1:30pm, Amost NO rain over MOST of India, except cloudy over S,central Bengal and some showers over N-E states.. http://ow.ly/i/60vom 
1:30pm, some showers also seen along N coast Kerala and over central,W-ghats Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/60vom

RT @Sailorabee: Rains are back after a short break. And how!!!
#Monsoons #Kochi @WeAreKochi @weatherofindia (8:53am)

Today, tomorrow - scattered rain expected along S,central Karnataka coast and along N,central coast,w-ghats of Kerala http://ow.ly/i/60wvE 
During next 2 days, S,central Kerala is also expected to get scattered moderate rain ... http://ow.ly/i/60wAK 

Today, tomorrow evening / late-evening showers expected to pop over N,N-E,N-central Tamilnadu, #Chennai into S,S-E Karnataka, S Andhra.

#Chennai HOT at 1:14PM and #Bangalore update

1pm, temp 37 C but feels like mid May month. Super summer day! #weather

from Instagram

Bengaluru - Almost NO rain expected today. A super summer day expected.

But after 5pm, there's 10% chance of light/moderate rain due to increased vertical velocity along S,S-E Karnataka, S Andhra and N,N-E Tamilnadu.

At 1:30pm, Airport shows 34 C and feels like 36 C and Windy from W-N-W

#Chennai - Today can expect cloud formation after 4pm and there's a 20% chance of scattered light/moderate rain. Till then HOT conditions.

#Chennai - 2pm, good low-level sea breeze has set-in and this can improve the chance of rain after 5pm.

Current year's El Nino episode starts getting its act together: Nino STTs and SOI starts coupling

 

A key factor why the current El Nino episode found immense difficulty in establishing itself was the lack of coupling between the Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) found in the Nino region of the Central Pacific and the atmosphere. Because of this, doubts were even cast whether any El Nino would be experienced this year as Nino STTs and Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) demonstrated diametrically opposite trends – SSTs signalling an El Nino while SOI signalling La Nina.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2014/06/current-years-el-nino-episode-starts.html

Japanese Met predicts double whammy for Indian Monsoon: India faces devastating drought

The Japanese climate agency, JAMSTEC model predictions, if they actualize doesn’t augur too well at all for the Indian monsoon. They predict a double whammy – a combined El Nino-Indian Ocean Dipole adverse effect. If so, we may end up facing a seasonal rainfall deficiency at least within 20-30% range, if not more. Our current rainfall deficiency stands at over 45% and the month of June may end with 50% plus deficiency. If JAMSTEC is right, then July-Sept may fare no better.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2014/06/japanese-met-predicts-double-whammy-for.html

It is very rare to observe "almost NO moisture" at mid-levels along W,S-W coast at this time of year ... http://ow.ly/i/5ZInq 

2:30pm, Almost NO rain seen along W,S-W coast, except for some rain along N-central Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/5ZIyF 
2:30pm, In fact MOST of India is having very less rain activity or NO rain.. http://ow.ly/i/5ZIyF
ODD satellite image in 2nd half of June!

West coast offshore trough is weak except along S,central Karnataka coast , N Kerala coast.. and there's less sign of revival in next 3 days
Latest GFS model suggests a even bad picture!!
Almost NO revival expected along S-W,W coast even till 29-Jun !

Weather Instagram at June 23, 2014 at 01:58PM

#chennai - 1:45pm, warm with thin high cloud cover. Less rain possible if this continues. #weather

from Instagram

Today, the upper-level W.D trough is seen upto N-W India (N,N-W Rajasthan) ... http://ow.ly/i/5Zk02 
During next 42 hrs, this W.D trough will drift East and can drop South upto E Rajasthan, W,N-W Madhyapradesh ... http://ow.ly/i/5Zk1Z 

Due to this W.D, scattered rain expected over Haryana, Punjab, N,N-E Rajasthan, Himachal, Uttarakhand, W,central UP http://ow.ly/i/5Zk48 
S,central Kashmir is expected to get more rain during next 2 days!
During next 2 days, some T showers expected over N,N-E Madhyapradesh.
And T showers also expected over central, E Uttarpradesh as well.

#Chennai - 3:40pm, Mini showers are popping over W,N-W at around 30 to 60km from city.
These showers will pass across city and suburbs.

#Chennai - yesterday, max temp touched 39.2 C.
Rainfall...
Nungambakkam = 2.8mm
Airport = 10.4mm
IWM Polichalur = 6.3mm

2:30pm, Showers seen along Karnataka coast and MOST of West, S-W coast is dry ... http://ow.ly/i/5Zjn7 
2:30pm, Most of Bengal is cloudy with some showers around ... http://ow.ly/i/5Zjn7

Latest GFS expects that entire W,S-W coast is in for very LESS rain during next 3 or 4 days (till 26-Jun).

In the East.
Today, the mid,upper-level circulation is seen over N-central Bengal and Bangladesh ... http://ow.ly/i/5ZjqM 
This circulation is expected to weaken and drift into N-central zone of N-E states of India in next 42hrs ... http://ow.ly/i/5ZjsU 
Widespread rain expected to persist over N Bengal, Sikkim and over N,central zones of N-E states during next 2 days.
S,central Bengal, S Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha is in for less rain from tomorrow till 24-Jun !

Weather Instagram at June 22, 2014 at 02:20PM

#chennai - 2:15pm, a hazy and humid day. Again showers expected after 5pm. #weather

from Instagram