adjoining S.Maharastra, N-W.Andhra will have an UAC ... expected to bring in good rains.. http://ow.ly/i/MvxS 
N,N-W Bay is showing signs of Fresh circulation ... http://ow.ly/i/Mv9o

COLA model expects the N.Bay circulation to move inland thru N-E.Orissa on 21-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/Mvaj

Both COLA & IMD models expects 2 circulations, One over E.Uttarpradesh & another over N-N-W Bay on 20-Jul.. http://ow.ly/i/Mvbw

COLA expects that N-W.Bay circulation will move upto E.Madhyapradesh and stay there from 23-Jul till 25-Jul !!.. http://ow.ly/i/MvcA

Analysis shows that an UAC has already popped over N-N-W corner Bay along S.Bengal .. http://ow.ly/i/MvdC

Most of the models predict that N-W.Bay circulation will move inland and travel West, and may stall around N.Chatisgarh & E.Madhyapradesh.

Due to the UAC over N-N-W.Bay, N,central Arabian sea Monsoon currents has become strong. It'll stay that way till 23-Jul http://ow.ly/i/Mvhl 
Vertical.V seen very HIGH over Nepal, adjoining Uttarpradesh for next 24hrs.. Heavy rains expected over N,central,E.Uttarpradesh.
#chennai - had a partly cloudy sky till 1pm and after that it's mostly cloudy. Records 34.0°C at 3:10pm.

#chennai - Had good breeze from W-S-W till 1pm after that the strength gone down. 3:59pm, there's NO sign of Sea breeze.

Vertical.V will be high along N.coast Tamilnadu & S.Coast Andhra after 6pm today.. chance of T.showers towards midnight. http://ow.ly/i/Mv6x

T.showers possible for N.Tamilnadu coast, #chennai around midnight or into early hrs of 20-Jul.
RT @ashtala: Non stop rain in freaking #Mumbai, #India #Sucks! http://t.co/9zCNOurI (3:05pm)

RT @gw1962: Mourners bid farewell to 'first Bollywood superstar': Mourners gathered in Mumbai under heavy monsoon rain http://t.co/bzeTOpko

RT @virenj: if u r driving on Mumbai nashik highway drive safely 2 much of rain,some pot holes r develop,keep the speed limit of 100 & enjoy

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

RT @axharr: #sunnyday #sky #trivandrum http://t.co/DsMcWyYC (3:36pm)

Showers over entire N-E states to reduce after 21-Jul.

#chennai - 4pm, NO sea breeze yet!, NO low cloud formations and thin High cloud cover continues.
Heavy rains for Maharastra coast to continue from today till 22-Jul and beyond .. http://ow.ly/i/Mk2t

Heavy rains forecast for entire E.India till 22-Jul, On 20/21-Jul heavy rains forecast for E.Uttarpradesh .. http://ow.ly/i/Mk3f

From 20-Jul, Heavy rains for Orissa, S.Chatisgarh and into E.Maharastra .. http://ow.ly/i/Mk41

If the N-W Bay low forms and moves west then Heavy rains forecast for Chatisgarh, E,central maharastra from 21-24-Jul. http://ow.ly/i/Mk6k

@akwaghmare >> Very less rains forecast for West Maharastra (rain shadow of W.Ghats) till 20-Jul

Monsoon showers are expected to push into North India, #Delhi from evening of 20-Jul .
2pm, Heavy showers along S,central Maharastra coast, And heavy rains yet to reach N.Maharastra coast, S-E.Gujarat.. http://ow.ly/i/MjOP

2pm, Heavy rains seen along Bihar, most of Bengal and Orissa ... http://ow.ly/i/MjOP
2 UAC can be seen over Arabian sea, one along S-E Gujarat & N.Maharastra coast, another along S.Maharastra coast.. http://ow.ly/i/MjB9

The Maharastra coast UAC will persist along #Mumbai for another 24hrs... http://ow.ly/i/MjD8

