Nilofar - Tropical storm now and will be dead over sea.

During past 24hrs, the Severe Cyclone has degraded to a Tropical storm now.
Pressure has risen from 959mb to 995.1mb.
Present wind is around 90 kmph.

12:30pm, IR shows that the system has tracked N-E and convective activity is also weak.

In next 42hrs, this is expected to weaken further and fizzle out over Sea itself near to Coast of Kutch and S Pakistan.
Moderate showers expected over S,S-W,W Gujarat and over S,S-E Pakistan on 31-Oct and 1-Nov.

Looks like the easterlies have picked up strength today in Karaikal.
10:33AM,Gusty wind here.

Chennai - wind has picked up over low-levels but the direction is from NE. In next 24 hrs it'll become ENE and rain will start pushing in.

Moderate showers will start pushing into central , N Tamilnadu coast , #Chennai from morning or noon of Friday.

Nilofar - "going down"

4pm, Cyclone Nilofar has started to degrade ... and has drifted North during past 12hrs ... http://ow.ly/i/7o2XP 
4pm, Check the latest ADT analysis of Cyclone Nilofar, pressure around 972mb ... "its going down" .... http://ow.ly/i/7o31d 

Nilofar - Models expect the Cyclone to weaken rapidly (36hrs) and "may" reach Kutch, S Pakistan as a LOW on 31-Oct.. http://ow.ly/i/7o3jG 

Weather Instagram at October 29, 2014 at 03:18PM

#chennai - 3pm, another dry day. Feels like early December. Stiff breeze from north. #weather

from Instagram

Low-level circulation over S Bay persists and the winds along Tamilnadu coast is from North due to this... http://ow.ly/i/7nWGU 
Circulation expected to drift into S-W Bay in next 2 days.. this'll change the wind direction along TN coast to E-N-E !!

N,central Tamilnadu coast, #Chennai is expected to get RAIN from this Bay circulation only after noon of Friday ! 
Today evening and 30-Oct... scattered T showers expected for S,S-central,W-ghats Tamilnadu, S Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/7nWNW 

NAVGEM model expects the present S Bay circulation to persist even till 3/4-Nov along S-E coast Srilanka ... http://ow.ly/i/7nWRx 
NAVGEM model even suggests that the system will become Depression and move into Gulf Mannar, S Tamilnadu on 5-Nov !! http://ow.ly/i/7nWTb 
But GFS expects a fresh circulation over S-E Bay on 2-Nov and track West .. http://ow.ly/i/7nWV7 

Nilofar - Will track N-E from now and weaken !

Analysis show that Cyclone Nilofar is still a Severe Cyclone with pressure around 961.4 mb.
Winds upto 180 kmph.
But the latest Satellite IR, visible shows its W,S,S-W quadrants are getting exposed (or less convective activity) 

Now the system is under grip of upper-level westerlies, in next 12/18 hrs, the system is expected to weaken due to less moisture supply and drift N-E towards Gujarat.

Most of the models suggest that Nilofar will track N-E from now on and weaken and make landfall as Cyclone / Depression along Kutch, Gujarat and along S Pakistan coast on 31-Oct.

Cyclone "NILOFAR" intensifying Rapidly , a "CAT-4"cyclone

#Chennai - Today had a DRY day. Now low-level winds is from N-N-E and expected to change to E-N-E in 36 hrs S-S-E bay circulation moves west

Scattered showers may push into N,central-coast Tamilnadu, #Chennai around morning, mid-morning.

5:30pm, less T showers today over Tamilnadu. T showers seen over S Tip, N-W Tamilnadu, S Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/7nikQ 

A weak W.D circulation over N-central Pakistan is giving scattered showers  over N Pakistan, Kashmir, N Punjab.. http://ow.ly/i/7nix8 
During next 24hrs, the W.D circulation is expected to drift E-N-E and vanish.

5:30pm, Severe smog visibility less than 500 meters in Kabarwala, S Punjab... ow.ly/i/7niRC

3:25pm, Rain in Lahore, Pakistan... Due to WD... ow.ly/i/7niZk

Nilofar - has intensified during past 6hrs..
Pressure now 959.7mb
Winds upto 185 kmph
"Drifted North".. http://ow.ly/i/7nfwt 

Here's the Cyclone Nilofar's intensity pattern so far.. http://ow.ly/i/7nfF7 
" during past 24hrs, weakening and strengthening seen "