Saturday, May 22, 2010

Cyclone "01 B" - "Laila" ... Update # 20 ... May be the Final warning

Cyclone "Laila" is no more..!
This may be the Final warning for this system.


JTWC warning
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TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B (LAILA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AS IT TRACKS OVER THE RUGGED 
TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST INDIA. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
REMAINS ELUSIVE WITH NO DISCERNIBLE SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE OR RADAR 
IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE SYSTEM'S WEAKENING 
TREND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD 
ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE 
AND CONTINUE WEAKENING. AFTER TAU 36, TC 01B COULD REINTENSIFY IF IT 
REFORMS OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS 
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE 
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.

JTWC path
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IMD warning
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Sub: The Depression weakened into a well marked low pressure area.

            The depression over coastal Andhra Pradesh moved further north-northeastwards and weakened into a well marked low pressure area over north coastal Andhra pradesh and adjoining Telangana at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 21st May 2010.
            Under the influence of this system, fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is likely over north coastal Andhra Pradesh and adjoining Telangana during next 24 hours. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is likely over Orissa during next 36 hours and Isolated heavy rainfall likely over Gangetic West Bengal during next 48 hours.
            According to NWP model prediction, there is possibility of emergence of the system into north Bay of Bengal.  on 24th May 2010. The system is therefore under constant watch.

            This is the last bulletin for this system.


Latest satellite shot
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