Thursday, May 26, 2016

Monsoon on 1-Jun or 5-Jun ??


Morning, early morning rain again along S,central-coast Kerala .. Sign of monsoon is taking shape .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/jJ9p4.jpg

For Monsoon to set-in along Kerala coast, the winds upto 700hpa levels should turn Westerly and pickup speed.
At present it's NW and weak.
Another factor for Monsoon onset, the 200hpa level jet have turned Easterly upto 15N, which is good ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/jJa0j.jpg

Latest GFS run shows, that Monsoon set-in can be expected only on or after 1-Jun, and that too for S #Kerala .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/jJagc.jpg
.. and full fledged Monsoon onset over #Kerala expected on/ after 4-Jun... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/jJavs.jpg
Remember, IMD has already announced that #Monsoon is expected to reach #Kerala coast around 5/7-Jun .. http://ow.ly/RbQ5300BddT

Meanwhile more Rain ahead (next 36hrs) for #Kerala  coast and it's W-ghats !
Important, Super #HOT conditions will continue over entire S,central,N,SE peninsula except along SW coast for 3 days ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/jJbma.jpg

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