No landfall yet... still travelling slowly along & close to coast.
Slowly moving north-north-west.
It's expected to make landfall SOON.
Chennai is receiving intermittent Sharp heavy showers with gusts from morning.
Still continues...
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
"Nisha" - No landfall yet
No landfall yet... still travelling slowly along & close to coast.
Slowly moving north-north-west.
It's expected to make landfall SOON.
Chennai is receiving intermittent Sharp heavy showers with gusts from morning.
Still continues...
"06B - Nisha" - raging along the central coast of Tamilnadu
Whole of Tamilnadu is under "06B".
Here are some rainfall data recorded till 8:30 AM, 25-Nov-08
Thiruvidaimaruthur (Thanjavur dt) 30 and Thanjavur and Mandapam (Ramanathapuram dt) 25 each.Rameswaram 23, Orathanadu (Thanjavur dt) 19, Mayiladuthurai 17, Eachanvidhi (Thanjavur dt) 16, Thirukattupalli, Ayyampettai (Both Thanjavur dt), Viralimalai (Pudukottai dt), Thangachimadam (Ramanathapuram dt), Pamban and Tirumanur (Ariyalur dt) 15 each, Thiruvaiyaru (Thanjavur dt) and Pullambadi (Thiruchirapalli dt) 14 each, Annamalai Nagar and Lalpet (both Cuddalore dt), Valangaiman (Thanjavur dt), Kollidam and Sirkali (both Nagapattinam dt) 13 each, Papanasam (Thanjavur dt) and Ramanathapuram 12 each, Kumbakonam and Budalur (both Thanjavur dt),Kattumannarkoil(Cuddalore dt),Kodavasal (Tiruvarur dt),Udayalpatti and Kattumavadi (both Pudukottai dt) and Kallakudi (Thiruchirapalli dt) 11 each, Grand Anaicut, Kurungalam, Lower Anaicut and Manjalar (all Thanjavur dt), Chidambaram and Sethiyathope (both Cuddalore dt), Manalmedu(Nagapattinam dt), Karaiyur Pudukottai dt), Manamelkudi and Aruppukottai 10 each
Chennai is getting heavy rains from this system.
We are getting rain from 4:30PM, 25-Nov-08 to till now.
SOme drizzle gaps inbetween.
Now (10:06AM, 26-Nov-08) also it's raining.
And more to come till early evening.
Satellite pic & JTWC tracking...
Suggests that, "06B" will make landfall in 1 or 2hrs time.
It's almost there, Making landfall near Rameswaram & Nagapatinum.
The remnense of this system will give more rains for atleast another 48 HRS, thruout North-Tamilnadu & Interior.
We are constantly tracking a GFS model suggesting a Super Cyclone at the END of this month.
Here are some rainfall data recorded till 8:30 AM, 25-Nov-08
Thiruvidaimaruthur (Thanjavur dt) 30 and Thanjavur and Mandapam (Ramanathapuram dt) 25 each.Rameswaram 23, Orathanadu (Thanjavur dt) 19, Mayiladuthurai 17, Eachanvidhi (Thanjavur dt) 16, Thirukattupalli, Ayyampettai (Both Thanjavur dt), Viralimalai (Pudukottai dt), Thangachimadam (Ramanathapuram dt), Pamban and Tirumanur (Ariyalur dt) 15 each, Thiruvaiyaru (Thanjavur dt) and Pullambadi (Thiruchirapalli dt) 14 each, Annamalai Nagar and Lalpet (both Cuddalore dt), Valangaiman (Thanjavur dt), Kollidam and Sirkali (both Nagapattinam dt) 13 each, Papanasam (Thanjavur dt) and Ramanathapuram 12 each, Kumbakonam and Budalur (both Thanjavur dt),Kattumannarkoil(Cuddalore dt),Kodavasal (Tiruvarur dt),Udayalpatti and Kattumavadi (both Pudukottai dt) and Kallakudi (Thiruchirapalli dt) 11 each, Grand Anaicut, Kurungalam, Lower Anaicut and Manjalar (all Thanjavur dt), Chidambaram and Sethiyathope (both Cuddalore dt), Manalmedu(Nagapattinam dt), Karaiyur Pudukottai dt), Manamelkudi and Aruppukottai 10 each
Chennai is getting heavy rains from this system.
We are getting rain from 4:30PM, 25-Nov-08 to till now.
SOme drizzle gaps inbetween.
Now (10:06AM, 26-Nov-08) also it's raining.
And more to come till early evening.
Satellite pic & JTWC tracking...
Suggests that, "06B" will make landfall in 1 or 2hrs time.
It's almost there, Making landfall near Rameswaram & Nagapatinum.
The remnense of this system will give more rains for atleast another 48 HRS, thruout North-Tamilnadu & Interior.
