Tuesday, May 12, 2015

2 different model prediction for next 3 days

Today, the low-level circulation over comorin sea and Gulf mannar persisted .... http://ow.ly/i/aLq3i 
The upper-level (500hpa) circulation is seen along S-tip Tamilnadu, S Kerala and S-E corner Arabian sea ... http://ow.ly/i/aLqdn 

A trough in westerlies seen over N Afghanisthan to central Pakistan ... http://ow.ly/i/aLqdn

10:30pm, Cloudy and rain seen over S Kashmir, Himachal, N Punjab and Uttarakhand ... http://ow.ly/i/aLrZ9 
10:30pm, Heavy T showers over #Nepal... http://ow.ly/i/aLrZ9
10:30pm, Heavy rain over N-W,W,central Karnataka, N-E Andhra... http://ow.ly/i/aLrZ9
10:30pm, due to circulation, cloudy and moderate rain over S Tamilnadu and rain ahead for S-E,central coast Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/aLrZ9

Rainfall Till 11:30pm, ...
Kozhikode = 44mm
Agartala = 31mm
Karaikal = 15mm
Aurangabad, Cuddalore = 12mm ... http://ow.ly/i/aLsJl 

GFS expects the present Comorin sea circulation to persist and drift N-N-W into S Kerala coast on 13-May ... http://ow.ly/i/aLsWn 
GFS also predicts a depression over E Arabian sea near Karnataka coast on Sunday... http://ow.ly/i/aLt5j 

NAVGEM expects a circulation over S-W Bay in 24hrs and this can become a Cyclone moving to Tamilnadu coast on 15-May http://ow.ly/i/aLtmW 

For N,N-W India, the present westerlies upper-level trough will drift East and slightly deepen in next 36hrs... http://ow.ly/i/aLtPn 

In next 24hrs...
Showers to continue over Kashmir, N,E Punjab, Himachal, central,E Rajasthan ... http://ow.ly/i/aLu6n 
In 24hrs...
Heavy rain again for N,N-W,W,N-E Karantaka, N-central,N-E Andhra into S,central Odisha.
Due to circulation...
Rain for S,central, S-E coast Tamilnadu in next 24hrs. ! http://ow.ly/i/aLusM 

The Comorin sea circulation is expected to take a N-N-W direction move as predicted by GFS in next 48hrs !

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