Tuesday, November 12, 2013

"30W" - drifting W-S-W and NO intensification seen

Latest 3:30pm, satellite visible shows good convective activity over and around the system.

Position as of 11:30am is 10.5 N , 86.8 E
Pressure is still around 1005mb

JTWC warning at 8am IST states that "THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS  
MEDIUM."

Latest model(s) suggest a slight intensification into Depression and expects it to move W, W-S-W and make landfall along Central Tamilnadu coast on 15-Nov-2013.

Due to "30W" LOW ... showers expected to start along Tamilnadu coast from 14-Nov, evening.
On 15-Nov, HEAVY and widespread rain expected along central,N coast Tamilnadu, #Chennai and into S Andhra coast.
Showers along Tamilnadu coast is expected to persist after 30W till 18-Nov... http://ow.ly/i/3HoN2 
On 18-Nov, S-S-E Bay is expected to pop another circulation, this can become Cyclone "HELEN"

No comments:

Post a Comment