Tuesday, March 18, 2014

El Nino - Will it affect 2014 Indian South West Monsoon ??

6-Mar-2014 :: ENSO update released by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER / NCEP / NWS, 
"ENSO-neutral is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring 2014, 
with about a 50% chance of El Niño developing during the summer or fall."

Here's the full report ... Download PDF

11-Mar-2014 :: ENSO report released by Australian BOM ...
"Recent observations indicate that warming of the tropical Pacific is occurring. The tropical Pacific Ocean
sub-surface has warmed substantially over the past few weeks, which is likely to result in a warming of the
sea surface in the coming months. A recent burst of westerly winds over the far western Pacific is the
strongest seen since at least 2009 – the last time an El Niño developed."

Here's the full report of BOM ... Click here

Meanwhile, the Indian Ocean Dipole is NEUTRAL, and expected to remain that way till August-2014.

El Nino, effect on Indian South west Monsoon 2014??

"raising fears of a possible weak monsoon this year." ... http://goo.gl/AI5f4M
India keeps a close watch on El Nino" ... http://goo.gl/4i5kmX
"El Niño Could Hurt India’s Monsoon "... http://goo.gl/4qsFJO

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