Status Report as on Friday Noon:
Cyclone Hudhud, having moved NW, is positioned at 14.7N and 87.6E, 494 nm south of Kolkata.Estimated core pressure 985 mb and estimated winds at 65 knts on 1 minute average and DVORK Estimates. Observed 25 knts vertical wind shear...may not be favourable for rapid intensification, but other factors like height favour it.
As cyclone has reached upper level to almost 300 hp, conditions are favourable for initial strengthening and NW tracking as it is South of Sub Tropical Ridge (STR). STR may shift to East..., which may shift the track N/NW.
Ensuing dry air appears to be diminishing, to a small region seen in the SE of the centre.
Very rough seas at present in the core region with 16 feet waves above astronomical tide levels.
From Vagaries
Cyclone Hudhud, having moved NW, is positioned at 14.7N and 87.6E, 494 nm south of Kolkata.Estimated core pressure 985 mb and estimated winds at 65 knts on 1 minute average and DVORK Estimates. Observed 25 knts vertical wind shear...may not be favourable for rapid intensification, but other factors like height favour it.
As cyclone has reached upper level to almost 300 hp, conditions are favourable for initial strengthening and NW tracking as it is South of Sub Tropical Ridge (STR). STR may shift to East..., which may shift the track N/NW.
Ensuing dry air appears to be diminishing, to a small region seen in the SE of the centre.
Very rough seas at present in the core region with 16 feet waves above astronomical tide levels.
From Vagaries
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