On 20/21-Jul a UAC is also expected over N.Karnataka, N-W.Andhra & S.Maharastra .. http://ow.ly/i/MjDR

Strong monsoon current is seen reaching coastal Maharastra, S.coastal Gujarat. In next 2 days it's expected to be strong http://ow.ly/i/MjEq

On 21-Jul, IMD WRF models does not support a strong N-W Bay circulation but IMD GFS supports a good circulation.. http://ow.ly/i/MjET

Most models suggest a N-W corner Bay circulation on 21-Jul and a weaker circulation over E.Uttarpradesh on the same day !!
RT @shanpati: #Mumbai,sky is densely overcast with grey clouds.Short & sharp rains at time intervals.Not much rains in suburbs ! 2:11pm
On 20-Jul, 2 circulations expected. One over E.Uttarpradesh and another over N-N-W corner of Bay along Bengal coast.. http://ow.ly/i/MjkI

Offshore trough along S-W coast persists and seen upto S.Karnataka coast .. will persist for another 3 days.. http://ow.ly/i/Mjr4

A LOW pressure is expected over E.Uttarpradesh on 20-Jul and will move West .. http://ow.ly/i/Mjs4 
#chennai - had a heavily cloudy day till 12pm, and now 1:14pm it's clearing up. Records a mild 31.0°C at 12:40pm

Today, Vertical.V is mild over S.Karnataka, S,central.Andhra, N.Tamilnadu & #chennai .. so less possibility of rain.

A slightly high Vertical.V along Coastal Andhra after 6pm .. this may lead to some T.showers over S,central,coastal Andhra.

For next 24hrs, Vertical.V is HIGH along N.Maharastra coast, Foot hills of Himalayas and entire N-E states.. Heavy rains ahead.!
RT @happynottykid: Back to Mumbai and the rain and the buses!!  http://t.co/dnRCcqzm 
RT @dsanjeevkumar: Awesome Weather in #Chennai #Guindy.. Cool and Slight Drizzle.. Excellent.. :) @weatherofindia (8:17am)

RT @ganpat000: @weatherofindia No Rain in #Delhi, sunshine Records 34 (10.30 am)

Sikkim cut off from rest of the country after landslides ... http://ow.ly/cjCpx

More Heavy rains coming up in next 48hrs for Sikkim, N.Bengal and North N-E states.. http://ow.ly/i/MjdW

Floods in North Bengal affect 80,000 ... http://ow.ly/cjCAv 

Indian Monsoon: What's brewing in the Pacific is more likely a Modokai than a normal El Niño



Just when it looked as if a traditional El Niño was getting its sea legs, the event is now looking a bit less canonical.  This prompted the following analysis. This post is jointly written by Rajan Alexander who administers the blog Rajan’s Take: Climate Change and Rajesh Kapadia who administers the blog, Vagaries of the Weather.

If we take a look at last week’s US-CFS v2 forecasts for Niño regions 1+2 it could be observed that the warmest anomalies have been centred in the eastern portion of the ENSO monitoring area.

However, also seen in the forecast, there is now more of a potential for the temperatures to be much lower. One explanation is that the Niño maybe dying off!!  The only other explanation is that the heat is merely transferring westwards - a fact validated through the latest Sea Surface Temperatures (STT) departures.

Till recently, it was thought that the El Niño had only one mode - a periodic warming in the eastern tropical Pacific that occurs along the coast of South America. In 2004, it was discovered to have also a second mode that occurs around 12% of the time.

A Japanese team led by T. Yamagata (that included a prominent Indian climatologist, Dr Venkata Ratnam) noticed the 2004 El Niño was warming more strongly in the Central Pacific region and accordingly stumbled on the discovery of its second mode by sheer accident. They called such an El Nino as Modokai, which is a classical Japanese word which means similar but different”.  The phenomenon is also known as a Pseudo or Central Pacific (CP) El Niño.