SSE Bay is having a weak elongated circulation, this can develop into a strong circulation, LOW, move West in 48hrs .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eey3S.jpg
This SSE Bay circulation is expected to intensify and drift West as a WML on Sunday near to NE Srilanka coast.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eey8N.jpg
During next 4/5 days, there's NO significant WD systems affecting north India, instead a low-level anti-cyclone expected over central India.
This central India Anti-cyclone can guide the upcoming S Bay system to keep tracking West and in some cases W-S-W as well !!
GFS expects the system to develop into Depression and reach NE Srilanka on 9-Nov... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eeyjA.jpg
ECMWF model suggests a landfall along central-coast Tamilnadu on 9-Nov as Deep Depression ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eeynH.jpg
More scattered T showers ahead for S,SE,NW,W, W-ghats Tamilnadu, W-ghats,S,SW Karnataka today before midnight.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/eeyVk.jpg
Today and before morning of 6-Nov... HEAVY rainfall ALERT for Tirunelveli, Tuticorin and Kanyakumari district of Tamilnadu
Chennai - can get a scattered light / moderate shower from Sea after midnight and early morning of 6-Nov.
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