Monday, May 26, 2014

Forecast on 92B, Arabian sea circulation and Monsoon onset


During next 24hrs, the low-level trough from the existing 92B will dip S-W upto S-E Arabian sea... http://ow.ly/i/5GMRD 
Tomorrow, there can be 2 low-level circulations, one will be remnant of 92B over Jharkhand and another over S Madhyapradesh.
Tomorrow as well, the trough will drop S-W from S Madhyapradesh upto S-E Arabian sea at low-levels... http://ow.ly/i/5GN1F 
On 29-May, the inland low-level N-S trough will re-establish again from Bihar to N,N-central Tamilnadu... http://ow.ly/i/5GN66 

Monsoon update ::
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S, S-S-W Arabian sea is expected to pop a circulation in next 1 or 2 days, but GFS model did not expect this to sustain !
Weak monsoon current is expected to make a presence along S Kerala coast, S tip Tamilnadu on 30/31-May, rain expected http://ow.ly/i/5GNjn 
Models expect a strong circulation over S-S-E Arabian sea on 1-Jun ... this may further delay the monsoon onset !! http://ow.ly/i/5GNmE 

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs ::
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Today before midnight, Heavy rain due to 92B will sweep further upto N,central Chatisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand and S-E,E Uttarpradesh as well.
From now, showers over S Bengal will go down and more rain ahead for central,N Bengal even till midnight tomorrow http://ow.ly/i/5GNGX 
From now and before 12am, T showers expected over N,N-E,N-central Tamilnadu, S,W Andhra, S,central,E,N Karnataka.

Already getting reports of T showers from Bangalore 5:05pm.
RT @RajanRamaswami: @weatherofindia Now at JP Nagar V Phase Bangalore heavy rains with thunder started.. (5:06pm)
Chennai - 5pm, Heavy T showers seen over W,W-N-W from city at 175km, 120km and 80km ... http://ow.ly/i/5GNOq 

#Chennai - W,S-W,N-W suburbs can expect a T shower pushing in from W-N-W on today late evening and tomorrow evening.

35% chance of rain.

Under the influence of 92B, Most of East India (Odisha included) can expect T shower activity till 28-May... http://ow.ly/i/5GNVO 
More T showers ahead for w-ghats of Kerala, W-ghats Tamilnadu and W-ghats of S-W Karnataka on today, tomorrow.
S kerala coast, S tip Tamilnadu coast can expect early morning showers on tomorrow as well due to Monsoon current !

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