We are constantly tracking a GFS model suggesting a Super Cyclone at the END of this month.
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
"93B" - all of a sudden
We are tracking a tropical depression... and got lot of potential to become as a low power cyclone.
Now it's not moving anywhere.
Chennai is receiving a typical depression/cyclone style rainfall..
starting with very mild drizzle, then heavy drizzle, shower, heavy and it goes on..
Now we are in "shower" mode... it'll go on thru the night.
This system is now south-east of Chennai, and close to land.
It might move a bit north and then north-west.
It'll make landfall before NOON tomorrow (26-Nov-08).
** Enjoy the showery/heavy shower night ahead **
FNMOC - numeric models
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And
EFS PRECIPITATION Probability displays
And
EFS PRECIPITATION Probability displays
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Full of tamilnadu is wet.
Almost FULL of tamilnadu is wet, yesterday and it's continuing today also.
Here are some rainfall stats::
Parangipettai and Thozhudur (Cuddalore dt) 15 each, Sethiathope, Virudhachalam, Bhuvanagiri and Kuppanatham (all Cuddalore dt), Kallakurichi (Villupuram dt) 13 each, Kothavacherry, Kattumailur and Memathur (all Cuddalore dt) and Kilacheruvai 12 each, Annamalainagar and Vepur (all Cuddalore dt), Lower Anaicut (Thanjavur dt), Manalmedu, Sirkali and Mayiladuthurai (all Nagapattinam dt) and Ramanathapuram 11 each, Chidambaram (Cuddalore dt), Kattumavadi (Pudukottai dt), Pallamorkulam and Rameshwaram (both Ramanathapuram dt) and Ariyalur 10 each, Cuddalore, Pallandurai, Lakkur, Vanamadevi and Lalpet (all Cuddalore dt), Puducherry Airport, Adiramapattinam, Thiruvidaimaruthur (Thanjavur dt), Muthupet and Valangaiman (both Tiruvarur dt), Kollidam (Nagapattinam dt), Mimisal and Viralimalai (both Pudukottai dt) Attur (Salem dt) and Jayamkondam (Perambalur dt) 9 each, Panruti (Cuddalore dt), Thanjavur, Kumbakonam (Thanjavur dt), Manamelkudi, R.S. Mangalam (Ramanathapuram dt), Tondi, Ayikudi (Tirunelveli dt) and Thirumanur (Perambalur dt) 8 each and Kattumannarkoil (Cuddalore dt), Villupuram, Karaikal, Ayyampettai, Manjalaru, Papanasam and Tirukattupalli (all Thanjavur dt), Thiruthuraipoondi (Tiruvarur dt), Ayinkudi, Avudayarkoil and Nagudi (all Pudukottai dt), Thammampatti (Salem dt), Vattanam (Ramanathapuram dt), Kayalpattinam and Maniyatchi (both Tuticorin dt) and Aruppukottai 7 each.
More & more cloud formation can be seen over south-west & south-central Bay.
There are more chances now for a Swirl/Depression near North-East of Srilanka.
Here is the latest numeric prediction...we'll keep updated.
In Chennai:
Yesterday, it was calm thru the day.
Slight drizzles in the evening.
In the early morning (25-Nov-08), we had some sun shine after 3 days.
Now (12:09PM) a high cloud base has moved in from Sea.
Medium low cloud formations can be seen... more likely we'll receive a sharp shower or two in evening.
Also we are experiencing some wind gusts.
Here are some rainfall stats::
Parangipettai and Thozhudur (Cuddalore dt) 15 each, Sethiathope, Virudhachalam, Bhuvanagiri and Kuppanatham (all Cuddalore dt), Kallakurichi (Villupuram dt) 13 each, Kothavacherry, Kattumailur and Memathur (all Cuddalore dt) and Kilacheruvai 12 each, Annamalainagar and Vepur (all Cuddalore dt), Lower Anaicut (Thanjavur dt), Manalmedu, Sirkali and Mayiladuthurai (all Nagapattinam dt) and Ramanathapuram 11 each, Chidambaram (Cuddalore dt), Kattumavadi (Pudukottai dt), Pallamorkulam and Rameshwaram (both Ramanathapuram dt) and Ariyalur 10 each, Cuddalore, Pallandurai, Lakkur, Vanamadevi and Lalpet (all Cuddalore dt), Puducherry Airport, Adiramapattinam, Thiruvidaimaruthur (Thanjavur dt), Muthupet and Valangaiman (both Tiruvarur dt), Kollidam (Nagapattinam dt), Mimisal and Viralimalai (both Pudukottai dt) Attur (Salem dt) and Jayamkondam (Perambalur dt) 9 each, Panruti (Cuddalore dt), Thanjavur, Kumbakonam (Thanjavur dt), Manamelkudi, R.S. Mangalam (Ramanathapuram dt), Tondi, Ayikudi (Tirunelveli dt) and Thirumanur (Perambalur dt) 8 each and Kattumannarkoil (Cuddalore dt), Villupuram, Karaikal, Ayyampettai, Manjalaru, Papanasam and Tirukattupalli (all Thanjavur dt), Thiruthuraipoondi (Tiruvarur dt), Ayinkudi, Avudayarkoil and Nagudi (all Pudukottai dt), Thammampatti (Salem dt), Vattanam (Ramanathapuram dt), Kayalpattinam and Maniyatchi (both Tuticorin dt) and Aruppukottai 7 each.
