Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Cyclone "01 B" - "Laila" ... Update # 7

The core is loosing its strength a bit and this will re-generate in another 6 hrs time


IMD warning:
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The cyclonic storm ‘LAILA’ over southwest and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal moved northwestwards  and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 18thMay 2010 over southwest and adjoining southeast  westcentral Bay of Bengal near latitude 13.00N and long. 84.00E, about 400 km east of Chennai, 550 km south-southeast of Visakhapatnam and 1200 km south-southwest of Kolkata.
            The current environmental conditions and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models suggest that the system is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction for some more time and then move in a northwesterly to northerly direction and cross Andhra Pradesh coast between Ongole and Visakhapatnam by early hours of 20th May 2010.
Under the influence of this system, north coastal Tamil Nadu and coastal Andhra Pradesh are likely to experience widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls  (25 cms or more) and isolated extremely heavy falls during next 48 hours.  Gale force wind with speed reaching 65-75 kmph likely to commence along and off Andhra Pradesh coast from today, the 18th night. It may increase to 115-125 kmph at the time of landfall. Squally winds speed reaching 50-60 kmphlikely along and off north Tamil Nadu coast during next 24 hours.
           
            Sea condition will be very high to phenomenal along and off Andhra Pradesh coast and very rough along and off north Tamil Nadu coast. Fishermen are advised not venture into the sea off these coasts.

            The system is under constant watch and concerned state Govts. are being informed accordingly.
           
            Next bulletin will be issued at 2030 hrs IST of today, the 18th May 2010.



Satellite shot at 6 pm IST
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