Heavy rain ahead for N,N-E,central Andhra, coastal Andhra, E Maharastra in 24hrs

Before noon tomorrow, HEAVY rain forecast for coastal, N,N-E Andhra, N-E Karnataka and into S-E,E Maharastra.
Before tomorrow midnight, HEAVY rain also for S,S-W,W Maharastra, N,N-E Karnataka, central Andhra, Odisha and central,S Chatisgarh.
Central,N,W Tamilnadu can get scattered moderate rain, while central,N-coast Tamilnadu can expect heavy rain.

#Bangalore - Less rain forecast for city from tonight till midnight of Saturday.
Tomorrow evening, T showers expected for Pune, Belgaum zones.
N,central Kerala can get some showers during next 24hrs.
#Chennai - 6:55pm, is getting ready for a moderate rain.
And more rain ahead for city before midnight of 26-Oct.

All the present forecast is only for next 24hrs (till tomorrow night) and based on the predicted movement of Andhra circulation.

Moderate rain over #Kolkata and #Chennai rain alert

#Kolkata - 6:20pm, "moderate rain for past 2 hrs"

#Chennai - 6:15pm, band of moderate showers closing in on city from W,S-W.
Now around 55km from city, this may intensify when nearing coast

3:30pm, Heavy rain over N,N-central,N-E Andhra, N,N-E,central Karnataka and into S chatisgarh, S,central Odisha.. http://ow.ly/i/3wET8 

Davangere - 1:14pm, "3 passing showers till now. Clouds sailing from west -northwest.
Seriously its raining a lot continuously."

#Chennai - 4pm, mini T showers seen over W,N-W from city at around 100 to 150km... Almost 100% chance of scattered rain after 6pm.

#Bangalore - 4:34pm, "Poured for about 20 minutes .. now coming to an end in CHIKKABETTAHALLI zone"

Circulation has moved North into N-central Andhra, where next ?

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 10.20am, Overcast sky with slight drizzle in the morning. sky pic http://t.co/94OsOPyMwe 

#Chennai - 3:20pm, Heavy cloud cover day again. Temperature now is 30.9 C.
And wind direction is from S-S-E.

HEAVY rain over Andhra till 8:30am today ::
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Prathipadu (dist East Godavari) 26, Visakhapatnam Ap (dist Vishakhapatnam) 16, Tekkali (dist Srikakulam) , Rentachintala (dist Guntur) , Kalwakurthi and  Kollapur (both dist Mahbubnagar) 15 each, Avanigadda (dist Krishna) 14, Yerragondapalem (dist Prakasam)  and  Koderu (dist West Godavari) 13 each, Achampet and  Nagarkurnool (both dist Mahbubnagar) 12 each, Narsapuram (dist West Godavari), Kandukur (dist Prakasam), Kalingapatnam (dist Srikakulam), Gudivada (dist Krishna), Macharla (dist Guntur), Yellamanchili (dist Vishakhapatnam) and  Kaikalur (dist Krishna) 11 each, Mandasa (dist Srikakulam) and  Eluru (dist West Godavari) 10 each, Sathenapalli (dist Guntur), Cheepurupalli (dist Vizianagaram), Visakhapatnam (dist Vishakhapatnam), Devarkonda (dist Nalgonda) and  Ibrahimpatnam (dist Rangareddy) 9 each

Yesterday's S Andhra circulation has moved North and now over N-central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3wEqt 

Now, the GFS expects the system to track N-E and may pop over N-W Bay along Odisha coast on 27-Oct... http://ow.ly/i/3wEvJ 

But NAVGEM model says that the circulation will vanish over N Andhra, S-E Maharastra on 26/27-Oct.. Good possibility! http://ow.ly/i/3wEB6 

25 Oct 13 / 00Z RF in AP

IMD ARG REPORTED RAINFALL in AP: DATE25.10.2013 / TIME: 0530 hrs IST

SN	STATION	LAT	LOG	RF in mm
1	YERAKUNDALAPALEM	16.0	79.3	120.0
2	KALWAKURTHY	16.7	78.5	117.0
3	KOLLAAPUR	16.1	78.3	115.0
4	MARUTHERU	16.6	81.7	56.0

Chennai - 10pm, a heavy electric shower is nearing N,N-W suburbs (Ponneri, Red hills zones) of city.

