92B - Bay LOW and Monsoon !

Analysis at 5:30pm, shows that the existing circulation over E-central Bay has now almost concentrated into a depression with Pressure around 1002 mb.
At present the low,mid level circulation is over E,E-central Bay and near to North Andaman Islands.
Due to this, GOOD Monsoon winds seen pushing into most of Andamans.
S-S-E Arabian sea is also having a low-level circulation from yesterday. This is acting as a good engine for pulling cross equatorial winds over S,S-W Arabian sea.
If the circulation persists, S,central Maldives will have Monsoon in next 2 days.

5:30pm, Visible satellite shows ... HEAVY convective activity over its S,S-W,W quadrant.
And HEAVY rain over S,central Andaman Islands.

GFS - suggests that the circulation may not intensify, but it'll drift N-E towards Myanmar coast in next 48hrs.
The LOW may not make landfall, instead it's expected to linger into N-N-E Bay on 24-May.
In the meantime, the inland low-level North South trough from N Bengal is expected to drift to S-E coast of India. On 22-May, its expected to be from N Bengal to N Tamilnadu along coast.

Tomorrow, more T showers expected for W,S-W,S Karnataka, N,central,W-ghats Kerala into N,N-central,N-E Tamilnadu, S,S-central Andhra.
Rain may push into S-W,W,N-W suburbs of #Chennai tomorrow evening.

S-W Monsoon style rain may push into S Kerala coast and S tip Tamilnadu during early morning of 22-May.