Analysis indicate that Arabian sea system has intensified further into a Cyclone. If it sustains for another 6hrs, it'll be named as "Nilofar"
Latest position 14.24 N , 62.48 E
Pressure around 994.1 mb
Winds upto 100 kmph.
3pm, Visible shot shows, good convective activity along center, S,S-W,S-E quadrants.
After nearing S Oman coast on 28-Oct. Due to upcoming mid,upper-level W.D trough along 66E and dipping upto 29N .. the Cyclone is expected to re-curve North-East.
After that, 04A is expected to track towards S Pakistan (Karachi) and Kutch region in Gujarat.
Now, many models suggest this course for 04A.
Meanwhile, the wind rush towards 04A is continuing thru S,central Andhra coast, Maharastra and N,N-W Karnataka. So more scattered HEAVY rain ahead for these zones.
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