1pm, Visible shot shows a GOOD eye and good convective activity around center, N-E outer bands.
At present, Nilofar is a severe cyclone with minimum pressure at 982.2mb (have weakened during past 12hrs).
During past 15hrs, the system has drifted N-N-W ... present position is 16.12 N , 61.25 E.
In next 42hrs, under the influence of W.D trough the cyclone is expected to drift North and then N-E.
Latest models continue to suggest a N-E re-curve after nearing 20N and expected to intensify and then weaken before making landfall along Kutch, Gujarat on 1-Nov.
It may rapidly dissipate while reaching coast !
No comments:
Post a Comment