2 odd model suggestion for the present circulation over S.Andhra

7pm, HEAVY rain over W,S,N-E Karnataka, central Tamilnadu, central,N-central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3vslZ 
7pm, showers seen pushing into N-E Andhra, S,central Chatisgarh, Odisha and S Bengal.
"It's raining in Ranchi" .. http://ow.ly/i/3vslZ

Analysis show that the circulation is over S Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3vsHn 
GFS suggests, that the circulation will weaken and drift N-W upto S,S-W Maharastra and vanish ... http://ow.ly/i/3vsMq 

But NAVGEM model suggests, the circulation will exit thru Karnataka coast and drift W-S-W into Arabian sea .. ODD . http://ow.ly/i/3vsRk 

In any case, HEAVY rain ahead for E,S-central, central Karnataka and W,central Andhra during next 36hrs.
Before Friday morning, rain expected for N,central,N-E Tamilnadu, S,central-coast Andhra.
#Bangalore - scattered moderate rain expected before Firday morning.
#Chennai - The wind direction is expected to shift to S-W and to South by Friday.. and noon,evening showers expected tomorrow.

There's NO strong easterlies expected to enter Bay till 31-Oct ... so weak N-E monsoon days ahead for Tamilnadu coast.