Tuesday, November 26, 2013

LEHAR - 10am, Moved W-N-W and Intensified

Analysis of Cyclone LEHAR at 10am shows that the system has slowly moved W-N-W and intensified slightly during past 12hrs.
Now the core pressure is around 985 mb and winds gusting to 120 kmph.
Present position is plotted here ... it shows the system is almost parallel to #Chennai.

Here's the satellite visible shot at 10:30am. Present cloud top temperature is around -84.7C, suggesting deep convections.


Midnight analysis and forecast of track suggests that most of numeric weather models agree to Central, N-central Andhra coast, almost similar to Cyclone Helen.
COLA GFS model expects the cyclone to reach central Andhra coast by midnight of Wednesday.

DRY weather expected for Andhra coast, Tamilnadu coast during next 24 hrs.
Meanwhile, more rain ahead for W-ghats from S tip Tamilnadu to N-W Maharastra today as well.
HEAVY rain to persist for S Kerala and S tip Tamilnadu during next 2 days.

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