Analysis of 91B suggests that during past 12hrs it has intensified to Well marked LOW, with pressure around 1003mb. And showing signs of intensifying.
5pm, IR shows good convective activity around its location.
At present it is located over Central Bay.
GFS model suggests a Northerly movement (for 2 days) with NO great intensification beyond Depression and then make a N-W movement as a LOW pressure system and reach upto Odisha coast.
But NAVGEM model suggests a N-N-E movement for next 2 days, then weaken and drift Westwards towards Andhra coast on 9-Nov !!
The wind shear along the System and North of it (around 20N) is HIGH, this'll not allow the system to intensify and sustain.
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