Saturday, May 24, 2014

92B - drifted W-N-W and showing signs of intensification again


During past 28hrs, "92B" has persisted as LOW pressure and drifted W-N-W and now over N-central,N-W Bay.
Now it's even showing signs of further intensification into a Depression again.
Pressure at present is around 1001mb.

10:30pm, Satellite shows the convective activity can be close to coast of Odisha and into Odisha as well.

Latest GFS predicts it can deepen further into a depression and cross into N-E Odisha coast, S Bengal coast on early hrs of Monday, 26-May.
Due to this, Heavy rain expected along Odisha coast, S,central Bengal, Kolkata from mid-morning of Sunday.
Towards evening and midnight of 25-May - Heavy, very heavy rain expected over N-E Odisha coast, S,S-W Bengal.
During afternoon, T showers will break in over N-E Andhra and over N,N-E Tamilnadu as well.
Tomorrow again, T showers possible along W-ghats of Kerala.

Monsoon update ::
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In another development, a low-level trough can be seen from 92B tilting S-W across South peninsula and into South Arabian sea... this will pop a low-level circulation over S,S-S-E Arabian sea in next 24 hrs.
Initially this circulation is expected to drift W-N-W, but this can enable a weak Monsoon current along S,central Kerala coast on 29/30-May.
Today as well good cross equatorial winds are reaching Somali coast and into Maldives. Most of the winds are below the 5th parallel.

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