Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Update on LOW - "95A" and "94B"

"95A" - Along Central Oman coast in Arabian sea
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11:30am IST, Satellite visible shot shows good T.showers have pushed into central Oman coast.

Latest IMD - GFS predicts that the system along Oman coast is expected to persist for another 4 days, almost in that same position. This is amazing, for a circulation to persist in that same zone for a long period of time.
The system is expected to intensify on 31-May, and it may push fully into Oman on 3-Jun.

If this system intensifies, the Monsoon current reaching Kerala coast may get weakened (or) may not reach as well on 3-Jun.

"94B" - Over N.Bay, just south of Bangladesh coast.
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12pm IST, Satellite visible shows heavy convective activity over most of N.Bay, pushing into S.Bangladesh.
Latest analysis show that "94B" is a marked LOW pressure system with strong circulation extending from low levels to upper levels.
Pressure is around 1000mb, according to Thailand met.
The "94B" is expected to push N-N-W into S.Bengal in next 24hrs.
By 30-May, the system is expected to push upto Bihar and vanish.

In next 24hrs and till 1-Jun, Heavy and Very heavy rain expected for S,central Bengal, N,N-E.Odisha, S.Bangladesh and over most places in N-E states of India.
In following days 30,31-May, the heavy rain will push into Jharkand and Bihar as well.


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