Sunday, January 17, 2016

January 17, 2016 at 08:40PM


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Moderate rain to continue over S Madhyapradesh and T showers expected for Karnataka



An upper-level WD trough is slowly taking shape along N,NW Afghanistan.. will deepen in next 24hrs ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXZe7.jpg
This upper-level WD trough will deepen and push into N,NW India on Monday late-evening ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXZjS.jpg
Associated mid-level trough of WD will be along 70E and dipping SW upto SW-central Arabian sea on evening, 18-Jan .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXZpZ.jpg
This mid-level circulation will drive in moisture from Arabian sea into central India thru Maharastra, Karnataka coast from evening, 18-Jan.


Yesterday's low-level circulation near N Maharastra coast persists and will for next 15hrs, before merging with WD circulation on 18th,night. Maharastra coast circulation and Odisha coast Anti-cyclone is creating wind confluence over central,N Peninsula ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXZMA.jpg
WD's low-level circulation will pick strength over E Rajasthan, W Madhyapradesh and move E-N-E from morning, 19-Jan ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXZTu.jpg

Before midnight, 18-Jan,
Scattered moderate rain to persist over S,SW,SE Madhyapradesh, N,NE Maharastra... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fY0ne.jpg
In next 36hrs, Scattered moderate rain will push further into Jharkhand, N Odisha and persist over N,central Chatisgarh.
From evening of Monday,
Scattered showers expected over S,SE,central Rajasthan, one or two over E Gujarat.

After noon/evening of 18-Jan.. T Showers will light up over Karnataka coast, N,central coast Kerala, Lakshadweep.. http://ow.ly/Xb1jv 
Evening, late-evening of 18th.
Scattered T showers over S,W,central Karnataka, #Bangalore, N,NW,W-ghats Tamilnadu, SW,W Andhra, Telangana !

January 17, 2016 at 10:34AM


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January 17, 2016 at 12:26AM


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An interesting WD ahead for N,central and Peninsular India


Latest analysis show that an offshore low-level circulation seen over Arabian sea near N Maharastra coast... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXpfg.jpg
At low-levels a weak circulation & mini trough seen along SW Madhyapradesh, N,NW Maharastra ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXpzv.jpg
Wind confluence is also seen along S Madhyapradesh and N,NE Maharastra ... http://ow.ly/X9AbZ 

Due to these conditions, 9:30pm shows,
Cloudy with light, moderate rain over S,SE Madhyapradesh, N,NE Maharastra into N-central Chatisgarh. Here's the 9:30pm, Satellite IR image ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXpTz.jpg


Monday.. a strong upper,mid-level WD trough is expected to drop along 67E and dipping far south upto 13/14N to central Arabian sea. On 18th, this WD trough is expected to drift across into N,N-central India with a trough dipping SW to S Arabian sea ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXr40.jpg
On Monday, along with upper-level WD trough, a mid-level trough expected from W India to SW Arabian sea ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXrfr.jpg
WD will induce a low-level circulation over Rajasthan on 18-Jan, present circulation along Maharastra coast will merge with this on Monday.
This low-level WD circulation is expected to travel East from Rajasthan into E Uttarpradesh, from 18th to 20th .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXrHT.jpg

In next 36hrs, the WD trough, circulation will slowly start to push in moisture from Arabian sea into Karnataka, Kerala coast !
Jan- 18 to 20th, After a long time, a WD system is expected to drive in moisture and rains upto S-central Peninsula ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXrXG.jpg

Before midnight of 17-Jan,
Scattered moderate rain expected over S,S-central,SE Madhyapradesh, N,NE Maharastra, N,central Chatisgarh.
Scattered Light / moderate rain also expected along N,central coast Kerala and coast Karnataka after Sunday evening! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fXsmd.jpg

Due to this WD system, the day & night temp across N,NW,W,S,central,East India are expected to be above normal from 18th to 20-Jan.

Saturday, January 16, 2016

January 15, 2016 at 11:52PM


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Friday, January 15, 2016


From 18th morning, the min temp will be up by +1 C along coast,central,NE Tamilnadu and #Chennai ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWgOw.jpg

Night, morning temps over NE Karnataka, S,central Maharastra is expected to hover around 20 C !

For N,NW,N-central India... expect a #COLD night & morning on 16,17-Jan.

#Chennai on Pongal morning...
Airport continues its 19 C stint at 19.4 C
IWM Polichalur 21 C
Nungambakkam 21.9 C
For #Chennai, No significant change in day & night temp expected on 16,17-Jan.

Scattered rain ahead for S MP, N,NE Maharastra, central Chatisgarh

Till 8:30am today,
Many places in N India had a below normal Day(14-Jan) temp...
Chandigarh 15 C (-6 below normal)
Patiala 15 (-4)
But after 4pm,14-Jan and before morning of 15-Jan, an upper-level WD trough traversed acrossed N,N-central India ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fW6Kx.jpg
This fast moving upper-level trough raised the nights temps ALL along N,NW,N-central India.
Today morning, Chandigarh 10 c (+5 above)

Wind confluence happening over M.P due to remnant trough over W Uttarpradesh and anti-cyclone over NE Andhra ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWbAx.jpg
And this has produced some moderate / light rain over central,S,SE Madhyapradesh. IR at 8:30pm... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWbRQ.jpg

Meanwhile, a mid-level trough in westerlies over N,NE Arabian sea has popped ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWc4V.jpg
This 700hpa trough over NE Arabian sea is expected to persist for another 4 days along a low-level circulation near Maharastra coast !

This mid-level trough and low-level circulation over NE Arabian sea will persist till Sunday evening ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWcFb.jpg
http://ow.ly/X7jO5 ... "this would be a perfect scenario for HEAVY rains along Maharastra coast if it was in June / july :-)
Circulation near Maharastra coast is expected to bring ... scattered light / moderate rain for S Maharastra coast, Karnataka coast, N Kerala
Here are the charts showing the mid-level trough and next 36hrs rainfall forecast chart .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWdDQ.jpg ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWdII.jpg
In next 36hrs, scattered moderate rain for S ,SE Madhyapradesh and N,NE Maharastra into central,N Chatisgarh .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWe2M.jpg

Evening of 17-Jan,
Another upper-level WD trough will push near to N,NW,W India ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWeg4.jpg
Upcoming WD will drop a low-level circulation over NW,W Rajasthan on Sunday evening.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/fWexf.jpg
On Monday evening, the NE Arabian sea circulation and WD circulation will onteract and merge over W Madhyapradesh !

Thursday, January 14, 2016

January 14, 2016 at 08:22PM


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January 14, 2016 at 08:20AM


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