Thursday, December 17, 2015

Remnant of Typhoon Melor, Bay and NEM's last stand !

ECMWF and GFS are expecting the remnant of Melor to survive and pop a LOW over SE Bay on 23-Dec ..

But, NAVGEM model suggests only a new easterly wave to push into SE Bay on 23-Dec !! ...

Can Bay sustain a LOW / Depression at this time of year ?

Latest sea surface temp shows above 28 C from S-central to SE Bay below 14N.
Latest SST of Bay also shows COLD waters near Tamilnadu coast.

A LOW can sustain over SE Bay as of now ..

For a clear picture about Bay and NE monsoon's last stand for Tamilnadu coast, we've to wait till 22/23-Dec !

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