Sunday, November 29, 2015

Next 2 days HEAVY rain forecast for S-coast Andhra, coastal Tamilnadu ON



Elongated low-level circulation persists along 5th parallel over S,SSW Bay ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ePeqv.jpg
Present movement of this circulation is West and it may not consolidate into a LOW in next 24hrs.
Instead, it is expected to come near to SE coast Srilanka as an organized circulation and then drift NW on Monday.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ePevb.jpg
Further movement of this circulation has to be monitored during next 36hrs ! 

11:30am, moderate convective activity seen all along Chennai, N,central coast Tamilnadu over inland ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ePeAp.jpg
Chennai - 11:50am, Sharp showers seen over West suburbs.
More showers will pop over inland (city,suburbs) in next 1 or 2 hrs.
Chennai, N-coast Tamilnadu - Before midnight today, Intermittent 2/3 moderate Rain will push in from Sea.
HEAVY spells expected on Monday !

Chennai - Rainfall till 8:30am today.
Nungambakkam 0.8 mm
Airport 5.8 mm
IWM Polichalur 4.2 mm

An upper-level WD trough (upto 19N) is expected to travel East over N,central India during next 3 days... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ePeXc.jpg
This WD trough can influence the movement of present SSW Bay circulation to move NW towards Tamilnadu coast in 48hrs http://ow.ly/VdKAl 

As the circulation is expected to move NW in next 48hrs.. GFS predicts a Heavy Widespread rainfall for S-coast Andhra to SE coast Tamilnadu
On 30-Nov, 1,2-Dec...
N,central coast Tamilnadu, Chennai and S-coast Andhra to get HEAVY rainfall.
Some places can reach above 15 cm.
Latest GFS suggests a "HEAVY rain alert" from Monday evening to Morning of 2-Dec for Chennai ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/ePfgK.jpg

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