More & more cloud formation can be seen over south-west & south-central Bay.
There are more chances now for a Swirl/Depression near North-East of Srilanka.
Here is the latest numeric prediction...we'll keep updated.
In Chennai:
Yesterday, it was calm thru the day.
Slight drizzles in the evening.
In the early morning (25-Nov-08), we had some sun shine after 3 days.
Now (12:09PM) a high cloud base has moved in from Sea.
Medium low cloud formations can be seen... more likely we'll receive a sharp shower or two in evening.
Also we are experiencing some wind gusts.
Monday, November 24, 2008
More to come...
From friday evening... we are experiencing FULLY cloudy conditions with shower bursts inbetween.
Saturday full day we had drizzles. Almost non-stop.
And saturday night and thru to sunday morning we had short showers.
On Sunday morning there was a lull, but with lots of cloud formations around.
At around 12pm we had a super shower with lightning.
After that a lull then at around 9:30 PM we had another super shower this time with squally winds.
THe north-east monsoon is in full swing over tamilnadu.
The rains are widespread.
Rameshwaram (Ramanathapuram dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 7 centimetres (till sunday 8:30 AM)
And Chennai recorded 3cm.
Going by latest satellite pic and LONG range numeric model...
More rain to come.
Lot's of moisture in south-bay.
More cloud activity can be seen.
And importantly a long range model shows a SUPER cyclone near tamilnadu or south-central bay.
2 models from 2 different website state the same thing.. take a look.
Soon we can see a swirl in BAY.
Saturday full day we had drizzles. Almost non-stop.
And saturday night and thru to sunday morning we had short showers.
On Sunday morning there was a lull, but with lots of cloud formations around.
At around 12pm we had a super shower with lightning.
After that a lull then at around 9:30 PM we had another super shower this time with squally winds.
THe north-east monsoon is in full swing over tamilnadu.
The rains are widespread.
Rameshwaram (Ramanathapuram dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 7 centimetres (till sunday 8:30 AM)
And Chennai recorded 3cm.
Going by latest satellite pic and LONG range numeric model...
More rain to come.
Lot's of moisture in south-bay.
More cloud activity can be seen.
And importantly a long range model shows a SUPER cyclone near tamilnadu or south-central bay.
2 models from 2 different website state the same thing.. take a look.
Soon we can see a swirl in BAY.
Saturday, November 22, 2008
After a long wait...
Going by previous MJO forecast, from 22-Nov-08 we'll move into a WET phase.
It's perfect it seems.
Chennai and almost all parts of Tamilnadu are receiving heavy rainfall from yesterday afternoon.
Chennai got it's first burst after a long wait... at around 5 PM..It was heavy.
Thru the night it rained as short bursts and in early morning of 22-Nov-08, we had another heavy rain.
Now it's cloudy and drizzling heavy.
Going by latest satellite pic and numeric forecast.
We can see lots of cloud cover, going to be a wet weekend and upto mid of next week.
And the GFS suggests a depression forming near north-east of srilanka in next 36 hrs.
Expect more from it..
Chennai received 59.2 mm in last 24 hrs.
