Latest analysis show a good East-coast offshore trough from S Bengal to S-E coast Tamilnadu all along S-E coast India .. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPnLT.jpg
But, West coast offshore trough is still weak .. and seen only along S-coast Maharastra to N Kerala coast !
11:30am, Heavy rain over Bihar, N,central Bengal
And
Karnataka coast, N coast Kerala also getting rainfall... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPnUe.jpg
Heavy cloud cover over Chennai, N Tamilnadu, S Andhra ... due to tail of T shower over Bay... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPnUe.jpg
Today, at upper-level a weak circulation seen over central Bay ... and weak, mini circulation over, along S Andhra.. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPo68.jpg
This upper-level circulation over S Andhra is expected to persist for another 24hrs.
Along with another circulation over central Karnataka
This upper-level circulation can bring T showers for S,central Karantaka, Bangalore, N Tamilnadu, S Andhra, Chennai .. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPomc.jpg
Till, 17/18-Jul... the west-coast offshore trough is expected persist only from S Maharastra coast to N/central Kerala coast.
N-Bay is not expected to pop a circulation before 18-Jul.
Instead, on 17-Jul, a circulation is expected over Bihar .. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPoy1.jpg
From 18-Jul, the upcoming Bihar circulation is expected to drift West ... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPoBK.jpg
There's NO heavy, widespread rain expected along Maharastra coast, Gujarat and Mumbai till 18-Jul.
Latest MJO forecast suggests a Neutral phase after 23/24-Jul followed by a wet phase from 29-Jul to August end.. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPoP5.jpg
This (MJO forecast) may suggest bad news (No widespread rain) for West coast, W India even till 25-Jul.
Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
During next 48hrs..
Heavy rain ahead for Karnataka coast, N,central Kerala and some over S-coast Maharastra.
Due to upper-level circulation over S Andhra.
Today scattered T showers for S Karnataka, Bangalore, N Tamilnadu, S,central Andhra, Chennai
#Chennai - can expect a T shower before early hrs of 16-Jul... http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPp75.jpg
Many zones in East India, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bengal, Bihar, N,central Chatisgarh to get widespread rain on today and 16-Jul.
Over East India, the rainfall intensity is expected to increase over Bihar and E Uttarpradesh from evening, 16-Jul.. http://static.ow.ly/photos/normal/bPpfN.jpg
On evening of 16-Jul... more scattered T showers expected over S Karnataka, Bangalore, S Andhra and into N,N-E Tamilnadu and for Chennai.
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