Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Today, 03A as a LOW is seen over central Arabian sea and drifting W-N-W ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dFr3K.jpg
Today, N Bay circulation has shown some consolidation and expected to drift NW into S Bengal, and fizzle out in 36hrs !

A weak low-level circulation seen over S-tip Tamilnadu and this also will move West into SE corner Arabian sea in 24hrs.
A good low-level LWD seen from S-W Karnataka W-ghats to S-tip Tamilnadu ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dFskh.jpg

GFS expects a "short lived" low-level circulation over S-central Bay on 16-Oct... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dFt3c.jpg
A depression over W-Pacific "24W" is tracking west and expected to intensify to Typhoon in next 3 days... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dFt89.jpg
If this happens, then the easterlies will get sucked into that 24W on 17,18-Oct.
Even the winds over S,S-E Bay will be towards that system.
This'll delay the easterlies push into Bay and the NE monsoon onset along Tamilnadu coast !

SWM withdrawal has come down to 14 Deg North,in the SE coast ... http://ow.ly/TkpjO 

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs

Today evening into midnight... Due to N Bay circulation.. scattered T showers for S,central Bengal into S,S-E Bihar, Jharkhand.
Due to LWD... T showers expected all along W-ghats from N-W Karnataka to S-tip Tamilnadu... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dFtZW.jpg
Heavy T showers expected to happen over W-ghats Kerala, W-ghats, S,S-central Tamilnadu on today evening !

On noon,evening 14-Oct... more T showers ahead for Bengal, Jharkhand and some into N Odisha.
Some rain also expected for N,N-E Uttarpradesh

From 14-Oct.. T showers are expected to reduce along W-ghats of Kerala except for some HEAVY rain over S-tip Tamilnadu and its Ghats.

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