Here are some rainfall details
Muthupet (Tiruvarur dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 8 centimetres
Adiramapattinam, Rameswaram (Ramanathapuram dt), Ambasamudram (Tirunelveli dt), and Aruppukottai (Virudhunagar dt) 6 each, Tondi, Tiruvadanai (Ramanathapuram dt), Manimutharu (Tirunelveli dt), Palayamkottai, Maniyatchi (Tuticorin dt), Tiruchuzhi (Virudhunagar dt), Mancompu (Alapuzha dt) and Kottayam 5 each, Nanguneri, Tirunelveli, Sivagiri (Tirunelveli dt) and Minicoy 4 each, Pamban, Peravurani (Thanjavur dt), Karambakudi (Pudukottai dt), Pudukottai, Mudukulathur and R. S. Mangalam (both Ramanathapuram dt), Papanasam (Tirunelveli dt), Ottapidaram, Srivaikundam and Tiruchendur (all Tuticorin dt) , Tirupathur (Sivaganga dt) and Kozhikode Airport 3 each, Orathanadu, Pattukottai and Tiruvaiyaru (all Thanjavur dt), Thanjavur, Mannargudi and Thiruthuraipoondi (both Tiruvarur dt), Arantangi, Illupur and Tirumayam (all Pudukottai dt), Ramanathapuram, Sankarankoil (Tirunelveli dt), Sathankulam (Tuticorin dt), Tuticorin, Ilayankudi, Karaikudi and Manamadurai (all Sivagangai dt), Sattur, Sivakasi and Watrap (all Virudhunagar dt) 2 each and Kanyakumari, Coimbatore Airport, Sankarapuram (Villupuram dt), Kumbakonam (Thanjavur dt), Kodavasal, Nannilam and Valangaiman (all Tiruvarur dt), Tiruvarur, Alangudi (Pudukottai dt), Kadaladi, Kamudhi and Paramakudi (all Ramanathapuram dt), Tenkasi (Tirunelveli dt), Surangudi and Vilathikulam (both Tuticorin dt), Thovalai, Mylaudy and Pechiparai (all Kanyakumari dt), Kanyakumari, Tiruppur(Coimbatore dt), Mayanur (Karur dt), Vembavur (Perambalur dt), Marungapuri, Thathaiyangarpet and Thuraiyur (all Tiruchirapalli dt), Melur and Mettupatti (both Madurai dt), Sivagangai and Tirupuvanam (both Sivagangai dt), Natham (Dindigul dt), Alapuzha, Agathi and Thiruvananthapuram city 1cm each.
It's perfect it seems.
Chennai and almost all parts of Tamilnadu are receiving heavy rainfall from yesterday afternoon.
Chennai got it's first burst after a long wait... at around 5 PM..It was heavy.
Thru the night it rained as short bursts and in early morning of 22-Nov-08, we had another heavy rain.
Now it's cloudy and drizzling heavy.
Going by latest satellite pic and numeric forecast.
We can see lots of cloud cover, going to be a wet weekend and upto mid of next week.
And the GFS suggests a depression forming near north-east of srilanka in next 36 hrs.
Expect more from it..
Chennai received 59.2 mm in last 24 hrs.
Here are some rainfall details
Muthupet (Tiruvarur dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 8 centimetres
Adiramapattinam, Rameswaram (Ramanathapuram dt), Ambasamudram (Tirunelveli dt), and Aruppukottai (Virudhunagar dt) 6 each, Tondi, Tiruvadanai (Ramanathapuram dt), Manimutharu (Tirunelveli dt), Palayamkottai, Maniyatchi (Tuticorin dt), Tiruchuzhi (Virudhunagar dt), Mancompu (Alapuzha dt) and Kottayam 5 each, Nanguneri, Tirunelveli, Sivagiri (Tirunelveli dt) and Minicoy 4 each, Pamban, Peravurani (Thanjavur dt), Karambakudi (Pudukottai dt), Pudukottai, Mudukulathur and R. S. Mangalam (both Ramanathapuram dt), Papanasam (Tirunelveli dt), Ottapidaram, Srivaikundam and Tiruchendur (all Tuticorin dt) , Tirupathur (Sivaganga dt) and Kozhikode Airport 3 each, Orathanadu, Pattukottai and Tiruvaiyaru (all Thanjavur dt), Thanjavur, Mannargudi and Thiruthuraipoondi (both Tiruvarur dt), Arantangi, Illupur and Tirumayam (all Pudukottai dt), Ramanathapuram, Sankarankoil (Tirunelveli dt), Sathankulam (Tuticorin dt), Tuticorin, Ilayankudi, Karaikudi and Manamadurai (all Sivagangai dt), Sattur, Sivakasi and Watrap (all Virudhunagar dt) 2 each and Kanyakumari, Coimbatore Airport, Sankarapuram (Villupuram dt), Kumbakonam (Thanjavur dt), Kodavasal, Nannilam and Valangaiman (all Tiruvarur dt), Tiruvarur, Alangudi (Pudukottai dt), Kadaladi, Kamudhi and Paramakudi (all Ramanathapuram dt), Tenkasi (Tirunelveli dt), Surangudi and Vilathikulam (both Tuticorin dt), Thovalai, Mylaudy and Pechiparai (all Kanyakumari dt), Kanyakumari, Tiruppur(Coimbatore dt), Mayanur (Karur dt), Vembavur (Perambalur dt), Marungapuri, Thathaiyangarpet and Thuraiyur (all Tiruchirapalli dt), Melur and Mettupatti (both Madurai dt), Sivagangai and Tirupuvanam (both Sivagangai dt), Natham (Dindigul dt), Alapuzha, Agathi and Thiruvananthapuram city 1cm each.
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