Wednesday, May 07, 2014

"91B" - Now over S-E corner Arabian sea near Trivandrum


Latest analysis at 11:30am, suggests that LOW pressure system is now over S-E corner of Arabian sea very near to Trivandrum, Kerala.
At present the pressure is around 1006mb and slightly disorganized.
And NO sign of developing into a Depression or Cyclone in next 48hrs.
12:30pm, Satellite Visible shot reveals ... HEAVY rain continue over S tip, S,S-central,central,N,N-E Tamilnadu and over S, central-coast, W-ghats of Kerala.


GFS models suggests that, 91B will drift North along Kerala coast during next 36hrs and reach central Karnataka coast on Tomorrow noon.
By 9-May, it'll drift inland into central Karnataka, N-central Andhra and weaken.
The system is then expected to merge with the N-S trough extending from Bihar, E Uttarpradesh at that time.

Widespread HEAVY rain expected over MOST of Kerala, S,S-W, W-ghats, Nilgiris of Tamilnadu during next 24hrs.
Scattered showers expected over central,N,N-E Tamilnadu during next 24hrs.
Showers to continue along central,N Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai till tomorrow evening.

VERY HEAVY rain expected along W-ghats of Kerala during next 24hrs.

VERY Heavy rainfall stats (mm) till 8:30am today ::
Lower Papanasam - 408
Papanasam - 300
Manimuthar - 266
Kanadiyan - 255
Ambasamudram - 225
Alangulam - 225
Kadanadhi - 200
Ramanadhi - 190
Nanguneri - 174
Cheranmahadevi - 152
Upper Kodayar - 125
Kalakkad - 121
North Pachiyaru - 121
Lower Kodayar - 119
Kanyakumari - 118
Kollidam - 110

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