TN NEM rainfall

Courtesy:NRLMRY NEXSAT

NRLMRY NEXSAT:241013 / 0730 Z

The cloud is moving slowly in W-NWly direction. The high pressure ridge is preventing it to move in Northward direction. 

The SWly feeder to the circulation which passed through Salem and adjoining area experienced rainfall.

When there is cut off in circulation and possibly when there emerges another circulation near Chennai then probably Chennai may get rainfall.

The SW winds which have withdrawn from Indian main land is feeding moisture from Indian Ocean to the circulation and keeps it alive.


Last year during the same period MURJAN was active; then NILAM came.

Circulation has moved N-N-W and may continue the same

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 12.30pm, Overcast sky, dark clouds, no significant rain as of now.. sky pic @ varthur lake http://t.co/l1eLxcm8hG 

#Chennai - 1:30pm, High cloud cover continues. Wind, cloud movement from S-W.
T.Showers possible after 3pm.

Today, the low,mid, upper level circulation is over S-central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3vWi7 
Now NAVGEM model suggests that the circulation to move N-N-W into S,S-W Maharastra in 48hrs and vanish.. http://ow.ly/i/3vWuP 
Latest GFS expects the circulation to drift N-W into S Maharastra and may drift N-E into E Maharastra in 60hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/3vWyi 
Latest models didn't support circulation drifting into Arabian se, there's a possibility of a circulation along S Maharastra coast in 48hrs

2 odd model suggestion for the present circulation over S.Andhra

7pm, HEAVY rain over W,S,N-E Karnataka, central Tamilnadu, central,N-central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3vslZ 
7pm, showers seen pushing into N-E Andhra, S,central Chatisgarh, Odisha and S Bengal.
"It's raining in Ranchi" .. http://ow.ly/i/3vslZ

Analysis show that the circulation is over S Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3vsHn 
GFS suggests, that the circulation will weaken and drift N-W upto S,S-W Maharastra and vanish ... http://ow.ly/i/3vsMq 

But NAVGEM model suggests, the circulation will exit thru Karnataka coast and drift W-S-W into Arabian sea .. ODD . http://ow.ly/i/3vsRk 

In any case, HEAVY rain ahead for E,S-central, central Karnataka and W,central Andhra during next 36hrs.
Before Friday morning, rain expected for N,central,N-E Tamilnadu, S,central-coast Andhra.
#Bangalore - scattered moderate rain expected before Firday morning.
#Chennai - The wind direction is expected to shift to S-W and to South by Friday.. and noon,evening showers expected tomorrow.

There's NO strong easterlies expected to enter Bay till 31-Oct ... so weak N-E monsoon days ahead for Tamilnadu coast.

Circulation now over S Andhra, N Tamilnadu and Chennai

Latest analysis show that the circulation is over S Andhra, N Tamilnadu and #Chennai ... http://ow.ly/i/3vgg2 

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 9.45am, Cloudy skies with slight drizzles. However Sky is clearing and Sun is peeping out ! http://t.co/RzKwpPcN46 

11:30am, Heavy rain over central Andhra as the circulation has moved inland ... http://ow.ly/i/3vgmg 

#Chennai - 12:20pm, Pressure is around 1004mb, as expected Wind and cloud movement is from West.
Warm at around 32 C.
#Chennai - 12:30pm, conditions are right for a localized T shower before 6pm.

Belgaum @ 9.30pm, 22-Oct - From morning it was cloudy..Now drizzling started ..wind is from east..seems more rain ahead for next three days
Davangere - 5:30pm, 22-Oct, "Strong entry of NEM. Raining from past 1 hour, still has got good cloud cover."
More rain head in 36hrs.

#Kolkata - 12:40pm, "Overcast"