Thursday, November 14, 2013

30W - Drifted S-W and Super Saturday (Heavy rain) for #Chennai, N,central Tamilnadu coast.

Latest analysis show that winds around the system is organized, While the satellite IR shows a exposed center with convective activity seen only over N-W,N, and N-E quadrants.

Position as of 12:30pm is 10.8 N , 85.2 E
Winds gusting upto 55 kmph
Pressure around 1000mb, so it is still a Depression.

NAVGEM model suggests a N-W track from now and landfall along #Chennai on evening of 15-Nov.

IMD, COLA GFS models suggest a central,N-central Tamilnadu coast landfall on 15-Nov-2013.


Moderate to heavy Rain expected to start along central, N Tamilnadu coast, #Chennai and S coast Andhra from noon/evening of 15-Nov.
Heavy and Very heavy rain expected in these zones towards early morning of 16-Nov (Saturday).
Forecast of Super Saturday for #Chennai, Tamilnadu coast is still valid.

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