Sunday, November 02, 2014

How South Bay will shape up in next 3/4 days ??


An E-W elongated circulation is seen covering over S-W to S-E Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/7qWsO 
During next 36hrs, the circulation over S-W-central Bay is expected to persist with a elongated nature.. http://ow.ly/i/7qWzI 

Now we have 2 scenarios forecast for 2 models...
GFS expects a Depression to form over E Bay on 5-Nov... http://ow.ly/i/7qWBc 
If GFS model comes out true, then the RAIN over Tamilnadu will vanish from Tuesday !!

NAVGEM model suggests the same like GFS for mid-week ... the present elongated circulation to tilt from N-E to S-W from E-Bay to S-W Bay.
After that NAVGEM suggests a depression to take shape over S-W-central Bay itself on 6-Nov... http://ow.ly/i/7qWIz 

ECMWF model like GFS... suggests a E Bay depression on Thursday ... http://ow.ly/i/7qWOU 
CMC / GEM and WRF model is going with NAVGEM model ... suggests a Depression along 10N over S-W-central Bay, 4/5-Nov http://ow.ly/i/7qWRj 

During next 36hrs...

HEAVY T showers for S,S-W,W-ghats Tamilnadu, S,central Kerala.
For N,central,S-E coast Tamilnadu, Chennai ...

Moderate showers expected on today midnight into morning of Monday.. http://ow.ly/i/7qWZr 
From Monday evening, less showers expected for N,central coast Tamilnadu and Chennai.

We'll monitor S-W-central Bay on 3,4-Nov.

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