Latest analysis at 11:30am, show that "30W" has drifted W-N-W during past 12hrs and it has intensified into a Depression now.
Present location is 11.9 N , 86 E.
Pressure is around 1001 mb and Winds gusting upto 60 kmph.
Satellite visible shot at 2:30pm, shows HEAVY convective activity along its N,N-W,N-E, E quadrant. Still the Southern quadrant is lacking convective activity.
From now on the upper level steering winds or Jet stream at 200hpa is expected to guide the system N-W or W-N-W.
Latest GFS model run suggests a N-central Tamilnadu coast landfall on 15-Nov.
Heavy rain warning for N,central Tamilnadu coast, #Chennai and into S Andhra coast on 15-Nov.
Showers are expected to start along #Chennai and North Tamilnadu coast from noon / evening of 14-Nov.
On today, 13-Nov, Heavy rain expected over S,W Tamilnadu and over S Kerala.
Present location is 11.9 N , 86 E.
Pressure is around 1001 mb and Winds gusting upto 60 kmph.
Satellite visible shot at 2:30pm, shows HEAVY convective activity along its N,N-W,N-E, E quadrant. Still the Southern quadrant is lacking convective activity.
From now on the upper level steering winds or Jet stream at 200hpa is expected to guide the system N-W or W-N-W.
Latest GFS model run suggests a N-central Tamilnadu coast landfall on 15-Nov.
Showers are expected to start along #Chennai and North Tamilnadu coast from noon / evening of 14-Nov.
On today, 13-Nov, Heavy rain expected over S,W Tamilnadu and over S Kerala.
No comments:
Post a Comment